Originally Posted by SamuelW:
“Itv are basically screwed, aren't they? According to that article, they have to replace 110 hours of football which was averaging 4.4million viewers of which 2.7million were men. There is absolutely no way Itv will come close to averaging 4.4million in that Tuesday night slot over 110 hours of replacement programming, as we see almost every week, they tend to get audiences of about 2million in that slot. Getting male "brands" like Top Gear are much easier said than done, something like that comes along once every decade. Any immitation of Top Gear on Itv will instantly be ripped to shreds and labelled a rip off. I honestly feel that Bergg and Fincham have an incredibly difficult task ahead with replacing the football, and if you think Itv's ratings have been bad this year, just wait an see how much worse they become once the football's gone.”
how do you get to 110 hours for champions league?
also you need to think of it from a business point of view. if itv paid £160m for champions league football and broke even on this by bringing in the 160m of advertising revenue from male targeted advertisers then they only have to replace like for like. so if they spend 40m on replacing the programme and bring in 40m of advertising they are in the same place, so no loss to their business. they probably won't lose the full £160m of advertising revenue, as they still have football and this will become more demanded as it will literally be the only place to advertise to males en mass so demand is increased and so are rates.
also consider that they still have highlights, so anyone who does not subscribe to BT sport will watch them, this could mean 3-4m viewers (using MOTD as a guide). highlights will go out at say 10pm where ITV currently have no programming that performs so all this extra audience mitigates further the loss.
i'm not saying it's not a bad thing from itv's point of view, but from a business context it's not the end of the world.