We will have the full list of dances and training videos tonight, so best to get in there early

I think we might be seeing the first 10 of the series this week

I'm not so sure... If any, I think it will be Sophie and Brendan's foxtrot.

I definitely think Natalie might take a tumble this week - purely based on the fact that for the last three years, the consistent one has fallen in week 4 (Pamela, Jason and Denise).

It depends on what dance Natalie has if she has one of the dramatic - paso, tango she could be amazing, but Artem might be better off getting some of dodgy ones out the way early like Samba or charleston if he's not going to swerve that one.

Abbey and Aljaz - Tango - 7 7 7 7 28
Ashley and Ola - Viennese Waltz - 8 9 9 9 35
Ben and Kristina - Salsa - 5 6 7 7 25
Dave and Karen - Waltz - 3 5 5 5 18
Deborah and Robin - Jive - 4 6 6 6 22
Fiona and Anton - Rumba - 6 7 7 7 27
Julien and Janette - Salsa - 3 5 5 5 18
Mark and Iveta - Cha-Cha-Cha - 5 7 6 6 24
Natalie and Artem - 9 9 10 9 37
Patrick and Anya - 7 7 8 8 30
Rachel and Pasha - Quickstep - 6 6 7 6 25
Sophie and Brendan - Foxtrot - 9 9 9 9 36
Susanna and Kevin - Samba - 8 8 8 8 32

LEADERBOARD
1st) Natalie and Artem (37)
2nd) Sophie and Brendan (36)
3rd) Ashley and Ola (35)
4th ) Susanna and Kevin (32)
5th) Patrick and Anya (30)
6th) Abbey and Aljaz (28)
7th) Fiona and Anton (27)
=8th) Ben and Kristina (25)
=8th) Rachel and Pasha (25)
10th) Mark and Iveta (24)
11th) Deborah and Robin (22)
=12th) Julien and Janette (18)
=12th) Dave and Karen (18)

Bottom 2: Deborah and Robin and Julien and Janette

Eliminated: Julien and Janette

I always pay attention to Ian on ITT, because he is normally correct. And after hearing his brilliant feedback on Natalie, I think we might just get a 10!

1) Natalie & Artem - 9,9,9,9 = 36
2) Sophie & Brendan - 8,9,9,9 = 35
3) Abbey & Aljaz - 8,8,8,8 = 32
4) Susanna & Kevin - 7,8,8,8 = 31
5) Ashley & Ola - 7,7,8,8 = 30
6) Patrick & Anya - 7,7,8,7 = 29
7) Fiona & Anton - 7,7,7,7 = 28
=) Rachel & Pasha - 7,7,7,7 = 28
9) Mark & Iveta - 6,7,7,7 = 27
10) Deborah & Robin - 5,6,7,6 = 24
11) Ben & Kristina - 4,5,7,5 = 21
12) Dave & Karen - 4,5,5,5 = 19
13) Julien & Janette - 2,5,5,5 = 17

(I reckon they'll keep the boys as low as possible and behind the four best girls as often as they can help it)

Deborah vs Julien in the dance-off with Julien eliminated.

1. Natalie & Artem - 38
2. Sophie & Brendan - 35
3. Ashley & Ola - 32
4. Abbey & Aljaz - 30
= Susanna & Kevin - 30
6. Patrick & Anya - 28
7. Fiona & Anton - 27
8. Ben & Kristina - 25
9. Mark & Iveta - 24
= Rachel & Pasha - 24
11. Deborah & Robin - 22
12. Julien & Janette - 20
13. Dave & Karen - 19

Bottom Two - Julien & Janette and Deborah & Robin
Eliminated - Julien & Janette

though I'd rather...

Eliminated - Dave & Karen

Abbey and Alijaz Tango - 8,8,8,9 - 33
Ashley and Ola V Waltz - 8,9,9,9 - 35
Ben and Kristina Salsa - 6,7,6,6 - 25
Dave and Karen Waltz - 3,5,5,4 - 17
Deborah and Robin Jive - 6,6,6,6 - 24
Fiona and Anton Rumba - 7,8,7,8 - 30
Julien and Janette Salsa - 4,5,5,5 - 19
Mark and Iveta Cha Cha Cha - 5,7,7,6 - 25
Natalie and Artem Quickstep - 9,9,8,10 - 36
Patrick and Anya Cha Cha - 7,7,7,7 - 28
Rachel and Pasha Quickstep - 6,6,8,7 - 27
Sophie and Brendan Foxtrot - 8,9,10,9 - 36
Susanna and Kevin Samba - 7,7,8,7 - 29

Abbey and Aljaz - Tango: 7,8,8,8 = 31
Ashley and Ola - Viennese Waltz: 8,9,8,9=34
Ben and Kristina - Salsa: 5,6,6,6=23
Dave and Karen - Waltz: 3,5,5,4=17
Deborah and Robin - Jive: 5,5,6,6=22
Fiona and Anton - Rumba: 6,7,7,7=27
Julien and Janette - Salsa: 3,5,6,5=19
Mark and Iveta - Cha-Cha-Cha: 5,6,7,6=24
Natalie and Artem - Quickstep: 8,9,9,9=35
Patrick and Anya - Cha-Cha: 7,7,8,7=29
Rachel and Pasha - Quickstep: 6,6,7,7=26
Sophie and Brendan - Foxtrot: 8,9,9,8=34
Susanna and Kevin - Samba: 7,7,8,8=30

Overall Leaderboard:
1. Natalie and Artem - Quickstep: 35
2. Ashley and Ola - Viennese Waltz: 34
2. Sophie and Brendan - Foxtrot: 34
4. Abbey and Aljaz - Tango: 31
5. Susanna and Kevin - Samba: 30
6. Patrick and Anya - Cha-Cha: 29
7. Fiona and Anton - Rumba: 27
8. Rachel and Pasha - Quickstep: 26
9. Mark and Iveta - Cha-Cha-Cha: 24
10. Ben and Kristina - Salsa: 23
11. Deborah and Robin - Jive: 22
12. Julien and Janette - Salsa: 19
13. Dave and Karen - Waltz: 17

This seems fair, although I have a feeling that Natalie's quickstep probably won't merit 9s if they have to take some figures out or change it in such a way that she can dance it without being in too much pain.

Abbey and Aljaz - Tango: 31
Ashley and Ola - Viennese Waltz: 33
Ben and Kristina - Salsa: 28
Dave and Karen - Waltz: 18
Deborah and Robin - Jive: 21
Fiona and Anton - Rumba: 23
Julien and Janette - Salsa: 20
Mark and Iveta - Cha-Cha-Cha: 24
Natalie and Artem - Quickstep: 36
Patrick and Anya - Cha-Cha: 27
Rachel and Pasha - Quickstep: 24
Sophie and Brendan - Foxtrot: 31
Susanna and Kevin - Samba: 30

Abbey and Aljaz - Tango: 7, 7, 8, 8= 30
Ashley and Ola - Viennese Waltz: 9, 9, 9, 9= 36
Ben and Kristina - Salsa: 5, 6, 7, 6= 24
Dave and Karen - Waltz: 3, 5, 5, 4= 17
Deborah and Robin - Jive: 5, 7, 7, 6= 25
Fiona and Anton - Rumba: 7, 8, 8, 8= 31
Julien and Janette - Salsa: 4, 5, 6, 5= 20
Mark and Iveta - Cha-Cha-Cha: 6, 7, 8, 7= 28
Natalie and Artem - Quickstep: 8, 9, 9, 9= 35
Patrick and Anya - Cha-Cha-Cha: 8, 8, 8, 8= 32
Rachel and Pasha - Quickstep: 6, 8, 8, 7= 29
Sophie and Brendan - Foxtrot: 9, 9, 10, 9= 37
Susanna and Kevin- Samba: 7, 8, 7, 7= 29

If Natalie dances her QS without hiccups as a result of her back I reckon she'll get about 38 - 10 from Darcey and Len.

Abbey & Aljaz: Tango - 8, 8, 8, 8: 32
Ashley & Ola: Viennese Waltz - 8, 9, 8, 8: 33
Ben & Kristina: Salsa - 5, 6, 7, 6: 24
Dave & Karen: Waltz - 4, 5, 6, 5: 20
Deborah & Robin: Jive - 6, 6, 7, 6: 25
Fiona & Anton: Rumba - 7, 8, 8, 8: 31
Julien & Janette: Salsa - 5, 7, 7, 7: 26
Mark & Iveta: Cha-Cha-Cha - 6, 7, 7, 7: 27
Natalie & Artem: Quickstep - 8, 8, 8, 8: 32
Patrick & Anya: Cha-Cha-Cha - 7, 8, 8, 8: 31
Rachel & Pasha: Quickstep - 7, 8, 8, 8: 31
Sophie & Brendan: Foxtrot - 9, 9, 9, 9: 36
Susanna & Kevin: Samba - 7, 8, 7, 8: 30

Rubbish at predicting scores (all depends what sort of mood the judges are in) but would guess that Dave and Julien will be propping up the leaderboard.

Abbey & Aljaz: Tango - 7,8,8,9 32
Ashley & Ola: Viennese Waltz - 8,9,9,9 35
Ben & Kristina: Salsa - 5,7,7,7 26
Dave & Karen: Waltz - 3,5,5,5 18
Deborah & Robin: Jive - 5,6,7,7 25
Fiona & Anton: Rumba - 8,7,7,8 30
Julien & Janette: Salsa - 3,5,6,5 19
Mark & Iveta: Cha-Cha-Cha - 5,6,6,6 23
Natalie & Artem: Quickstep - 9,10,9,10 38
Patrick & Anya: Cha-Cha-Cha - 7,8,8,8 31
Rachel & Pasha: Quickstep - 6,7,8,7 28
Sophie & Brendan: Foxtrot - 7,7,7,8 29
Susanna & Kevin: Samba - 7,7,8,8 30

Abbey & Aljaz: Tango - 6, 7, 8, 7: 28
Ashley & Ola: Viennese Waltz - 8, 9, 9, 9: 35
Ben & Kristina: Salsa - 4, 6, 7, 6: 23
Dave & Karen: Waltz - 5, 5, 7, 5: 22
Deborah & Robin: Jive - 4, 5, 7, 6: 22
Fiona & Anton: Rumba - 7, 7, 7, 7: 28
Julien & Janette: Salsa - 4, 6, 7, 6: 23
Mark & Iveta: Cha-Cha-Cha - 6, 6, 7, 7: 26
Natalie & Artem: Quickstep - 8, 8, 9, 9: 34
Patrick & Anya: Cha-Cha-Cha - 8, 8, 8, 8: 32
Rachel & Pasha: Quickstep - 5, 6, 7, 7: 25
Sophie & Brendan: Foxtrot - 7, 8, 9, 8: 32
Susanna & Kevin: Samba - 7, 8, 7, 8: 30

Abbey (Tango) - 7, 7, 7, 7 = 28
Ashley (VW) - 8, 8, 8, 8 = 32
Ben (Salsa) - 4, 6, 6, 5 = 21
Dave (Waltz) - 5, 6, 7, 6 = 24
Deborah (Jive ) - 4, 5, 6, 5 = 20
Fiona (Rumba) - 5, 6, 7, 5 = 23
Julien (Salsa) - 5, 6, 7, 6 = 24
Mark (Cha-Cha-Cha) - 5, 6, 6, 6 = 23
Natalie (Quickstep) - 9, 9, 8, 9 = 35
Patrick (Cha-Cha-Cha) - 6, 7, 7, 7 = 27
Rachel (Quickstep) - 6, 6, 7, 6 = 25
Sophie (Foxtrot) - 8, 9, 9, 9 = 35
Susanna (Samba) - 7, 8, 8, 8 = 31

Overall Leaderboard

Natalie - 35
Sophie - 35
Ashley - 32
Susanna - 31
Abbey - 28
Patrick - 27
Rachel - 25
Dave - 24
Julien - 24
Fiona - 23
Mark - 23
Ben - 21
Deborah - 20

Bottom 2
Fiona / Patrick
Eliminated
Fiona