Oh well, he get the least votes and he's off to music oblivion now so that's that isn't it.

Wow who rattled your cage?
Being the winner of a talent show (I use the term loosely in this case) does not guarantee long term success neither does the opposite guarantee failure.
Check out Adam Lambert of American Idol for a start.
In any case the concept of success and failure is open to different interpretations. If you get to make a pretty good living doing what you love (despite being in pop stardom 'oblivion'), that's still a good result in my book.

Such a shame he wasn't there last night, he would have been amazing!

I think you need to come back to reality and extract yourself from the make believe kingdom that is X Factor. The likelihood is that whoever wins is headed for oblivion courtesy of SYCO. Paul however will get a record deal outside of Simon's claws and will be sensational.