Originally Posted by marinamau:
“BIB not really. Any of the top five people last weekend could have been bottom of the public vote and still managed to avoid the dance off.
Also, we dont know whether there is going to be a dance off (DO) semifinal. If there is, then:
- Natalie for sure (minus accidents/health issues) is in the final;
- Abbey still on 50/50 chance (she would be as long as she avoids DO with Natalie and/or with a very weak latin against strong ballroom, both scenarios quite possible).
- all the others (minus Mark) have a chance of getting to the final through even through DO, depending on what they are dancing. Nobody would have bet that Mark with a jive would survive a DO against Fiona and Antons AS.
Ideally, I would like:
Natalie
Abbey
Sophie
Patrick
But barring any disasters, Susanna is a dead cert for the final. At the moment I do think that it is likely:
Susana 99%
Natalie 95%
Sophie/Ben - which ever fan base is stronger, popular couples but not the strongest in the dancing (ie scoring from judges can be anywhere). 75%
Patrick/Abbey - the two who I think have the weakest voting base, but apart from Natalie, the better dancers of the comp so they can be saved by the judges scoring and/or DO. 50%
Ashley, outside chance but I think more likely to end up as Scott Maslen. 40%”
I don't think that Natalie is popular with the viewers as many people assume in this forum. She is certainly really popular
here but not elsewhere.
Has anyone looked at the BBC strictly Facebook page, bbc blog or guardian blog ? Suffice it to say that she's not really popular in those blogs.
With that being said, I think that Natalie and Susanna are dead cert for the finals. Sophie also to an extent.
4th place for the finals at the moment could go to Abbey, Patrick, Ashley or Ben imo.