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Early Figures for Christmas Number 1
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mmpfb
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by Eva_Coco_May:
“Unreasonable me?? Ive said I hope Ben succeeds as well as Fleur, also Fighting battles Im not, I just saying its been 11 years so we all know the winners curse so people will be skeptical, whoever won.”

You misread my post. I referred to other fans being less reasonable than you, i.e. you're reasonably reasonable

The winners curse isn't really a thing, though. All it actually is 'who Simon decided to invest in and who he didn't'. Some winners got really raw deals for their first albums proper with some real dross to record. Cover versions of minor Danish hits etc. Leona was lucky in that Simon fronted up the cash to get Ryan Tedder in giving her a massive kick start with a big song. He repeated the trick with Ella. He may well do the same for Fleur. But he might do it with Ben. Or both. Who knows? It's pretty much down to his personal whim.

Whatever, winning the show is fairly meaningless beyond a 'title'. It's what happens next and whether they get the material (by which I mean not just good material, but suitable material) that will dictate how well they do post-show.
mimik1uk
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by Eva_Coco_May:
“Yes and Simon says okay success isnt good enough - Im sure theyre happy with what they have achieved but Simon is all about the money.”

how many times do we have to say tho eva , the acts that didn't win and have been successful were not successful because they didn't win

olly murrs , cher lloyd and 1D would have had the same success levels regardless of where they finished in the voting as they would have had the support they got post-show anyway

people need to look at cause and effect and stop all this tosh about being more successful if you don't win

how many of the 20 people who finished 2nd and 3rd have gone on to be successful if that guarantees you success more than winning does ?
Eva_Coco_May
16-12-2014
I expect coz both his acts he will do it to both but He seems very pro Fleur atm, of course Simon is a business man, so he'l do what he can for both of them i guess.
mmpfb
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by Eva_Coco_May:
“Yes and Simon says okay success isnt good enough - Im sure theyre happy with what they have achieved but Simon is all about the money.”

BiB - pretty much a summation of everything that is wrong with XF. Artist development is off the table. If you're not achieving something that can at least be spun into 'world' domination' straight off of the starting line you're quietly dropped no matter how much talent and/or potential you have. If you don't have a gimmick or they don't know how to hype you, you're done for.

People on here often mention Matt as 'a typical male winner flop'. Sure, he's not set the world on fire but he's achieved something no other act has - a completely independent career non-dependent on the XF brand or Syco. In some senses that makes him the most successful winner the UK show has ever produced as far as I'm concerned. If he can sustain his current level of success going forward then you have to respect that. Similarly, while Joe got a *really* raw deal as a winner while Cowell concentrated on making Olly happen, he's managed to established himself outside of the Syco perpetual meta-machine and makes a good living selling a decent amount of records to a solid fanbase. That has to be acknowledged too.
Malkay
16-12-2014
has an x-factor winner's song ever not got to number one?
RabidWolverine1
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by Malkay:
“has an x-factor winner's song ever not got to number one?”

quite a few have
Nicola37
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by ArtyAttack:
“Yes - Sam had sold 45k at this stage and Little Mix had sold 68k. Very good sales for the decreased sales market now. Uptown Funk sales will include streaming which Ben wont have a lot of yet. CD goes on sale tomorrow and should see a further surge.”

I thought it was tomorrow too but its definitely already out in Liverpool! I was surprised to see it in two shops - the big HMV near the tills on a display stand and Thats Entertainment who had ot prominently in the window with the offer - 3 copies for £10
satellite
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by RabidWolverine1:
“No they wouldn't all be buying his single but would all of Fleur's voters buy hers...Its completely swings and roundabouts...what is applicable for one is applicable for everyone.

A lot of the promotion for Fleur was its about time that "they had a real x factor winner" where as they are all real...differing levels of talent but since they win the public vote they deserve the win.

I hope they both do well for themselves, I really do...along with Paul, Andrea, Only The Young & Lauren...I hope they all manage to secure a successful career for themselves but for some people it was weeks of putting down anyone who didn't believe in Fleur and then when Fleur didn't win some then flipped to "Its better she didn't win thats why people didn't vote".

Im not saying you are one of those people because I havent looked through your post history, you may be much more logical but hopefully you get my point. Ben deserved to win, if Fleur had more votes then she would have deserved to win. If Overload Generation somehow wont hen they would have deserved the win. We may not all agree but the voting public had spoken.

X Factor is ONLY ever a platform...win or lose all the acts still have a massive uphill battle to become legit recording artists. Good luck to all of them ”

A well thought out and written post. I couldn't agree more.
Getridofcole
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by mmpfb:
“BiB - pretty much a summation of everything that is wrong with XF. Artist development is off the table. If you're not achieving something that can at least be spun into 'world' domination' straight off of the starting line you're quietly dropped no matter how much talent and/or potential you have. If you don't have a gimmick or they don't know how to hype you, you're done for.

People on here often mention Matt as 'a typical male winner flop'. Sure, he's not set the world on fire but he's achieved something no other act has - a completely independent career non-dependent on the XF brand or Syco. In some senses that makes him the most successful winner the UK show has ever produced as far as I'm concerned. If he can sustain his current level of success going forward then you have to respect that. Similarly, while Joe got a *really* raw deal as a winner while Cowell concentrated on making Olly happen, he's managed to established himself outside of the Syco perpetual meta-machine and makes a good living selling a decent amount of records to a solid fanbase. That has to be acknowledged too.”

That's a good point regarding Matt cardle making it outside of cowell/ syco brand . We all laud Alex beurk but that is something even she failed to do
RabidWolverine1
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by satellite:
“A well thought out and written post. I couldn't agree more.”

Thanks
ArtyAttack
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by jerefprdterra:
“Everyone knows that the real winner finished runner up.”

But Ben won.
He also won every week from week 4 so he deserved to win. Leading the pack most of the way with some pretty questionable songchoices at times no doubt designed to derail him.
greenyone
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by jerefprdterra:
“Thankfully i have'nt heard it, so my poor ears are safe.”

I feel the same about uptown Funk the east version
IsItThatDeep
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by jerefprdterra:
“Everyone knows that the real winner finished runner up.”

Go tell that to Marcus Collins, Jahmene Douglas and Nicolas McDonald
RabidWolverine1
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by IsItThatDeep:
“Go tell that to Marcus Collins, Jahmene Douglas and Nicolas McDonald”

I agree with the sentiment but not Jahmene included. He had his first album at Number One and is working with better people so he can do original material on his second album

Nicholas McDonald & Marcus Collins is a yes though
satellite
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by IsItThatDeep:
“Go tell that to Marcus Collins, Jahmene Douglas and Nicolas McDonald”

I really struggle to remember half the runners up. I loved Jahmene, but who the heck was Nicholas McDonald?
mmpfb
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by RabidWolverine1:
“I agree with the sentiment but not Jahmene included. He had his first album at Number One and is working with better people so he can do original material on his second album

Nicholas McDonald & Marcus Collins is a yes though”

Give Nicholas a chance. He's only just turned 18, his album got to Number 6 with virtually no promotion and he's been working with writers and producers on original material for his second.

People are far too quick on here to proclaim anyone is a success or a failure when the reality is that any musical (or indeed creative) career will have it's ups and downs, and those depend on many, many factors. I can only think it's people's perpetual propensity for confirmation bias.
RabidWolverine1
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by mmpfb:
“Give Nicholas a chance. He's only just turned 18, his album got to Number 6 with virtually no promotion and he's been working with writers and producers on original material for his second.

People are far too quick on here to proclaim anyone is a success or a failure when the reality is that any musical (or indeed creative) career will have it's ups and downs, and those depend on many, many factors. I can only think it's people's perpetual propensity for confirmation bias.”

Actually im not one of those people, im one of the few who defend that Matt Cardle & Joe McElderry are not flops (How can they be with 3 & 4 Top 20 Albums respectively?)...They are not setting the world on fire but are by no means a flop

I actually was unaware Nicholas had released anything yet if im being honest
Hitstastic
16-12-2014
Ben Haenow will undoubtably make #1. However, the song won't have much staying power once 2015 is here whereas Uptown Funk! is going to keep selling well into the new year.

Interestingly, Ben's track in 24 hours has sold 3/4 what Skyscraper sold in its first week this time last year. I reckon Something I Need will end the week on around 240k.
mmpfb
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by RabidWolverine1:
“Actually im not one of those people, im one of the few who defend that Matt Cardle & Joe McElderry are not flops (How can they be with 3 & 4 Top 20 Albums respectively?)...They are not setting the world on fire but are by no means a flop

I actually was unaware Nicholas had released anything yet if im being honest ”

As I said, there was virtually no promotion so unless you follow him closely you would be unlikely to. Plus he released in the same week as several big releases - George Michael and Kylie off the top of my head to name two, so #6 isn't too bad in that sort of company. As we all know if you're not one of Simon's personal projects you're going to struggle, and given how keenly the show went to work sabotaging him after week 6 I think it's safe to say he's not one of Simon's picks. Like anyone else, how well he does from now on will be largely dependent on material and whether he gets appropriate support from his record company/radio play etc, because his vocals and stage craft have both improved substantially in the past year.
Malkay
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by RabidWolverine1:
“quite a few have”

cool, was a genuine question. I am fairly new to the x-factor game
Malkay
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by ArtyAttack:
“But Ben won.
He also won every week from week 4 so he deserved to win. Leading the pack most of the way with some pretty questionable songchoices at times no doubt designed to derail him. ”

good looks and moderate likeability go a long way. good achievement for the third best male singer in this year's comp
Hitstastic
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by RabidWolverine1:
“I agree with the sentiment but not Jahmene included. He had his first album at Number One and is working with better people so he can do original material on his second album

Nicholas McDonald & Marcus Collins is a yes though”

Not really.

Impossible sold 1 million downloads whilst Jahmene's "single" (a cover of Titanium) didn't even crack the iTunes top 40.

Jahmene's album went to #1 selling less than 20k in its first week. James Arthur's album went to #2 in its first week selling 60k (more than 3 times as many copies). James' album is easily the bigger selling of the two thus proves that chart positions mean bollocks if they still sell really well. In James' case it did.

I know Nicky gets a lot of stick on here but I think he could surpass a lot of peoples expectations.
RabidWolverine1
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by Malkay:
“cool, was a genuine question. I am fairly new to the x-factor game”

Sorry if it came off badly it was supposed to be me answering allow me to expand

All of the ten winners had their winners song get to Number One at some point I believe, but only a few were "Christmas Number One"
RabidWolverine1
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by Hitstastic:
“Not really.

Impossible sold 1 million downloads whilst Jahmene's "single" (a cover of Titanium) didn't even crack the iTunes top 40.

Jahmene's album went to #1 selling less than 20k in its first week. James Arthur's album went to #2 in its first week selling 60k (more than 3 times as many copies). James' album is easily the bigger selling of the two thus proves that chart positions mean bollocks if they still sell really well. In James' case it did.

I know Nicky gets a lot of stick on here but I think he could surpass a lot of peoples expectations.”

I didn't say Jahmene had sold more than James, just that Jahmene isn't a flop runner up. A Number One Album is still impressive because by definition he had to beat other people.

In Jahmene's case knocking Robin Thicke down to Number 2 (Thank God) and keeping a newly entering Jay Z down at Number 3.

Jay Z & Robin Thicke are still impressive people to beat.
velixa
16-12-2014
Originally Posted by Malkay:
“has an x-factor winner's song ever not got to number one?”

No. They all have. If not Christmas no 1, then topped either the week before or week after.
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