After last saturday, Sophie is understandably the contender, but we havent seen her dance proper latin just yet and it is early days. However, she is really likeable, so could go all the way!
I still think Susanna is a strong contender, if her hectic schedule does not hindrance her too much. Natalie and Ashley too, he as the only male that has a decent chance all things considered and her on the back of being the stronger dancer through out. Unless something happens for Natalie - consistently underscoring, a bit of drama, wow dance about week 5...- I can't see her winning yet.
Abbey just behind all the above four. But her latin was better than expected even though she messed up.