Digital Spy

Search Digital Spy
 

DS Forums

 
 
 

Eurovision Odds Thread


Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old 06-02-2013, 13:43
Katsuya
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 5,349

So, since this tends to get talked about a lot in the other thread, I thought it might be worth throwing a betting/odds thread out there. They're not just good for gambling, of course, since they're also a good indication of where people are putting money across the board and which countries are likely to do well come Malmo.

Eurovision Winner (best odds available, according to Oddschecker)
Azerbaijan - 8/1
Denmark - 9/1 (shortening all the time, too)
Russia - 11/1
Armenia - 12/1
Greece - 14/1
Germany - 14/1
Norway - 16/1
Sweden - 16/1
Serbia - 16/1
Estonia - 18/1
Georgia - 20/1
Romania - 20/1
Ukraine - 25/1
Italy - 25/1
France - 28/1
Finland - 33/1
Moldova - 33/1
Croatia - 33/1
Spain - 40/1
Cyprus - 40/1

Ireland - 40/1
UK - 40/1
Slovenia - 40/1
Latvia - 40/1
Hungary - 50/1
Austria - 50/1
Belarus - 50/1 (but goes as low as 16/1)
Israel - 50/1
Malta - 50/1
Netherlands - 66/1 (goes as low as 25/1)
Bulgaria - 66/1
Macedonia - 66/1
Montenegro - 66/1
Switzerland - 80/1 (goes as low as 40/1)
Iceland - 80/1
Lithuania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)
Albania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)

San Marino - 100/1
Belgium - 250/1 (as low as 33/1)

Countries who have already selected and have had their songs played are in bold; countries with known artists are in italics.

I'll keep this updated every week or so, when we know more and more songs.
Katsuya is offline   Reply With Quote
Please sign in or register to remove this advertisement.
Old 06-02-2013, 13:44
MissMidgard
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Nottingham
Posts: 2,938
I'm still completely baffled as to why Azerbaijan is the favourite. Do we know anything about an artist or song yet?!
MissMidgard is offline Follow this poster on Twitter   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:00
Katsuya
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 5,349
Melodi Grand Prix odds
Margaret Berger - 13/20
Adelen - 4/1
Sirkus Eliassen - 8/1
Gromth - 10/1
Datarock - 14/1
Annsofi - 16/1
Gaute - 25/1
Fjellfolk - 25/1
Vidar Busk - 34/1
Lucky Lips - 50/1
Katsuya is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:02
Katsuya
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 5,349
I'm still completely baffled as to why Azerbaijan is the favourite. Do we know anything about an artist or song yet?!
Azerbaijan are the new Greece; guaranteed to do well whether it's deserved or not. I highly, highly doubt they'll win again though, especially if the producers can help it.
Katsuya is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:03
penguinperson
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 8,182
I'm still completely baffled as to why Azerbaijan is the favourite. Do we know anything about an artist or song yet?!
They have the longest top 10 record and top 5 record. If you're to blind bet they're the ones to pick
penguinperson is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:04
Markyd10
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 244
I'm still completely baffled as to why Azerbaijan is the favourite. Do we know anything about an artist or song yet?!
Probably their previous good results and their 'support' () from some of the smaller countries.
Markyd10 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:04
Chickens hit
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,721
I'm still completely baffled as to why Azerbaijan is the favourite. Do we know anything about an artist or song yet?!
Well, the song will be from Sweden, but the performer is yet to be decided.

Maybe the odds are based on the past few years performance of the individual countries, which seeing as Azerbaijan have been in the Top 10 every time might explain their position at the top of the odds.
Chickens hit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:05
MissMidgard
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Nottingham
Posts: 2,938
^ That all makes sense. Thanks, guys.
MissMidgard is offline Follow this poster on Twitter   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:05
phill363
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Birkenhead
Posts: 14,894
our odds baffle me as well, not sure why we are so low but ah well.

I think Azerbaijan will suffer from the last years host curse this year so not sure why they are favourite, seems reckless to have a punt on them at those odds.
phill363 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:07
penguinperson
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 8,182
Going to add where we have heard all songs with a ****

Eurovision Winner (best odds available, according to Oddschecker)
Azerbaijan - 8/1
Denmark - 9/1
Russia - 11/1
Armenia - 12/1
Greece - 14/1******
Germany - 14/1 ******
Norway - 16/1 *****
Sweden - 16/1
Serbia - 16/1
Estonia - 18/1 ******
Georgia - 20/1 **(sort of**
Romania - 20/1
Ukraine - 25/1
Italy - 25/1
France - 28/1
Finland - 33/1 *****
Moldova - 33/1 ***the main contenders
Croatia - 33/1
Spain - 40/1 *******
Cyprus - 40/1

Ireland - 40/1
UK - 40/1
Slovenia - 40/1
Latvia - 40/1 ********
Hungary - 50/1 ******
Austria - 50/1 *******
Belarus - 50/1 (but goes as low as 16/1)
Israel - 50/1
Malta - 50/1
Netherlands - 66/1 (goes as low as 25/1)
Bulgaria - 66/1
Macedonia - 66/1
Montenegro - 66/1
Switzerland - 80/1 (goes as low as 40/1)
Iceland - 80/1
Lithuania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)
Albania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)

San Marino - 100/1
Belgium - 250/1 (as low as 33/1)

Countries who have already selected and have had their songs played are in bold; countries with known artists are in italics.

I'll keep this updated every week or so, when we know more and more songs.
penguinperson is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:11
penguinperson
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 8,182
our odds baffle me as well, not sure why we are so low but ah well.

I think Azerbaijan will suffer from the last years host curse this year so not sure why they are favourite, seems reckless to have a punt on them at those odds.
I think these are the most interesting bets left and I think the winner will come from one of these at the moment

Azerbaijan - 8/1
Russia - 11/1
Armenia - 12/1
Sweden - 16/1
Serbia - 16/1
Romania - 20/1
Italy - 25/1
Ireland - 40/1
UK - 40/1
Israel - 50/1
Netherlands - 66/1 (goes as low as 25/1)
penguinperson is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 14:12
Katsuya
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 5,349
I'm pretty sure Greece were a lot higher up until recently, so I don't know if their slide down is as a result of the songs being released or not.

UMK odds
Mikael Saari: 9/10
Dianda: 7/4
Krista: 7/4
Arion: 5/2
Great Wide North: 11/4
Last Panda: 7/1
Elina: 8/1
Lucy Was Driving: 8/1

Probably accurate to just how tight and unsure the entire thing is. Diandra's probably the best shot at those odds.
Katsuya is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-02-2013, 18:28
stanld03
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Plymouth, UK
Posts: 1,993
Maybe Azerbaijan are expected to do well as Turkey's not participating, so they'll get the Turkish diaspora votes.
stanld03 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-02-2013, 14:44
Jaccobabe
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Norway
Posts: 13,834
NL at 66/1 is a very good bet considering the song is very good, and a known artist, and it might get jury votes like Italy did in 11.
Jaccobabe is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-02-2013, 16:16
penguinperson
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 8,182
Irish odds lol

Zoe Bohorquez 2/1,
Aimee 9/4,
Ryan Dolan 5/2,
Kasey 11/4,
Inchequin 10/1
penguinperson is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-02-2013, 17:14
Saturn
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 17,421
Maybe Azerbaijan are expected to do well as Turkey's not participating, so they'll get the Turkish diaspora votes.
Running Scared didn't get any points from Germany when Turkey failed to make the final so I don't think it has that much effect.

They've lost their 12 from Turkey as well.
Saturn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-02-2013, 20:47
Katsuya
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 5,349
So, something happened in the past day, because the odds at the stop have shifted considerably;

Denmark - 8/1
Armenia - 12/1
Azerbaijan - 12/1

Denmark's odds go as low as 6/1 now.
Katsuya is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 10:49
most_haunted
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: United Kingdom
Posts: 1,060
Anyone got the latest MGP odds? Come on Adelén!!!
most_haunted is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 10:58
phill363
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Birkenhead
Posts: 14,894
MGP odds on William Hill

Margaret Berger 4/6
Adelen 4
Sirkus Eliassen 5
Gromth feat Emil Solli-Tangen 10
Datarock 14
Annsofi 16
Fjellfolk 25
Gaute Ormasen 25
Vidar Busk 33
Lucky Lips 50

Looks like its a shoe in for Margaret
phill363 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 11:10
most_haunted
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: United Kingdom
Posts: 1,060
I really hope not! Still rooting for Adelén over here. 'Bombo' is an absolute summer anthem.
most_haunted is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 11:12
contejas
Forum Member
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 6,099
I really hope not! Still rooting for Adelén over here. 'Bombo' is an absolute summer anthem.
Forget Bombo -- it's Sirukus all the way...
contejas is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 11:27
Katsuya
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 5,349
Revised odds for UMK:

Diandra - 2/1
Mikael Saari - 9/4
Great Wide North - 5/1
Arion - 9/2
Krista - 5/1
Lucy Was Driving - 39/1
Elina - 34/1
Last Panda - 34/1

Saari is still favourite on quite a few sites though.
Katsuya is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 12:13
QwaarJet
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 233
I really hope not! Still rooting for Adelén over here. 'Bombo' is an absolute summer anthem.
My hopes will for sure be behind Margaret tomorrow. Never understood the love for "Bombo". It's just noise to me, but then again I don't really like these summer dance anthems at all.
QwaarJet is offline Follow this poster on Twitter   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 12:53
Jaccobabe
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Norway
Posts: 13,834
Margaret Berger 1,65
Adelen 3,50
Sirkus Eliassen 5,50
Gromth feat. Emil Solli-tangen 10,00
Datarock 15,00
Annsofi Pettersen 17,00
Gaute Ormĺsen 22,00
Fjellfolk 25,00
Vidar Busk 30,00
Lucky Lips 50,00

From Unibet. Margaret in the lead, but Adelen closer than before.

Plumbo were the big favourites last year, so I guess anything can happen.

Last year was much closer though. I would be very surprised if any of the top3 don't win...

I do think we might get a shock in the superfinal though.

Like Vidar Busk
Jaccobabe is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2013, 13:10
MissMidgard
Forum Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Nottingham
Posts: 2,938
If we're having a shock in Norway, it better be Fjellfolk.
MissMidgard is offline Follow this poster on Twitter   Reply With Quote
 
Reply



Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

 
Forum Jump


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 21:58.