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Katie Hopkins WILL win. (Statistics inside)


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Old 06-02-2015, 11:21
emmetmcl
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Using my Big Brother app, people have been voting in polls on evictions since the start of the series. It has gotten every eviction correct, aside from the Bombshell twist, which it was about 2% out on.

Anyway, before Wednesday's eviction Hopkins was the clear favourite. However, after Perez and Kavana(not that he has many voters) left the voting has changed. Price and Callum have gone up a lot, while Keith's vote has dropped dramatically, by 33%.

However, Hopkins' vote has remained basically steady so far.

One thing to note is that people will have spent money on Perez up until Wednesday, and while its easy to vote in a free poll, will these people spend their money again on someone else? Some may, but the majority surely won't.

Overall, Price and Best on the up, Chegwin doing down, with Visage and Hopkins remaining steady. This means that Hopkins, with such a large vote from Wednesday should win. It'll be closer than it would have been if Perez hadn't gone, but she should still take the crown.

Voting Statistics: http://i.imgur.com/3l8lIUp.png
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:41
IsThisHappiness
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So the split vote is doing the thing KH fans want it to do - go to three people. It's already destroyed Keith's chances, and neither Katie P or Calum have enough support to beat her!
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:45
jeanoj
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They are very low figures considering the number of viewers.
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:46
DomJolly
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well its always the rotten types who win this show

you had that racist homophobic fella last year

and that other nutter woman the year before that

this year you have queen troll hopkins
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:54
glowboy
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It seems fitting that Hopkins will take the "crown" from Jim Davidson.

From one loathesome, right-wing, agitator to another.

You have to despair for the people who are fooled by these chancers.
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:55
emmetmcl
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They are very low figures considering the number of viewers.
Well it is on Windows Phone :P

But yeah, I've been amazed that a few hundred voters can represent the viewing public so well. I imagine its because the likes of us on here are superfans, whereas those voting, and using the app are just "normal" haha
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:56
Dorian_Gray
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Is that the official BB app (for, say, the iPhone), OP?
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:57
RabidWolverine1
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It seems fitting that Hopkins will take the "crown" from Jim Davidson.

From one loathesome, right-wing, agitator to another.

You have to despair for the people who are fooled by these chancers.
HONK

Don't forget the legend known as Busey
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Old 06-02-2015, 11:58
emmetmcl
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Is that the official BB app (for, say, the iPhone), OP?
No, its an unofficial one that I made, for Windows Phone, as Channel 5 haven't made one for Windows Phone.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:00
jeanoj
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Well it is on Windows Phone :P

But yeah, I've been amazed that a few hundred voters can represent the viewing public so well. I imagine its because the likes of us on here are superfans, whereas those voting, and using the app are just "normal" haha
Oh I see - I thought it was from the official app.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:02
Stellen11
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I view price with disdain and distaste. The only way i would ever root for her to win would be if she made it to the top two and hopkins was her rival. Anyone but hopkins FTW in my opinion.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:04
vald
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It looks too close to call.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:07
Dorian_Gray
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To me, your figures imply that either Katie P or Calum will pip Katie at the post. The vast majority of votes will be cast tonight (maybe c.70%), meaning that the outcome will be weighted heavily to your most recent figures. Add to that a significant final two vote against Katie H at the head-to-head stage and it looks likely that she'll be overtaken during the show.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:12
Tinkaf1
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Fingers crossed that they freeze the vote when it starts to get to the nitty gritty end, and the public are left with an option to throw their votes against whoever is up against her.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:13
IsThisHappiness
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Fingers crossed that they freeze the vote when it starts to get to the nitty gritty end, and the public are left with an option to throw their votes against whoever is up against her.
Do you think that will work?

Unless Michelle makes the top 3, no matter who Katie is against, until final 2, the vote will always be split.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:14
IsThisHappiness
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To me, your figures imply that either Katie P or Calum will pip Katie at the post. The vast majority of votes will be cast tonight (maybe c.70%), meaning that the outcome will be weighted heavily to your most recent figures. Add to that a significant final two vote against Katie H at the head-to-head stage and it looks likely that she'll be overtaken during the show.
See, those figures suggest to me that there isn't a real "anti-Hopkins" vote going to any housemate as it's split between Katie P, Keith and Calum. So when the KH fans come out tonight to vote, the other votes will be split - leading Katie ahead of the others throughout the night.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:18
vald
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Do you think that will work?

Unless Michelle makes the top 3, no matter who Katie is against, until final 2, the vote will always be split.
Perez fans are unlikely to vote Callum. He may be getting the nice vote but he's been part of Hopkin's gang from the beginning. KP and Keith are the only independents in there.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:21
IsThisHappiness
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Perez fans are unlikely to vote Callum. He may be getting the nice vote but he's been part of Hopkin's gang from the beginning. KP and Keith are the only independents in there.
Perez fans wont make any difference, they couldn't even get him to the final 5.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:28
vald
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Perez fans wont make any difference, they couldn't even get him to the final 5.
You could well be right, but I still say that Callum has been tainted by being in Hopkin's gang.
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Old 06-02-2015, 12:28
Dave_62
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Hopkins voters will have voted early, so a big surge for Jordan or callum could take it tonight.

I imagine Hopkins supporters are not dedicated to the wind up enough to vote for her multiple times.

Hopkins 3rd in a very close vote.
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Old 06-02-2015, 13:24
Linaker99
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I never vote, but I am waiting for the last two and if Katie Hopkins is still there, I'm voting for whoever is her opponent.

I am amazed that people are spending their cash voting for Katie Hopkins, so that she can increase her earning power and send her kids to private school. That will satisfy her strong desire to keep her offspring away from the children of people who vote in Big Brother contests.
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Old 06-02-2015, 13:30
Cranberryapple
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Using my Big Brother app, people have been voting in polls on evictions since the start of the series. It has gotten every eviction correct, aside from the Bombshell twist, which it was about 2% out on.

Anyway, before Wednesday's eviction Hopkins was the clear favourite. However, after Perez and Kavana(not that he has many voters) left the voting has changed. Price and Callum have gone up a lot, while Keith's vote has dropped dramatically, by 33%.

However, Hopkins' vote has remained basically steady so far.

One thing to note is that people will have spent money on Perez up until Wednesday, and while its easy to vote in a free poll, will these people spend their money again on someone else? Some may, but the majority surely won't.

Overall, Price and Best on the up, Chegwin doing down, with Visage and Hopkins remaining steady. This means that Hopkins, with such a large vote from Wednesday should win. It'll be closer than it would have been if Perez hadn't gone, but she should still take the crown.

Voting Statistics: http://i.imgur.com/3l8lIUp.png
I personally believe most of the voting gets done tonight. Ticking popularity boxes is one thing. Phone voting is another.

I wait until final night to spend the most on phone voting.
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Old 06-02-2015, 13:33
Cranberryapple
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Perez fans wont make any difference, they couldn't even get him to the final 5.


How do you know Perez wasn't very close to being in the final 5?

We haven't been told the stats. For all we know ( Kav aside ) the percentags could've been very close with very little in it.

I believe Perez fans will vote like mad tonight for either Keith or Katie Price.
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Old 06-02-2015, 13:45
Callous
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I think Calum has it in the bag now (unless Katie P's agent is using some of her millions to vote for her).

3rd or 4th for Katie H IMO. Evven if she made the final 2 there would be a flood of votes for who she was up against. No hope of her winning as far as I can see it.

If they closed the lines now she might just edge it..but as they'll be reopening lines throughout she has little chance.
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Old 06-02-2015, 13:59
pugsley
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Anyone but Hopkins

I don't think I'm going to watch until later and fast forward, I'm not too keen on Calum either but he is a better choice than Hopkins

Hopkins evil moo - future Tory MP? hates nearly everyone socially dumb
Calum extremely vain hanger on with no talent
Michelle uses the pink pound for gain, pretentious
Cheggars nice but super annoyingly jolly in the long term
Pricey hasn't done much although liked and needs to beat her ex
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