Of course, Clegg himself could be without a seat on Friday.

Just a little bit of trivia for you:

Much has been made about the fact that it will be 23 years since The Tories last won an election with a majority.

For comparison, it was also 23 years that Labour won an election between 1974 and 1997. However, The Tories were in Government again, albeit as part of a coalition, after just 13 years of being in opposition - compared to the 18 years that Labour remained in opposition. Since 1974, Labour have been in Government for 18 years. The Tories for 23 years. All depends on this week's vote to determine whether it's a draw or not!

It's hard to call. I get the feeling many LDs would rather not any coalition at all...

As half the polls are by phone and the other half are online, I doubt there is much eye-looking going on.

I think so, not that I'll be voting for him. I hope he doesn't win actually!

https://twitter.com/alanferrier/stat...45537043460097

It was a set up by East Ren Labour and it was two guys - one a Party Leader - shouting at each other through megaphones.

True but since 1945 Labour have won more general elections than the Tories. The reason they've spent more time in office is due to the fact that for much of the period the electoral boundaries and voter distribution heavily favoured the Tories, with Churchill even winning a majority in 1951 despite losing the popular vote to Attlee.

Isn't it 9 wins each or 8 wins each depending on how you count Feb 1974 and 2010?

I think what we are looking at is a Tory minority which will last until the autumn then a second election will happen.

The Tories will blame Labour and the SNP on their government falling. Cameron will probably be gone, Miliband who knows but the SNP will not be able to fight another big budget election campaign when they have the Scottish Elections next year so they will be in a pickle. Unite have already said they will offer funds to Labour for a second election.

You know it doesnt do the SNP any good when online supporters continuously post "evidence" from social media or wikipedia or worse wings over Scotland. If you seriously want to refute what happened use a credible source.

Is the last poll the Yougov one tomorrow?

Its also the main reason why there are so many shy Tory and Labour voters in Scotland now.

Populus (last one before polling day):

Con 34 (+1)
Lab 34 (+1)
Ukip 13 (-2)
Lib Dems 10 (+1)

Lord Ashcroft to come later, then YouGov tonight, then a whole host of polls tomorrow and finally the MORI one on Thursday morning which nobody knows how it's going to be presented without breaking the law.

Only if they can get a Queen's Speech through, and survive the ensuing vote of no confidence that would almost certainly be laid before the House should they fail in that endeavour. And given that there would likely be an anti-Tory/LibDem majority in the House, that is far from a given.

I was just joking.

What happens however if people without landlines and who don't sign up with internet pollsters are just voting totally differently? Are the polls missing a key group.

The LibDems will not support a Tory minority government if the numbers don't stack.

Clegg's red lines are designed specifically to ensure that he has a plausible get-out for telling Cameron where to go.

I suspect that the LDs will abstain on a Cameron QS.

Which group would that be, that didn't exist in May of last year?

That's so wrong having a poll on election day.

Yeah must admit I was surprised at that too because I thought once the polls opened you couldn't talk about the election other than to report events like people walking into the polling stations etc. Then again don't the newspaper always have election front pages on polling day.

Could Cameron play a very clever game here though?

Friday Morning: The Tories on 296 seats, Labour on 258 seats. Cameron says:

"The country has voted and made it clear they are unhappy with politicians in the UK. However, it is certain that, because the Conservatives got the biggest vote share and the most seats, that the British people want us to continue to strengthen our economy and to create even more jobs and to ensure your hard earned money is kept in your pocket for you to spend on whatever you like.

We invite any party to work with us to ensure Britain remains a country that has a good economy, prospects for all and to ensure those who need the help the most will get it.

We will do our best to serve you well and as we didn't get a majority, we will put our plans to the house and only those who want to disrespect the electorates wishes, only those who want to wreak havoc on our electoral system, only those that see the benefit of the few over the benefit of the majority will dare to bring us down!"

How likely is a speech like that?

Same thing happened in Feb 1974 with the Conservatives winning the popular vote but without a majority of seats.

Given that he'll have comprehensively lost the election, not very convincing,

Once the polls open... so could they publish before 7am?

Wasn't The Sun's famous 'Can the last person to leave the country turn off the light?' headline published on polling day in 1992?

You sound like Jack Cunningham in 1992. When presented with the exit poll (which said hung parliament with Conservatives as biggest party) he said it was a comprehensive defeat for the Conservatives, happily overlooking that Labour had been 'comprehensively defeated' by a greater margin.

Well everyone is going to lose the election aren't they? In his eyes, he will believe, that with more seats and more votes than anyone else, he will have "won" or at least be entitled to try and form a Government. Why wouldn't he be feisty?