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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3) |
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#26 |
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Quote:
As a Gemini, I think astrology is bollocks and has no impact on character or events.
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#27 |
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Quote:
It might be the case that the Tories need every seat they can get though.
Gove denying that a deal will be done with UKIP is the same as Miliband saying that he won't do a deak with Sturgeon. Both parties have to continue to appear confident that they can win a majority. Once we actually get the numbers and the hung parliament we expect, then they won't be so unequivocal to rule anything out. |
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#28 |
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Given the way how the poll numbers actually are (33% +/-1%) for both largest parties, it is highly delusional of them to think that they will get a majority and I hope that most people would be able to see through that blatant posturing.
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#29 |
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Quote:
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/04/18...t-proud-vote-/
I wonder if the polls reflect the above where people were asked if they were embarrassed to say who they may vote for Quote:
Some of the polls do these days.
I think this time Labour have the embarrassment factor as well. Quote:
Did you not read the link? Labour attracts the most pride in voters.
From the link: (embarrassed/proud) Labour: 33/20 ....Con: 39/17 We know how these polls work, that's a statistical tie. |
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#30 |
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Quote:
Typical Gemini.
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#31 |
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oo new thread, it really is getting close to the big day!
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#32 |
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Still feels a good bit away for me. Manifestos are out, The polls have been relatively consistent to the point of stalemate and all the potential alliances have been discussed to death so I'm not sure what more the parties can really do. I can see a dull few weeks as their afraid of doing anything to damage their positions.
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#33 |
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Still feels a good bit away for me. Manifestos are out, The polls have been relatively consistent to the point of stalemate and all the potential alliances have been discussed to death so I'm not sure what more the parties can really do. I can see a dull few weeks as their afraid of doing anything to damage their positions.
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#34 |
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Someone mentioned in the previous part of this thread (before part 3 was made) that Swinson may defy the odds in Dunbartonshire East, well according to this constituency poll, it tells a much different story:
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/04...unbartonshire/ |
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#35 |
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I think the effect of name recognition gets lost in polls like this one. If you give a list of parties and ask who you are voting for you get one answer. If you actually mention the candidates by name. people recognise Swinson's name and you get a different result. I still think she may lose but I think it could be close.
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#36 |
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Quote:
I think the effect of name recognition gets lost in polls like this one. If you give a list of parties and ask who you are voting for you get one answer. If you actually mention the candidates by name. people recognise Swinson's name and you get a different result. I still think she may lose but I think it could be close.
Notwithstanding the general UK and Scottish polls, I suspect that a number of Liberal Democrat and Scottish Labour MPs will survive the worst predictions. |
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#37 |
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Having said that, I am not sure that name recognition is a good thing for Jim Murphy!
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#38 |
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Quote:
Given the way how the poll numbers actually are (33% +/-1%) for both largest parties, it is highly delusional of them to think that they will get a majority and I hope that most people would be able to see through that blatant posturing.
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#39 |
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Opinium Observer poll
CON 36 LAB 32 LD 8 UKIP 13 GRN 5 |
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#40 |
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Quote:
Opinium Observer poll
CON 36 LAB 32 LD 8 UKIP 13 GRN 5 |
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#41 |
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Quote:
Opinium Observer poll
CON 36 LAB 32 LD 8 UKIP 13 GRN 5 |
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#42 |
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ENGLAND ONLY shares in latest Opinium poll has
CON 38 LAB 32 LD 9 UKIP 14 GRN 6 A 2.5% CON to LAB swing since 2010 |
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#43 |
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Are there any more polls this evening. It's far to soon to go by one poll. Be interesting to see more polls, if there are any tonight or within the next few days. But I thought the Conservatives would eventually increase there lead during the official election campaign.
Ian. |
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#44 |
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Quote:
Are there any more polls this evening. It's far to soon to go by one poll. Be interesting to see more polls, if there are any tonight or within the next few days. But I thought the Conservatives would eventually increase there lead during the official election campaign.
Ian. |
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#45 |
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within moe so im not going to get too excited but i am happy with that poll. How are these numbers compared with opiniums last poll?
Lab -2 Lib Dem +1 UKIP +2 Green -1 Others = Quote:
Are there any more polls this evening. It's far to soon to go by one poll. Be interesting to see more polls, if there are any tonight or within the next few days.
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#46 |
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Was that poll done before or after the challengers debate?
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#47 |
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Just checked and fieldwork for the Opinium Observer poll took place on Thurs & Fri - so straddled the BBC debate. YouGov, out later, was all after.
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#48 |
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Some other data from the poll
England only - Con 38 Lab 32 LD 9 UKIP 14 Grren 6 Scotland: Con 18 Lab 28 LD 8 SNP 40 UKIP 2 Greens 3 Wales Con 26 Lab 37 LD 6 Plaid 10 UKip 17 Greens 3 BNP 2 ????? |
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#49 |
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Leader approval ratings
David Cameron Net 0 England +4 Scotland -23 Wales -13 Ed Miliband Net -18 England -16 Scotland -33 Wales -6 Nick Clegg Net -32 England -29 Scotland - 51 Wale s- 42 Nigel Farrage Net -18 England -16 Scotland -40 Wales -13 so Cameron has a plus ten point approval rating over Ed in Scotland shows Labour is in trouble |
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#50 |
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Quote:
within moe so im not going to get too excited but i am happy with that poll. How are these numbers compared with opiniums last poll?
Farage has not suffered neither has Sturgeon. Moral: Avoid TV debates. |
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