http://metro.co.uk/2013/12/20/strict...final-4233173/


Sophie Ellis-Bextor 47.31%








Abbey Clancy 19.35%








Susanna Reid 17.2%








Natalie Gumede 16.13%

Delete.
Last edited by edy10 : 20-12-2013 at 12:46

And from that same blog post:


So even the "science" (such as it is, and it seems to be a bit tenuous) contains a fair degree of assumption, with a chunk of uncertainty left over.

DS poll

Tbh I'm worried about Sophie...

You miss the point completely. This is a BRAND NEW article and poll (one vote per person) and as such should be accurate of CURRENT opinions not those of a week ago,

Poll from people who saw the poll and care about voting in meaningless polls.

But you do make me smile in a week when the board can be pretty grim.

Polls mean absolutely nothing at this stage. It's anyone's game.

If you think it really is only one vote per person I suspect you don't know much about how incredibly easy it is to manipulate any online poll.
On top of which, I'm seriously laughing at her picking Susanna's Samba as her "best dance" so if that's the basis for her science, it's sadly lacking.


Also true Alli.

The poll I listed is the DS main page one which only has the 4 finalists, 1 vote per voter.

Not sure I fully understand the 'science' here, but I've thought Sophie seemed the most likely to win for a while.

Yes but that poll was LAST WEEKEND when Abbey was in the forefront of everyone's mind. This poll was started FRIDAY MORNING. Can't you see how important that is?

Nope. The only "Important one" is the one tomorrow. When people pay money to vote and choose a favourite.

If anyone messes up, or fails to deliver a decent show dance then it could be goodbye.

No amount of poll votes will make Sophie a winner if they do not translate into votes.

Not really no, it's no more important than any other poll in any other newspaper or on any other website - it only gives the results of those people who have seen it.
The only "reliable" guide, in as much as anything is ever reliable when it concerns the public, are the bookies' odds as they change daily based on who is laying down money on which contestant.

Current opinions of those who

a) A members of DS

b) Visit the SCD forum regular enough to have seen the vote

c) Actually bother to vote in a pretty meaningless poll that has no direct bearing on the SCD result


DS Forums members are not necessarily representative of the general public, especially seeing as they are self-selecting (i.e. choose to visit and choose to vote).

How realistic are the results when voters can only vote once? Diehards will spend their winter lecky money to support their chosen contestant. The contestant who commands most fanatical support is the likely winner. A canny poll would ask how many times each respondent was likely to vote in the final and for whom

.....

Direct links do not work as that is a direct DS rival.

I'd find the results more valid if the poll wasn't on the same page as an article telling us Sophie will win.

That poll is only as accurate as all the other polls, which means not at all. That's a poll of people who happen to have found it. I didn't until you posted it & then bother to vote. I am sure Sophie is popular & has a chance of winning but the only poll that matters is the votes on Saturday night

Is Sophie really better than Susanna? She has little natural rhythm and Brendan drags her around most if the time.

My crystal ball tells me that Susanna is going to win .

I can predict the future .

You see what you want to see perhaps.

I like Sophie and really wanted her to be good. I just don't think she is.

She is good.