Originally Posted by C14E:
“It is later. But what people forget is that since that loss of 23% for last years opener, it has probably lost another 15-20% of its audience. So all the positive factors need to make up for that loss before we talk about building on last year.
Since September 2011, every single episode has been down double digit percentages on the previous year. Launches are usually well below the previous years finale performance shows - and last years final Saturday episode only had 9.3m to start with. So it's a massive swing required to actually post an improvement (whether on the premiere of 8.7m or the 8.6m is scored on the equivalent date last year).
I think the fact that growth is even being considered is a positive sign that there's a better feeling around this years show. And I think even a slight growth will make the world of difference to the press the show gets this year. While I'm confident it won't be down anything like as much as last year, I'm definitely not expecting any kind of major improvement.”
“It is later. But what people forget is that since that loss of 23% for last years opener, it has probably lost another 15-20% of its audience. So all the positive factors need to make up for that loss before we talk about building on last year.
Since September 2011, every single episode has been down double digit percentages on the previous year. Launches are usually well below the previous years finale performance shows - and last years final Saturday episode only had 9.3m to start with. So it's a massive swing required to actually post an improvement (whether on the premiere of 8.7m or the 8.6m is scored on the equivalent date last year).
I think the fact that growth is even being considered is a positive sign that there's a better feeling around this years show. And I think even a slight growth will make the world of difference to the press the show gets this year. While I'm confident it won't be down anything like as much as last year, I'm definitely not expecting any kind of major improvement.”
Agree, I think people are being swept up a bit. For all last year's launch had tougher circumstances, things didn't improve from there at all across the series. The episode on the same weekend last year got 8.6m, the final auditions show got 9.0m, the first live show got 9.1m, which fell to 8.0m by the semi-final. The Saturday final then rebounded to 9.5m, with 11.1m for the Sunday. So the Saturday final was down 13% and the Sunday final down 15%. Bearing in mind last year's Saturday final had easier competition than 2011's and that both semifinal shows were down 25%, it's safe to say they've got an uphill climb ahead of them.
However, they have done some good work so far and for the first time since September 2011 things are looking positive. There's been a much bigger advertising campaign, no Olympics overshadowing the launch and there is a more positive feeling surrounding it all. For those reasons I think it can match last year's launch despite how last year's series went afterwards. A small improvement is plausible, but nothing too drastic, and a fall wouldn't surprise me completely either, although again I'd be surprised if it was a drastic one.
Predictions (inc +1)
Saturday: 8.9m
Sunday: 9.2m
Anyone else?
Originally Posted by square_eyes:
“Stepping Out panel confirmed as Mel B, Jason Gardiner & Wayne Sleep.”
“Stepping Out panel confirmed as Mel B, Jason Gardiner & Wayne Sleep.”
Solid panel there. Certainly not the shy and retiring types. I still don't have high hopes for this show though, and Strictly will sadly crush it in week 2 anyway.
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