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How big/dominant do we reckon Netflix will be in 10 years?


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Old 14-02-2015, 07:46
Hildaonpluto
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Its early days but its rapid expansion and increased buzz around it,of which being given its own main forum on digital spy is just one positive sympton of this,but were do we see the likely state of play being in 10 years?

More than 4m household subscriptions a possibility ?Do we think tje distinctiveness and quality of its content will be maintained as it moves closer to mass appeal?


Do we think other online /subscription services developing like Amazon will dent its growth?

Less than 2 years ago Id never have predicted that Netflixs original content would become so big/talked about and I think it has the potential to really shake things up.
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Old 14-02-2015, 16:53
trevor tiger
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I'm a bit baffled by the hoo ha about it tbh. It's just a way of watching telly and there are comparable ways out there. As for there being a devoted forum, that says more about DS's relationship with Netflix than an actual need. It's hardly a buzz fest is it?
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Old 14-02-2015, 17:53
Matt35
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I think now marvel have done a deal with them, that is gonna massively increase their subscribers. As for in 10 years who knows.
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Old 14-02-2015, 17:54
Hildaonpluto
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I'm a bit baffled by the hoo ha about it tbh. It's just a way of watching telly and there are comparable ways out there. As for there being a devoted forum, that says more about DS's relationship with Netflix than an actual need. It's hardly a buzz fest is it?
I think the buzz is partially about how it seems to create a niche for high quality content in a commercial setting.Something often assumed to mitigate against high quality content?

Are there stats for how many uk households have/use netflix original content?
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Old 14-02-2015, 22:03
St_Jammy
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I think now marvel have done a deal with them, that is gonna massively increase their subscribers. As for in 10 years who knows.
I think you mean Disney. I agree though I think Disney is the game changer with Star Wars and Marvel along with their huge back catalogue of animation film they are gonna be a big draw for potential customers.
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Old 14-02-2015, 23:39
theonlyweeman
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Are there stats for how many uk households have/use netflix original content?
No. Netflix won't release figures for any original series.

But they are in a tonne of debt ($900m), and plan to get into more...
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Old 15-02-2015, 03:44
RiDsTeR
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Honestly think it's a phase. People will move on. I'm happy with it for now though.
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Old 15-02-2015, 08:07
Matt35
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I think you mean Disney. I agree though I think Disney is the game changer with Star Wars and Marvel along with their huge back catalogue of animation film they are gonna be a big draw for potential customers.
I meant marvel. Didn't know about Disney.
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Old 15-02-2015, 10:58
r_harrow
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I meant marvel. Didn't know about Disney.
Disney own Marvel!!
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Old 15-02-2015, 15:28
St_Jammy
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Disney own Marvel!!
I'll give him a pass, Disney are pretty hands off with Marvel.
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Old 15-02-2015, 16:04
jonparadise
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It could still be around in some form but who knows, considering how internet streaming and technology has moved so fast over the last couple of years there could be several new players by then.

Sky are already making inroads with NOW TV (articles on which are no longer appearing here since the Netflix deal I see).

We had a Sky engineer out the other day and he made an interesting comment that in the near future streaming will be at such high quality that satellite TV won't be needed and that Sky are preparing for that.

In the end I guess it's going to be who has the best content at the best quality.
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Old 15-02-2015, 16:50
David_Hill
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Honestly think it's a phase. People will move on. I'm happy with it for now though.
I can't see it being a phase. Loads of content for a cheap monthly price. I can't see prople thinking " i want to go back to only being able to watch content at a certain time or day". I think.it'll grow and live alongside traditional tv. Netflix is basically this decade's multi-channel tv, starts off with a small following, gets bigger to evently bevome a major part of people's viewing experience
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Old 15-02-2015, 17:40
ds_reader
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The big issue for Netflix is generating profit...

It's a bit of a South Sea bubble all hype little substance... will it implode time will tell....

How much longer will cross region access be allowed..
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Old 15-02-2015, 20:35
crofter
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The move to 4K and HDR gives Netflix (and Amazon Prime) a huge advantage going forward in the next 12 months (at least) as long as you have Fibre and the hardware you will be right at the forefront of cutting edge technology.

I don't see the lack of profit being an issue right now as it hasn't held the likes of Amazon back - market share is still key for Netflix.
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Old 15-02-2015, 22:02
mfr
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As well as good acquisition deals, key to Netflix's success will be original series. Right now they're doing pretty well and have revolutionised delivery by dropping all episodes at once.

I watch virtually nothing live and I expect linear TV will decline. I do like Game of Thrones and Walking Dead so need a Now TV sub too. Still, Netflix could always buy HBO...
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Old 03-03-2015, 22:28
Mandark
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I think it's inevitable that Netflix will be bought by one of the media conglomerates. Yes they need to do work on the finances but then that was the same for Google and Facebook in the early years.
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Old 04-03-2015, 10:00
Philip Wales
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The problem with NF at the moment is they need to generate money to buy new and existing programming, but to get money they need subscribers and to get subscribers they need to offer programming, a vicious circle, so they will be in debt for many years to come.
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Old 04-03-2015, 11:13
oilman
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Problem with media technology is that is changes rapidly, so any thing tends to have a limited shelf life. Some examples e.g. Compuserve, AOL online as internet providers.

Change for the sake of it is not always a good idea for a long established product (compare the climbdown with the "new" mars bar several years ago).

However, Netflix is currently flavour of the month, but somebody will invent a new technology and Netflix will either eventually morph or be absorbed into something else or die - this is inevitable.

If I could predict such outcomes, I would not need to work as I currently do!
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Old 05-03-2015, 07:57
Ignite
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Netflix are in an interesting position. They will either be a great company that will go from strength to strength or they will wither away. It really depends on how they evolve in the next few years. As oilman said, Compuserve and AOL had limited shelf life. They failed to evolve to what the consumer wanted and thought that their content was king. If they had realised that the extras they were offering was not what people would pay for and had embraced the common internet standards, they might still be here today.

Non linear delivery of programmes is here to stay and is expanding. Netflix need to keep up with the demands of the consumer. If offline viewing on portable devices is becoming a standard expectation, they need to offer this. You just need to look at the growth of iPlayer and the like and you can see what people want.

In a few years, there is no reason why a channel like Dave could not be totally On Demand based rather than a linear channel as we have at the moment. All that is needed is the platform to deliver it. Amazon have created their Fire TV, and the Roku box is being used by Sky and Netflix. If and when a common platform that most (if not all) manufacturers support, Netflix needs to be very prominent on this to survive. At least for the moment, they are seeing sense and going onto any platform they can.
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