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The Ratings Thread (Part 53)
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NeilVW
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by Roscoe Barnes:
“It makes last nights rating look even worse. Maybe I shouldn't have posted it.

The share excluding +1 was 39.3%. Don't have the share with +1 though.”

Haha, be strong! Thanks for the share, which year on year is down -4.7 points or roughly -5.5 points with +1.

Originally Posted by Roscoe Barnes:
“This time last year was the dodgy ratings patch. Who even knows if those figures were correct. It was all very odd at the time.”

I would have thought BARB made absolutely sure the revised ratings they released were correct. They were slated by their clients for the error.

Originally Posted by Hassaan13:
“I wonder why it shot up at bootcamp last year?”

There was some momentum around that time last year: the final auditions show the week before was a Saturday series high (up +900k/+800k on the previous Saturday), and then it rose a further +500k/+500k for Bootcamp.
Hassaan13
29-09-2013
X Factor has seen night-on-night increases of 2-3m in the past, even this early on in the competition. Just saying - if it gains enough momentum through word of mouth tonight, its possible. Not that I fully expect it to, of course. It could realistically be at around 8.8m.
Brekkie
29-09-2013
Isn't Atlantis then the highest rating drama premiere of the autumn for a brand new series?
johnnymc
29-09-2013
Looked at a bit of "The X Factor" just now on itv but it looks really heavy. Lots of pressure, tears and contestants getting booted off. Not much fun involved in it and a bit cruel. What makes me switch off is the fakery involved in the show and its insincerity to the contestants and also the loyal viewers who believe it all. I reminds me of the Saturday wrestling matches!
wizzywick
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by Brekkie:
“Isn't Atlantis then the highest rating drama premiere of the autumn for a brand new series?”

So far, yes!
GBali
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by F1Ken:
“It got over 6m merlin, BUT and it's a big but. Since then we have seen a big move in Timeshifting, so Atlantis will probably timeshift to about the same.

It's up I think on Merlin's premier last year I think??

Ken”

It is. Merlin got 5.49m last year.
H of De Vil
29-09-2013
Just watched Atlantis, it was 'ok', not fantastic but not terrible. However i still maintain that it will rate between 4-6million during its run. If it does flop however, then the BBC have got some problems, considering it is supposed to have a five year arc. But i do miss Merlin.
NeilVW
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by F1Ken:
“It got over 6m merlin, BUT and it's a big but. Since then we have seen a big move in Timeshifting, so Atlantis will probably timeshift to about the same.

It's up I think on Merlin's premier last year I think??”

Yes, last autumn's Merlin series premiere on 6 October got 5.49m (23.5%) overnight which timeshifted to 7.12m. It will be interesting to see where Atlantis's overnight of 5.62m (25.3%) gets to in the officials.

Originally Posted by Tourista:
“Also find the "ratings" a puzzle tbh. My PVR isn't connected to the internet, so my watching of "terrestrial" TV is never counted, whereas my "digital" watching via Sky is....”

Your viewing won't be counted unless you are one of the 5,000 or so BARB households with a special box.

http://www.barb.co.uk/resources/refe...-do-what-we-do
johnnymc
29-09-2013
Itv are failing to get 5.6 at 9pm some weeknights never mind up against its best rated weekend show "Atlantis" should be happy with that.
Jaycee Dove
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by Jonwo:
“WDYTYA does seem to running out of steam but it still rates okay, they seem to running out of big names to do it, maybe it would benefit from having just 6-8 episodes a year.”

They already commissioned 10 for 2014.

As noted in an earlier reply I posted on here the other day that I feel 10 is too many weeks to run a series like this that is very subject dependent and requires a long viewer commitment.

Common sense decrees 2 x 5 episode runs spread out in Spring/Autumn. Would get a better average IMO.
wizzywick
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by H of De Vil:
“Just watched Atlantis, it was 'ok', not fantastic but not terrible. However i still maintain that it will rate between 4-6million during its run. If it does flop, that the BBC have got some problems, considering it is supposed to have a five year arc. But i do miss Merlin, which had more well kown actors in it.”

I think it was a good enough start for people to keep on watching it. It will fluctuate a bit, some weeks slightly down, some weeks sometimes up, but I think it will be far from the BBC axeman come the end of the run. Infact I foresee a 'recommission announcement' in a matter of weeks!
H of De Vil
29-09-2013
Atlantis will timeshift to 7.3million is my bet, so around 1.7million.
johnnymc
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by H of De Vil:
“Just watched Atlantis, it was 'ok', not fantastic but not terrible. However i still maintain that it will rate between 4-6million during its run. If it does flop however, then the BBC have got some problems, considering it is supposed to have a five year arc. But i do miss Merlin. ”

Like who? Juila Stevenson. Mark Addy and Sarah Parish are all well known. "Atlantis" had a good pace and was a bit more fun than the very serious "Doctor Who" has been of late it had a lightness to it that is a bit missing from "Doctor Who"
H of De Vil
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by wizzywick:
“I think it was a good enough start for people to keep on watching it. It will fluctuate a bit, some weeks slightly down, some weeks sometimes up, but I think it will be far from the BBC axeman come the end of the run. Infact I foresee a 'recommission announcement' in a matter of weeks!”

Not of it drops below 4million it won't, but hopefully that won't happen. Though i wonder if it did flop, whether the BBC would consider bringing Merlin back?
wizzywick
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by H of De Vil:
“Not of it drops below 4million it won't, but hopefully that won't happen. Though i wonder if it did flop, whether the BBC would consider bringing Merlin back?”

There is no reason why it should drop below 4 million. It seems to be only a few on here and throughout twitter who were moaning about it. It will do OK. People are happy to write things off too quickly these days. Next week I predict the ratings to be 5.2m and it will remain thereafter between 4.8m and 5.2m for the entire run, with consolidated figures giving it an average of around 6.1m for the series.

How can they bring Merlin back? The very last scene of Merlin was set in 2012, a juggernaut lorry goes whizzing past and a grumpy, sad Merlin is walking along the road awaiting the ressurrection of his beloved Arthur. Not really a 'bring back Merlin' scenario! It was too final.
cylon6
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by Roscoe Barnes:
“The adjusted rating for the Saturday boot camp last year was 9.1m (inc +1: 9.5m). Maybe the same thing has happened again this year?


In all seriousness though. That's worse than I imagined for TXF last night. Just 7.8m with +1 is on the low side. I'm sure it will recover tonight. The scheduling is bonkers though. Didn't ITV or the EP of TXF say after last years series, that they won't be making the same mistakes scheduling wise and would be starting at 7pm so it all wrapped up by 9pm every week. It's these late finishes that drag it down.

If anyone has a breakdown for last night that would be much appreciated.

Fantastic for Strictly it has to be said.”

I think The X Factor would rate even worse with more of a clash against Strictly. It's not the all conquering show of 2010 where it could go anywhere and get a great audience. The competition can knock 1/2 million off.
James J
29-09-2013
That Stepping Out rating really is painful, literally atrociously and unequivocally AWFUL!
F1Ken
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by wizzywick:
“There is no reason why it should drop below 4 million. It seems to be only a few on here and throughout twitter who were moaning about it. It will do OK. People are happy to write things off too quickly these days. Next week I predict the ratings to be 5.2m and it will remain thereafter between 4.8m and 5.2m for the entire run, with consolidated figures giving it an average of around 6.1m for the series.”

That's all it need's to do.

Ken
Hassaan13
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by James J:
“That Stepping Out rating really is painful, literally atrociously and unequivocally AWFUL! ”

I bet even TV Burp repeats would rate better than it! Especially against Strictly.

I don't know what ITV were thinking. They'll be hoping that Celebrity Chase is a success which it can be - as long as there is an anti-Strictly audience for that kind of show.
dazza89
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by Hassaan13:
“I bet even TV Burp repeats would rate better than it! Especially against Strictly.

I don't know what ITV were thinking. They'll be hoping that Celebrity Chase is a success which it can be - as long as there is an anti-Strictly audience for that kind of show.”

Looking at the C4 Sales website and GOLD are going to be showing TV Burp repeats from November, I didn't think GOLD showed many ITV shows and especially ones like TV Burp that like you say would probably rate ok for ITV or ITV2, be interesting to see how it rates for GOLD.
UKTV do seem to be expanding there programmes quite a bit this year which is good to see.
wizzywick
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by Hassaan13:
“I bet even TV Burp repeats would rate better than it! Especially against Strictly.

I don't know what ITV were thinking. They'll be hoping that Celebrity Chase is a success which it can be - as long as there is an anti-Strictly audience for that kind of show.”

But, what if, and it could have been a realistic if, Stepping Out was a hit? ITV obviously had high hopes. They went, they tried, they lost! They move on. The sun will still rise, the world will still turn. Christmas will still come and go.
RobbieSykes123
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by Andy23:
“So the Saturday shows rate lower than Sundays and have the SCD clash situation, I suggest next year they should move it to Sunday night instead. Finishing at 9pm, starting whatever time is required depending on the stage of the competition.

Results show, maybe Monday at 9pm, that would be different? Is it too big a risk?

Saturdays would therefore be left a bit exposed though. They do have enough second tier programmes to produce a schedule, and I'm a Celeb would be able to air as the main programme during the weeks it is on, rather than shoved out of the way in a late slot like an afterthought, but as we've seen with BBC1 does a schedule without a massive hook, just second tier stuff mean nobody tunes in to any of it at all.”

The Saturday ratings are damaged by the fact only die hard fans, or family and friends of the contestants, needs too watch on Saturday. You can watch tonight and see everything you need in a one hour package. The Saturday show has become the equivalent of QI XL or HIGABMNFY. Except that it broadcasts before the edited show not after it.

Originally Posted by Brekkie:
“Isn't Atlantis then the highest rating drama premiere of the autumn for a brand new series?”

didn't Robin Hood launch with c 8m?
wizzywick
29-09-2013
Originally Posted by RobbieSykes123:
“The Saturday ratings are damaged by the fact only die hard fans, or family and friends of the contestants, needs too watch on Saturday. You can watch tonight and see everything you need in a one hour package. The Saturday show has become the equivalent of QI XL or HIGABMNFY. Except that it broadcasts before the edited show not after it.



didn't Robin Hood launch with c 8m?”

I can't remember what Robin Hood launched with. Did it actually air against TXF though?
owlycherries
29-09-2013
I'm glad Atlantis did well. I thought it was a decent replacement for Merlin! The ratings will dip next week, but hopefully not by too much!
Drifter
29-09-2013
I do think ITV's Saturdays are going to look considerably dodgy even into January. We'll see how the coming Saturdays do, but they haven't built a solid schedule around the big show as BBC1 have.

Going into January, Splash will have increased (i.e actual) competition from a show that in theory should rate higher for its third series as it has lesser competition and will be earlier in the year. The only things possibly against it are people not being ready for another singing show so soon after X Factor, and the changes made not working out, but I can't see either stopping it owning the night.

I wonder if it would be better to move Dancing on Ice back to Saturdays for its last series, and have the results either later or early evening Sunday as they currently totally stiff against Midwife. You could then have this (I cannot remember exact duration of said shows so I'm making this up ):

6.00: Dancing On Ice
8.00: Splash
9.00: Take Me Out?

And the latter shows could move earlier once the DOI show shortens, or DOI starting later

And for Sundays:

6.00: Catchphrase
6.30: DOI Results
7.00: A light drama a la Heartbeat would be perfect
8.00: Family Fortunes

Sundays would probably end up rating the same roughly, but the weekend as a whole would look stronger, and I think it's going to need to be this January as the ride won't be so easy as before.
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