Eurovision Odds Thread
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So, since this tends to get talked about a lot in the other thread, I thought it might be worth throwing a betting/odds thread out there. They're not just good for gambling, of course, since they're also a good indication of where people are putting money across the board and which countries are likely to do well come Malmo.
Eurovision Winner (best odds available, according to Oddschecker)
Azerbaijan - 8/1
Denmark - 9/1 (shortening all the time, too)
Russia - 11/1
Armenia - 12/1
Greece - 14/1
Germany - 14/1
Norway - 16/1
Sweden - 16/1
Serbia - 16/1
Estonia - 18/1
Georgia - 20/1
Romania - 20/1
Ukraine - 25/1
Italy - 25/1
France - 28/1
Finland - 33/1
Moldova - 33/1
Croatia - 33/1
Spain - 40/1
Cyprus - 40/1
Ireland - 40/1
UK - 40/1
Slovenia - 40/1
Latvia - 40/1
Hungary - 50/1
Austria - 50/1
Belarus - 50/1 (but goes as low as 16/1)
Israel - 50/1
Malta - 50/1
Netherlands - 66/1 (goes as low as 25/1)
Bulgaria - 66/1
Macedonia - 66/1
Montenegro - 66/1
Switzerland - 80/1 (goes as low as 40/1)
Iceland - 80/1
Lithuania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)
Albania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)
San Marino - 100/1
Belgium - 250/1 (as low as 33/1)
Countries who have already selected and have had their songs played are in bold; countries with known artists are in italics.
I'll keep this updated every week or so, when we know more and more songs.
Eurovision Winner (best odds available, according to Oddschecker)
Azerbaijan - 8/1
Denmark - 9/1 (shortening all the time, too)
Russia - 11/1
Armenia - 12/1
Greece - 14/1
Germany - 14/1
Norway - 16/1
Sweden - 16/1
Serbia - 16/1
Estonia - 18/1
Georgia - 20/1
Romania - 20/1
Ukraine - 25/1
Italy - 25/1
France - 28/1
Finland - 33/1
Moldova - 33/1
Croatia - 33/1
Spain - 40/1
Cyprus - 40/1
Ireland - 40/1
UK - 40/1
Slovenia - 40/1
Latvia - 40/1
Hungary - 50/1
Austria - 50/1
Belarus - 50/1 (but goes as low as 16/1)
Israel - 50/1
Malta - 50/1
Netherlands - 66/1 (goes as low as 25/1)
Bulgaria - 66/1
Macedonia - 66/1
Montenegro - 66/1
Switzerland - 80/1 (goes as low as 40/1)
Iceland - 80/1
Lithuania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)
Albania - 100/1 (as low as 40/1)
San Marino - 100/1
Belgium - 250/1 (as low as 33/1)
Countries who have already selected and have had their songs played are in bold; countries with known artists are in italics.
I'll keep this updated every week or so, when we know more and more songs.
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Comments
Margaret Berger - 13/20
Adelen - 4/1
Sirkus Eliassen - 8/1
Gromth - 10/1
Datarock - 14/1
Annsofi - 16/1
Gaute - 25/1
Fjellfolk - 25/1
Vidar Busk - 34/1
Lucky Lips - 50/1
Azerbaijan are the new Greece; guaranteed to do well whether it's deserved or not. I highly, highly doubt they'll win again though, especially if the producers can help it.
They have the longest top 10 record and top 5 record. If you're to blind bet they're the ones to pick
Probably their previous good results and their 'support' (:rolleyes:) from some of the smaller countries.
Well, the song will be from Sweden, but the performer is yet to be decided.
Maybe the odds are based on the past few years performance of the individual countries, which seeing as Azerbaijan have been in the Top 10 every time might explain their position at the top of the odds.
I think Azerbaijan will suffer from the last years host curse this year so not sure why they are favourite, seems reckless to have a punt on them at those odds.
I think these are the most interesting bets left and I think the winner will come from one of these at the moment
Azerbaijan - 8/1
Russia - 11/1
Armenia - 12/1
Sweden - 16/1
Serbia - 16/1
Romania - 20/1
Italy - 25/1
Ireland - 40/1
UK - 40/1
Israel - 50/1
Netherlands - 66/1 (goes as low as 25/1)
UMK odds
Mikael Saari: 9/10
Dianda: 7/4
Krista: 7/4
Arion: 5/2
Great Wide North: 11/4
Last Panda: 7/1
Elina: 8/1
Lucy Was Driving: 8/1
Probably accurate to just how tight and unsure the entire thing is. Diandra's probably the best shot at those odds.
Zoe Bohorquez 2/1,
Aimee 9/4,
Ryan Dolan 5/2,
Kasey 11/4,
Inchequin 10/1
Running Scared didn't get any points from Germany when Turkey failed to make the final so I don't think it has that much effect.
They've lost their 12 from Turkey as well.
Denmark - 8/1
Armenia - 12/1
Azerbaijan - 12/1
Denmark's odds go as low as 6/1 now.
Margaret Berger 4/6
Adelen 4
Sirkus Eliassen 5
Gromth feat Emil Solli-Tangen 10
Datarock 14
Annsofi 16
Fjellfolk 25
Gaute Ormasen 25
Vidar Busk 33
Lucky Lips 50
Looks like its a shoe in for Margaret
Forget Bombo -- it's Sirukus all the way...;):D
Diandra - 2/1
Mikael Saari - 9/4
Great Wide North - 5/1
Arion - 9/2
Krista - 5/1
Lucy Was Driving - 39/1
Elina - 34/1
Last Panda - 34/1
Saari is still favourite on quite a few sites though.
My hopes will for sure be behind Margaret tomorrow. Never understood the love for "Bombo". It's just noise to me, but then again I don't really like these summer dance anthems at all.
Adelen 3,50
Sirkus Eliassen 5,50
Gromth feat. Emil Solli-tangen 10,00
Datarock 15,00
Annsofi Pettersen 17,00
Gaute Ormåsen 22,00
Fjellfolk 25,00
Vidar Busk 30,00
Lucky Lips 50,00
From Unibet. Margaret in the lead, but Adelen closer than before.
Plumbo were the big favourites last year, so I guess anything can happen.
Last year was much closer though. I would be very surprised if any of the top3 don't win...
I do think we might get a shock in the superfinal though.
Like Vidar Busk
Gromth & Emily and Vidar Blusk are my two least favourites, so I'm entirely convinced one will end up winning.