Originally Posted by Thrombin:
“"Twice as often" wasn't meant to be an exact number. I was thinking of the situation where there are three up. In order to be sure of evicting the most popular in a vote to save with three up you have to vote to save the other two. So if there are three up you have to vote for two people while the fans of the one person only have to vote for one. Hence my generalisation of having to vote "twice as often". If there's more than three up, it's even more difficult.”
I answered what you said, which went like this: "you will never be able to evict the most popular. ... You will never be able to evict the most popular housemate in a vote to save (unless you vote twice as many times as fans of the most popular which, by definition, shouldn’t be possible)."
Now you're talking, not about whether it's possible, but what's needed to be sure it happens. That's a big switch. Why is isn't it enough that it can happen? Why do people have to be
sure?
In any case, you still seem to be assuming that that only 'fans' of one of the HMs who are up vote -- because otherwise it can happen without anyone voting for two HMs. Even when it is only those HMs' fans voting, it might be that only some of them have to vote for more than one.
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“Now I will concede that it's not impossible for tactical voting, or even normal voting, to cause the most popular housemate to go in a vote to save but I don't think there can be any argument that it is a lot less likely than it would be with vote to evict.”
There's a largely theoretical argument that voting to evict makes it easier, but it uses a questionable definition of 'popular', and how often does it actually happen? When has the most popular HM gone in a normal vote to evict? Also, how popular were they, and the HMs they were up against? How would you even know? (The polls are not a very good guide.) Some thought fans of other HMs were ganging up to get Sam out last week, but he didn't go, did he? No.
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“An interesting wrinkle I hadn't thought of, but, even so, in a multi-eviction vote to save it's still unlikely that the favourite would get the least votes out of everybody. If they did, then fair enough, they're not as liked overall as they need to be to win the show, which I have no problem with.”
Assuming that by "multi-eviction" you mean more than two up, rather than more than two being evicted, then what you say there doesn't seem to be consistent with what you say next:
Quote:
“They are in my definition. It's common for popular housemates to generate a lot of negative voters because favourite housemates put themselves out there more and have more of an impact on the show. But, IMO, the show is about finding the housemate the majority want to win. I don't care if there is a strong minority who don't want them to. It just means their doing something right!”
Then your definition is rather questionable. You're defining popularity in a way that doesn't fit voting preferences or what anyone who doesn't have the HM as their favourite thinks. It doesn't even fit what people will do in a vote to win. The voters who dislike a HM don't disappear when working out which HM (if any) a majority want to win.
Anyway, I don't know of any good reason to think HMs are disliked just because they put themselves out there.
And if you think a strong minority who don't want a HM to win means the HM is doing something right, shouldn't you want that to be taken into account somehow when determining the winner? (I have no idea how that could be done, though.)
Quote:
“I don't apologise for using my preference as an argument for why I prefer vote to save. What else would I be basing my opinion on?
”
You also said "Vote to evict is fine if you are interested in getting rid of who you dislike." I pointed out that one's own preferred motive is not the only reason for preferring one voting system rather than the other. (Indeed, most of the arguments about voting systems have been about other things.)
Quote:
“I'm not sure people really turn off the show because a disliked character doesn't go, though. I've heard plenty of people say they've lost interest in the show whenever their favourite leaves but I don't think I've ever heard it said just because a disliked housemate isn't evicted.”
I've seen both said, but it's not clear how many actually stop watching. My point was about contestants who make the show worse, not that they necessarily stopped people from watching.
One thing that limits the number of complaints about disliked HMs staying is that they so often go. One of the main stories of bb7 (and one that most viewers liked) was the 'plastics' being voted out. In bb9, it was the 'whisper club' being evicted. One of the biggest complaints during bb10 was that we weren't getting a chance to vote Lisa out. When she was up in week (due to a punishment decision), BB made it vote to save, and Hira went.
Quote:
“I think it's a false premise that Rachel was particularly quiet. She had a big impact on that BB. Even her supposed 'fence-sitting' created memorable scenes and Rex's catch phrase! Personally I think Rachel would have won vote to save. I have an awful memory but I don't think her win over Stuart was because Stuart was a disliked housemate. He was good-looking and male and, on paper, boring, fence-sitting Rachel would not have been saved if she didn't have a large fan base voting out Stuart.”
I tried to give Rachel her due by saying quieter HMs can be the most interesting.
I think that for most viewers, Rachel seemed a rather quiet HM, but there's a bunch of different issues in there. I think Stu was pretty widely disliked, because he was on the wrong side during 'spit night' (and for some other reasons), but Rachel vs Stu is only one eviction, and it might not even have occurred if the whole series had been vote to save. If Rachel had a large fan base, it's odd that the final was so close. I don't think it can really be questioned that Rachel was pretty quiet and reserved as a HM, even though she did less fence-sitting that is usually claimed and got strong reactions from some HMs. A lot of what people liked about her wasn't in the highlights and so would have had little effect on most viewers. And even though I'm fairly familiar with the case her fans make for her, I don't know what her 'big impact' is supposed to be. Bar far the biggest impact on bb9 was the spitting and the events around it, in which Rachel played only a minor part.
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“Well, given that Dan was my favourite this year and I don't think he would have gone in a vote to save, I can live with the bad guys in the house a little longer if it means my favourites get to stay. I accept that that's just my preference, though. The main reason I like vote to save is that it saves my phone bill!”
It's hard to tell what would have happened if Dan vs Sam vs Sophie had been to-save, but the situation occurred only because of a twist. I see the twist as the problem, not the voting system.
I wonder though whether it would have made a difference to how well Hazel did. I think probably not.