Originally Posted by george.millman:
“I think it's possible that he didn't know their business plans until the end, but in Series 7 that majorly backfired. Tom's, Helen's and Jim's business plans all had major flaws in them, and Susan wasn't experienced enough. In the end he chose Tom because his performance in the process suggested someone who could be decent and he had been extremely successful as an inventor outside of the process. After going with him, they actually decided to scrap the whole plan and re-create the product that Tom had previously worked on - and separately he went into business with Susan after a few years. So in that instance everything worked out, but it was a bit of a fail with the whole 'new concept' thing. So it makes total sense that he now knows the business plans from the start - although he does stress that he only knows the outlines, and not all the details. Neil Clough's business plan last year, for example, turned out not to make sense when it was analysed in detail.
Your example about Lindsay doesn't really work, because she was on the point of quitting the process anyway. It had nothing to do with her business plan, the whole process just wasn't right for her. I'm pretty sure that they have not chosen the winner from the start. If they had, there'd be no point in the tasks. Sugar would do better by going on Dragons' Den were that the case. The tasks don't have to have that much relevance to the plans, but they do test various aspects of the candidates' skill sets.”
Series 7 is the series where the prize seems to have changed after they applied- in some cases at least. Not many people seemed to have worked up proposals. Helen and Jim didn't. Zoe, had an existing business to develop,but was knocked out to save Tom . Susan, who represented a higher risk,. was rejected - but he went into business with her anyway. He rubbished Tom's actual proposal, but then picked Tom - who had a, no risk, nail file patented in his past. There wasn't much else on offer. His Lordship not only didn't need to see a final proposal in Tom's case - because his nail file, and his work marketing and patenting it, were explained in his CV - but, in the event, he ignored the proposal on the table, and took what was in the CV.
And, I imagine, that would be the case now- in most cases where there's an existing business. You might want to check the figures, and see the expansion plan, but Lord Sugar says he knows roughly what they are proposing, and the CV in many cases will tell him who looks capable of doing it. Anyone who doesn't offer what he finds interesting, or doesn't have the experience, or CV to be safe bets, doesn't look likely to survive. It then up to him who he dismisses, or gives a chance to for their task performances, and to decide which proposal offers the right risk/reward in return for the effort or cash he wants to put in. .