Originally Posted by D.M.N.:
“Here are the parallel ratings for FA Cup Round 3 - Saturday evening match last year when it was on BBC One:
BBC-1
Match Of The Day Live (17:05) - 7.41m (37.1%)
ITV-1
Willy Wonka And The Chocolate Factory (17:00) - 3.67m (17.1%)
You've Been Framed! (18:50) - 5.39m (22.4%)”
Originally Posted by D.M.N.:
“Saturday 3rd January 2009
BBC One
17:35 - Doctor Who Confidential - 6.11m (29%)
18:05 - Total Wipeout - 6.45m (29%)
*Peak: 6.92m
ITV1
16:45 - The FA Cup - 4.6m (23.2%)
*15-minute peak: 6.42m
*16:45 to 17:30 - 2.46m (14.53%)
*17:30 to 19:15 - 5.6m (25.76%)”
Ouch!!
That must be hurting ITV - nearly 3m down on the corresponding BBC1 coverage last year, which didn't even feature the club that was top of the league at the time or any giant-killing potential. The United v Villa game peaked with about 8.5m-9m too IIRC, so they're a good 2 million down there too.
I find it enormously satisfying to see ITV paying stupid money to wrest the rights away from the BBC, having seen how much stronger the Beeb's coverage and ratings had been since winning the rights back off ITV, and then finding that audiences would simply rather not watch FA Cup/England international matches at all than have to watch ITV Sport's amateur hour efforts and Tyldesley and Pleat/Beglin wittering on inanely.
That's 3 big games under the new contract that have pulled in disappointing audiences (England v Kazakhstan, Germany v England, and PNE v Liverpool) on ITV1, around 2-3m down on what BBC1 would have got for the same matches. Indeed, I think only the Germany game actually won its slot - and that got only 7m or so, for a game England actually won lest we forget.
ITV must be losing money hand over fist on this contract, particularly with ad revenues being squeezed. If they can't deliver an audience, and viewers would rather watch on BBC1 a programme normally used to pad out BBC3's schedules or contestants wriggling around in mud and bouncing off giant bouncy balls, then they are going to have problems.
Will ITV have to pull out of this contract too before it runs its course, like they did with the F1 and the ITV Digital/Football League contract that nearly resulted in many non-Premier League clubs going bust when they pulled the plug?
As for the other stuff, I think the Beeb will be disappointed that Your Country Needs You.. couldn't clear 5m with a lead-in of 7m. I thought it would just nose past Demons, and it prevented a BBC1 clean-sweep last night which many on here scoffed at when I suggested it was a distinct possibility when the schedules were announced.
I think it will build as the live shows start, but it's only a short 6 week run - will people bother to engage with this? Mind you, it will only have re-hashed YBF and TV Burp repeats to go against from next week, so that will help.
Good start for Demons, but it will struggle to maintain much more than 4.5-5m on last night's evidence, particularly as it looks like it will now be up against In it To Win It.
Total Wipeout did very good business, building to nearly 7m, but will struggle to hold that with an earlier slot next week. I think the Beeb are on to a winner with this though.
The BBC will be disappointed with Casualty. Although it averaged a very consistent 6.0m over the 50 minutes, and looks to have found a regular audience at that level, it has inevitably been damaged by the X-Factor competition and people getting out of the habit of watching. I think the BBC should shorten it a 30 week run (max) launching on the Saturday of the SCD Final and running until July, then resting it until December. And make it less soapy, and more like it used to be when 16m tuned in to 'guess the accident', not to see who is shagging whom.