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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3)
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Aurora13
16-08-2015
Originally Posted by MamoswineTamer:
“ComRes Poll (Scotland):
#SNP 48%
#Conservatives 23%
#Labour 14%
#LibDem 7%”

Is this real?
smudges dad
16-08-2015
Originally Posted by MamoswineTamer:
“ComRes Poll (Scotland):
#SNP 48%
#Conservatives 23%
#Labour 14%
#LibDem 7%”

Have you got a source for that because the Comres SM/iOS poll (page 9) gives
SNP 50
Con 19
Lab 14
LD 6
MamoswineTamer
16-08-2015
http://comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploa...les_030715.pdf

It's buried in there!
smudges dad
16-08-2015
Originally Posted by MamoswineTamer:
“http://comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploa...les_030715.pdf

It's buried in there!”

Thanks
Did you notice the date is 29th June and the sample size only 77
MamoswineTamer
16-08-2015
Oops! This was the one I was refering too.

http://comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploa...-2015-2542.pdf
Soppyfan
17-08-2015
Originally Posted by MamoswineTamer:
“ComRes Poll (Scotland):
#SNP 48%
#Conservatives 23%
#Labour 14%
#LibDem 7%”

Shocking to see the Tories in second, long ago they used to be dead last.
Aurora13
17-08-2015
Originally Posted by Soppyfan:
“Shocking to see the Tories in second, long ago they used to be dead last.”

I know it is only one poll but I wonder if ex: Tories who went across to SNP are now slipping back. SNP taking so much of Labour vote has placed them in position that some Ex: Tories who voted for them previously are not happy with.
NeverEnough
17-08-2015
Originally Posted by David Tee:
“One day, people will look back on this period and wonder why, with so many signals available, Labour just didn't get what was going on.”

It is kind of strange isn't it . I've heard a Labour supporter on the radio arguing that they lost votes to UKIP because of the UKIP housing and economic policies and not because the UKIP voters were anti- immigration.

They also seem to have talked themselves into the position that the success of the SNP in Scotland was due to them being to the left of Labour and nothing at all to do with actual Scottish Nationalism and the independence debate?
BanglaRoad
17-08-2015
Originally Posted by NeverEnough:
“It is kind of strange isn't it . I've heard a Labour supporter on the radio arguing that they lost votes to UKIP because of the UKIP housing and economic policies and not because the UKIP voters were anti- immigration.

They also seem to have talked themselves into the position that the success of the SNP in Scotland was due to them being to the left of Labour and nothing at all to do with actual Scottish Nationalism and the independence debate? ”

The main reason Labour lost support in Scotland is their cousin with the Tories during the ref campaign. Throw in a Labour MP celebrating with members of the racist gang Britain First it is no wonder they are held in contempt by many former voters.
Inspiration
25-08-2015
ComRes/Mail:

CON 42 (+2)
LAB 28 (=)
LIB 8 (+1)
UKIP 9 (-1)
GRN 6 (+1)
SNP 5 (=)
The_Awakend
25-08-2015
Originally Posted by Inspiration:
“ComRes/Mail:

CON 42 (+2)
LAB 28 (=)
LIB 8 (+1)
UKIP 9 (-1)
GRN 6 (+1)
SNP 5 (=)”

ComRes are nothing but an anti-Labour propaganda tool
Phil 2804
25-08-2015
Originally Posted by Soppyfan:
“Shocking to see the Tories in second, long ago they used to be dead last.”

As the most staunchly unionist of the main parties this is predictable. Its a consequence of fear of the SNP and realisation that it may be sometime before Labour will be a strong opposition again. The SNP have had it all their own way for too long and have traded heavily on "fear the Tories". That's going to be a lot harder if unionist voters flock to the Tories for salvation.
mossy2103
25-08-2015
Originally Posted by The_Awakend:
“ComRes are nothing but an anti-Labour propaganda tool”

Of course dear boy, of course.
Jayceef1
25-08-2015
Originally Posted by The_Awakend:
“ComRes are nothing but an anti-Labour propaganda tool”

Keep taking the tablets.
JayyK
06-09-2015
Interesting findings from the info gathered regarding the Survation EU polling data.

How voters who did not vote #GE2015 say they would vote today

LAB 47.1%
CON 23.4%
UKIP 12.2%
GREENS 9.4%
LD 4.6%
SNP 3.3%
Annsyre
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by JayyK:
“Interesting findings from the info gathered regarding the Survation EU polling data.

How voters who did not vote #GE2015 say they would vote today

LAB 47.1%
CON 23.4%
UKIP 12.2%
GREENS 9.4%
LD 4.6%
SNP 3.3%”

Please provide a link. I have looked on their site and cannot find this info. The only EU info is

Remain a member of the European Union – 40%
Leave the European Union – 43%
Undecided – 17%

Excluding undecided voters, the results were:
Leave the European Union 51%*
Remain a member of the European Union 49%*

*to 2 decimal places 51.31/48.69
JayyK
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by Annsyre:
“Please provide a link. I have looked on their site and cannot find this info.”

http://ukgeneralelection2020.blogspot.co.uk/

Direct link
http://survation.com/wp-content/uplo...es-1c0d0h4.pdf
Annsyre
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by JayyK:
“http://ukgeneralelection2020.blogspot.co.uk/

Direct link
http://survation.com/wp-content/uplo...es-1c0d0h4.pdf”

Thanks it says

Voting Intention

Women (Men)

CON 38.2% (37.2%)
LAB 35.1% (28.6%)
UKIP 9.8% (16.9%)
LD 5.5% (6.5%)
SNP 4.7% (6%)
10:55 AM - 6 Sep 2015
JayyK
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by Annsyre:
“Thanks it says

Voting Intention

Women (Men)

CON 38.2% (37.2%)
LAB 35.1% (28.6%)
UKIP 9.8% (16.9%)
LD 5.5% (6.5%)
SNP 4.7% (6%)
10:55 AM - 6 Sep 2015
”


That's for the EU referendum.

I posted another piece from the findings regarding how voters who didn't vote in May's general election would vote today.

Can you really not understand this? it seems everytime info is posted you end up discussing something completely unrelated.
FruityLoopy
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by JayyK:
“Interesting findings from the info gathered regarding the Survation EU polling data.

How voters who did not vote #GE2015 say they would vote today

LAB 47.1%
CON 23.4%
UKIP 12.2%
GREENS 9.4%
LD 4.6%
SNP 3.3%”

Very interesting but I wonder how many of the 1000 people asked this included? almost 50% is quite large and could help explain why Corbyn mania took off.
MARTYM8
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by JayyK:
“That's for the EU referendum.

I posted another piece from the findings regarding how voters who didn't vote in May's general election would vote today.

Can you really not understand this? it seems everytime info is posted you end up discussing something completely unrelated.”

We have seen the EU poll by sex - but the age breakdown is far more startling.

Leave is ahead amongst over 35s - massively amongst over 65s - and stay is massively ahead amongst under 35s (see table 9 page 12)

Over 65s Leave 50% say 30%
35-64 Leave 42% stay 37%
18-34 Leave 23% Stay 57%

Interesting - as we know which demographic in reality is most likely to vote (hence the weghitng giving a leave lead).

Clearly all those young people love not being able to afford housing, low wages and zero hours contracts.

http://survation.com/wp-content/uplo...es-1c0d0h4.pdf
mossy2103
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by FruityLoopy:
“Very interesting but I wonder how many of the 1000 people asked this included? almost 50% is quite large and could help explain why Corbyn mania took off.”

The full data from the Survation link, page 9, states that 144 did not vote (out of the 1004 sampled). 144 is a very small sample size really, so extrapolating anything from the responses from the 144 could prove to be risky.
Aurora13
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“The full data from the Survation link, page 9, states that 144 did not vote (out of the 1004 sampled). 144 is a very small sample size really, so extrapolating anything from the responses from the 144 could prove to be risky.”

Statistically pointless.
Annsyre
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by JayyK:
“That's for the EU referendum.

I posted another piece from the findings regarding how voters who didn't vote in May's general election would vote today.

Can you really not understand this? it seems everytime info is posted you end up discussing something completely unrelated.”

I know what you posted and thanked you for the link and then posted information that set your information in context. Guess what? I am entitled to post what I choose and not what you like.

And if my posts irritate you then put me ignore and you wont have to read them.
dodrade
06-09-2015
Originally Posted by JayyK:
“Interesting findings from the info gathered regarding the Survation EU polling data.

How voters who did not vote #GE2015 say they would vote today

LAB 47.1%
CON 23.4%
UKIP 12.2%
GREENS 9.4%
LD 4.6%
SNP 3.3%”

A bit pointless, if they couldn't be bothered to vote in May why would they now?
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