Frankie is 99% certain to be in the final because, unless she has a complete meltdown which is I'd say very unlikely, there isn't anyone who would beat her in the dance-off, including Pixie and Caroline.
Thom - when he was paired with Iveta in the launch show, I thought WINNER. Then he was rubbish in the first show and I changed my mind. Now, I think it's a possibility - he's a sportsman on a journey, handsome, polite, fantastic partner, the nice sort of dull; if you were to take qualities from all the previous male winners, you'd probably end up with Thom. People call Thom dull but it didn't do Harry or Tom any harm, did it?
But he is totally under the shadow of Jake at the moment - I think all the other men are under the shadow of Jake - and he'll need to get a lot better and he needs Jake to fade for him to have a serious chance of winning. But if Mark and Simon don't improve, their vote could go to Thom when they go, giving him a good chance of getting to the final. I think there will be more than one man in the final, and at the moment Thom looks like a reasonable bet.
I'd agree that Thom and Frankie are nice and likeable. I'd completely disagree with you that they have so far shown themselves to be
more likeable or nice
r than the others, if that was possible to measure. If they do well, it will be more to do with them being the most beautiful than them coming across as nicer, imo. Lots and lots of nice people this year.
eta: I'm worried this will sound like some sort of passive swipe at Frankie and Thom. It isn't meant like that - I like them both, I think they're good and they've got good chances, both of them. I just got a bit peeved at the idea that the others weren't nice or likeable!