Pairs Skate
Hayley: 9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0 - 36.0
Beth: 8.0,8.5,7.5,7.5 - 31.5
Sam : 9.5,9.5,10.0,9.5 - 38.5
Ray: 10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0 - 40.0

Flying
Hayley: 9.0,9.5,10.0,10.0 - 38.5
Beth: 9.0,9.0,9.0,9.0 - 36.0
Sam : 9.5,9.5,10.0,9.0- 38.0
Ray: 10.0,10.0,10.0,10.0 - 40.0

Final Leaderboard
Ray: 40.0+40.0 = 80.0
Sam: 38.5+38.0 = 76.5
Hayley: 36.0+38.5 = 74.5
Beth: 31.5+36.0 = 67.5 a

I think Hayley will be bottom this week. She has missed 4 days of training with Dan due to an injury.

Don't know about scores, but I'll predict the leader board to be:
1) Ray
2) Sam
3) Beth
4) Hayley

Pairs Skate:

Ray- 10.0+10.0+10.0+10.0= 40.0
Hayley- 9.0+9.5+9.0+9.0= 36.5
Sam- 8.5+9.0+9.5+8.5= 35.5
Beth- 8.0+8.5+7.5+8.0= 32.0

Flying:

Ray- 10.0+10.0+10.0+10.0= 40.0
Hayley- 9.5+10.0+9.5+9.5= 38.5
Sam- 9.0+9.0+9.5+9.0= 36.5
Beth- 9.5+9.5+8.5+8.5= 36.0

Pairs:
Ray - 10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 10.0 = 40.0
Sam - 9.0, 9.5, 9.0, 9.0 = 36.5
Hayley - 8.0, 8.0, 8.5, 8.0 = 32.5
Beth - 8.5, 8.5, 7.5, 7.5 = 32.0

Flying:
Ray - 10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 10.0 = 40.0
Hayley - 9.0, 9.0, 9.5, 9.5 = 37.0
Sam - 9.0, 9.0, 8.5, 8.5 35.0
Beth - 8.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0 = 30.0

Leaderboard:
Ray - 80.0
Sam - 71.5
Hayley - 69.5
Beth - 62.0

Ray - 4 + 4 = 8
Hayley - 2 + 3 = 5
Sam - 3 + 1 = 4
Beth - 1 + 2 = 3

Sam vs. Beth - Beth eliminated.

The order to watch out for is Hayley and Sam both ahead of Beth - in that order. That dumps Beth into the skate off - even if she beats Hayley in the vote.

Ray 78 .5 There's no reason why he should get 40 for flying when no one else does.
Hayley 76
Sam 75
Beth73

Ray - 4 + 4 = 8
Hayley - 3 + 2 = 5
Sam - 2 + 1 = 3
Beth - 1 + 3 = 4

Sam v Beth = Beth goes.

Past marking suggests that order. Hayley and Dan being injured and not training may make it impossible though.. If that comes into play, we may get the final of the competitor with no votes, the competitor with no marks, but votes , and the bloke who gets 40 before he puts his skates on.

You're probably right about Sam and Hayley being switched over. They know Sam's a loss cause and will continue to be bottom in the voting, whilst if they at least put Hayley second on the leaderboard, Beth's definitely gone, as this may happen if they don't put her second:

Ray - 4 + 4 = 8
Beth - 1 + 3 = 4
Hayley - 2 + 2 = 4
Sam - 3 + 1 = 4

However, this week, I think the negativity will finally have an effect on Beth's support. The comments and scores she's received so far, plus the comments she's most likely going to receive tonight, will make people question whether she really deserves to be in the final. Whereas Hayley as a sympathy angle, most likely to receive praise and she can make her performances look good, despite having no content.

So, either way, I think Beth's out tonight no matter what path the show decides to take. Unless by some miracle Beth isn't bottom of the leaderboard, then she has a fighting chance, but that's not realistic.

I'm not sure of the actual scores, but think the order after the judges scores will be :

Ray
Sam
Hayley
Beth

After the viewers votes, though, I think the order may change and it will be :

Ray
Beth

Hayley & Sam in skate-off

Hayley has tweeted her pairs routine is " showbiz, camp and big faces!" Which actually fills me with horror! Ray has a balletic routine for his pairs skate and Sam has said his is "fun" whatever that means! Whatever the order I think Ray and Hayley will reach the final as even if they are in the skateoff the judges would pick Ray as the better skater/performer and Hayley has Jai Ho for her routine. The only scenario which would stop this is the unlikely event of both Ray and Hayley in the skateoff. Beth is probably in most danger of elimination followed by Sam.

Its difficult. Hayley's vote may come out more if she's weaker, but Beth has been ahead recently, and her vote will have no reason to go away if she's in trouble with the judges. If they tell us Hayley is brilliant - even though she's, understandably, not, with little training, that may not work at all.

There's also the audience that only starts to vote in the last couple of stages. Who knows what they will vote on. In many reality TV series in recent years the late vote has followed the judges slavishly, but some of the most shows have seen DOI viewers completely ignore them - as with the two finalists last year, and the SCD viewers going for the judges second choice this year.

Beth's problem is, indeed, the judges order - regardless of her vote - unless she can beat Ray. I can see Sam having problems with flying, and Hayley doing well enough flying to justify good marks before scoring more than Beth on her main skate. They can't mark like that though if Hayley looks weaker because of all these injuries in her team.

Pairs skate:
Ray- 10.0,10.0,10.0,9.5
Hayley- 9.0,9.5,9.0,8.5
Sam- 9.5,9.5,10.0,9.5
Beth- 9.0,9.5,8.5,8.5

Flying:
Ray- 9.5,9.5,10.0,9.5
Hayley- 9.5,10.0,10.0,10.0
Beth- 10.0,10.0,9.5,9.0
Sam- 8.5,9.0,9.0,8.0

Bottom 2 Sam and Hayley. Sam out.

Realistically, I think Beth will get higher in Flying. She got her only 10.0 last year from Flying. If she is not poorly, she will be in 9.0s or a 10.0 for both.

Pairs
Ray: 10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 10.0 = 40.0
Beth: 8.5, 8.5, 9.0, 8.5 = 34.5
Sam: 9.5, 9.5, 10.0, 10.0 = 39.0
Hayley: 9.0, 9.0, 10.0, 9.5 = 37.5

Flying
Ray: 9.5, 9.5, 10.0, 10.0 = 39.0
Beth: 9.0, 9.0, 9.5, 9.0 = 36.5
Sam: 9.0, 9.0, 9.5, 9.5 = 37.0
Hayley: 9.5, 9.5, 10.0, 9.5 = 38.5

Overall
Ray: 40.0 + 39.0 = 79.0
Hayley: 37.5 + 38.5 = 76.0
Sam: 39.0 + 36.0 = 76.0
Beth: 34.5 + 36.5 = 71.0

Ray 4 + 4 = 8
Beth 2 + 3 = 5
Hayley 3 + 2 = 5
Sam 3 + 1 = 4

Hayley vs Sam, Sam out.

I have a feeling though that Hayley will just manage to sneak ahead of Sam thanks to the flying and Beth will fall into the B2

That's the best summary I've heard! I'm not sure about individual marks, but if Hayley ends up bottom of the leader board, she'll either land straight in the skate off or she'll get a massive sympathy vote. Not sure how the public will be voting at this stage though.

Why shouldn't he get 40? He got a perfect score at his final.

Indeed. If Hayley beats Sam on the scoreboard Beth's in the bottom two unless she miraculously tops the vote.

So no different to most weeks then...

If the final leaderboard is:

Ray - 4
Sam - 3
Hayley - 2
Beth - 1

and the viewers vote:

Ray - 4
Beth - 3
Hayley - 2
Sam - 1

The last three would all score 4, and Beth would go through with the higher viewers vote.

It all comes down to:

Would the judges go for Jai Ho or Riverdance?

A side factor - Dan is recovering from an arm injury, so would it affect him doing Jai Ho which involves a lot of arm dancing?

I agree Hayley's routine sounds horrific

Cheese overload