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World Cup Betting |
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#1 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 811
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World Cup Betting
With the World Cup just days away, thought i'd create this thread for those of us who like a bet.
Post all your bets, tips and hopefully some winners here! Got a bad feeling i'm going to be a lot less rich this time next month!
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#2 |
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Join Date: May 2009
Location: Hertfordshire
Posts: 2,840
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I quite fancy a double of Brazil/Messi. It's 33/1 in most places which surprises me, Argentina/Messi is only 14/1. If Brazil and Argentina both get to the semi finals, they'll play the same amount of games, I though that would be reflected in the odds.
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#3 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 4,578
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Quote:
I quite fancy a double of Brazil/Messi. It's 33/1 in most places which surprises me, Argentina/Messi is only 14/1. If Brazil and Argentina both get to the semi finals, they'll play the same amount of games, I though that would be reflected in the odds.
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#4 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Richmond, Surrey.
Posts: 13,814
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I took Uruguay at 33/1 a couple of weeks ago. Nothing serious though, I just thought the price was attractive.
I'll probably look at prices on a day to day basis. Spain look reasonable value at 5/6 this Friday against The Netherlands? Should win that one, shouldn't they ? |
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#5 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: England
Posts: 722
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Quote:
Is Messi a safe bet though? He hasn't been in form this season.
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#6 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Richmond, Surrey.
Posts: 13,814
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Quote:
I quite fancy a double of Brazil/Messi. It's 33/1 in most places which surprises me, Argentina/Messi is only 14/1. If Brazil and Argentina both get to the semi finals, they'll play the same amount of games, I though that would be reflected in the odds.
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#7 |
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 21,001
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Quote:
Yep, just the 41 goals in 46 games this time around.
![]() ![]() . He was also injured for a couple of months.
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#8 |
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Join Date: May 2009
Location: Hertfordshire
Posts: 2,840
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Quote:
Probably because you're betting Messi to be top scorer but Brazil to win it. Less likely than Argentina/Messi or Brazil/Neymar ?
I might also put something on Hulk, 50/1. Worth a couple of quid. Or Thomas Muller - He's won it before. |
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#9 |
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Join Date: May 2011
Location: Liverpool
Posts: 6,975
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Quote:
I took Uruguay at 33/1 a couple of weeks ago. Nothing serious though, I just thought the price was attractive.
I'll probably look at prices on a day to day basis. Spain look reasonable value at 5/6 this Friday against The Netherlands? Should win that one, shouldn't they ? |
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#10 |
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Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Teenage Wasteland
Posts: 5,930
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It's always better to put big amounts on 5/6 or 4/8 options, as in the group stages there are some bets that are 99% decided from the start.
Brazil/Cameroon is a good early one - stick £100 on it and you'll get enough back for a few drinks, with virtually no chance of losing.
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#11 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 6,213
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Quote:
Probably because you're betting Messi to be top scorer but Brazil to win it. Less likely than Argentina/Messi or Brazil/Neymar ?
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#12 |
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: The Mainland
Posts: 4,189
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Quote:
yeah but like they've said, if Brazil and Argentina both get to the semis, they'll play the exact same number of games because of the 3/4 playoff. if Messi and Neymar are both playing the same number of games, my money would be on Messi every single time.
I tend to agree with you But then again, I'm skint and the bookies are rich so it may not be the best endorsement
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#13 |
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 6,213
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I can only seriously see one of three teams winning this - Brazil (3/1), Argentina (4/1), and Spain (13/2), with Uruguay (30/1) and Germany (7/1) as the dark horses if a surprise happens, so I'll definitely be backing Uruguay at e/w.
Messi (8/1) is my tip to be top goalscorer - Argentina are in a rather benign group, and have a very presentable route to the final. he rather confusingly still gets a lot of criticism for his supposed failure at international level, but if my stats are correct he has 21 goals in his last 23 international games. I've also got a bet on Neymar, and e/w bets on Lukaku (33), Benzema (28), and Teofilo Gutierrez (80/1) I'm also gonna do a huge group winner accumulator on all the seeded teams except England's group which I'm staying well clear of, for betting purposes. and I'll also be betting daily on the games. |
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#14 |
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Surrey
Posts: 4,983
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Quote:
It's always better to put big amounts on 5/6 or 4/8 options, as in the group stages there are some bets that are 99% decided from the start.
Brazil/Cameroon is a good early one - stick £100 on it and you'll get enough back for a few drinks, with virtually no chance of losing. ![]() I actually think the opposite is a better plan - I'm betting on decent teams who aren't favourite to win each group - Croatia (9/1) and Mexico (12/1), Netherlands (3/1), Ivory Coast (15/4), Bosnia (15/2) and Russia (15/2). It's the World Cup - crazy things always happen, especially in the group stage. At least one of the big favourites will flop. |
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#15 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Richmond, Surrey.
Posts: 13,814
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Quote:
yeah but like they've said, if Brazil and Argentina both get to the semis, they'll play the exact same number of games because of the 3/4 playoff. if Messi and Neymar are both playing the same number of games, my money would be on Messi every single time.
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#16 |
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 6,213
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I'm guessing the bookies are working on the premise that the more Messi scores, the likelier it is Argentina will win, and so the odds shrink accordingly. or maybe it's the other way round, and if Argentina win, then it's likely Messi will be the top scorer. lol I dunno....
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#17 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Richmond, Surrey.
Posts: 13,814
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Sorry, forget that. It was Brazil/Messi wasn't it. Still not 14/1...they are quoted at 3/1 and 8/1. What's that, a 36/1 double with stake money back ?
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#18 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 443
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just had a 13 match acca on the group games $30 to win $1500
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#19 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Richmond, Surrey.
Posts: 13,814
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Quote:
It's always better to put big amounts on 5/6 or 4/8 options, as in the group stages there are some bets that are 99% decided from the start.
Brazil/Cameroon is a good early one - stick £100 on it and you'll get enough back for a few drinks, with virtually no chance of losing. ![]()
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#20 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 6,153
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I have Argentina to win and lukaku (ew) and messi top scorer(i like that bet where if u put 20 on it you get a £5 bet anytime they score a goal) considering dzeko and benzema for this too. Also have Brazil -1 for the first match.
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#21 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 6,213
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Quote:
Sorry, forget that. It was Brazil/Messi wasn't it. Still not 14/1...they are quoted at 3/1 and 8/1. What's that, a 36/1 double with stake money back ?
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#22 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 6,215
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Brazil are 1/3 to win their opening match against Croatia. I'm tempted to place £100 on it, will wait to see if nerves get to Brazil, might place the bet in game. They are Brazil's toughest opponents in that group.
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#23 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 56,295
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Have had a few bets already Uruguay 28/1 , an accumulator for the first few games.
Brazil v Uruguay 50/1 to meet in the final |
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#24 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 5,297
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Good thread
![]() I did a quad cast in Group B - Spain/Chile/Holland/Australia but the odds aren't great about 5/1 Aguero / Higuain top scorers (can see Messi being stupidly man marked and goalkeeper rebounds / woodwork will fall to these guys up front + they aren't half bad creating something from nothing themselves!) both around 20/1 In Englands group I've got Uruguay bottom at 11/1 , and England / Costa Rica to go through Please can someone tell me why Uruguay are so highly rated? I just don't get it. Suarez is absolutely unbelievable, but i have a feeling he will be rushed back and then get injured. Whatever; he is very sure not to be 100%. Cavani is excellent by all accounts but he is one of those players who always seems to flatter to deceive when i watch him. Their rest of the team is meh, including that mess from Juventus Caceres and Lugano who is somehow slower than Mertesacker. Godin is very good though. I think England will really benefit from being downplayed by the media here, it will be a dog fight but I think they'll sneak through with Costa Rica, who will beat Uruguay in the 1st match |
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#25 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: UK
Posts: 17,852
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Quote:
Brazil are 1/5, £100 to win £20. Don't think I'll bother, what a sickener if Cameroon nick a draw.
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