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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3) |
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#6676 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: West Highlands
Posts: 8,011
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Quote:
Interesting.
There are more bets to leave, but the remain bets are of higher value. |
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#6677 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 136
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Quote:
Interesting.
There are more bets to leave, but the remain bets are of higher value. Currently Remain is 1.31 (just under 1/3) and Leave 4.1 (just over 3/1). Cant see the markey cracking £50m but you never know. |
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#6678 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: It's Grim
Posts: 24,412
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For people still unsure the best thing is to vote Remain.
No matter what happens voting Remain will give a person psychological safety. >Leave Wins. The UK economy dips for a while, then picks up strongly. The Remain voter can happily admit they were wrong. >Leave Wins. The UK economy tanks. The Remain voter can say "I told you so" and feel good about their decision. >Remain Wins: The EU go nuclear and it's all bad. The Remain voter will have misery for company. >Remain Wins: It works out great, the EU are not that bad. The UK economy thrives. "Yahoo for me!" thinks the Remain voter |
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#6679 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 7,222
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I'm convinced remain will win, legally or 'otherwise'. I think the big question is the margin of victory.
The issue won't go away though. The UK is fundamentally at odds with the concept of the EU. |
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#6680 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 19,908
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Will be interesting to see if the polls generally got it right this time.
I'm coming to the realisation that I am going to be unhappy whatever the result. I'm voting Remain reluctantly...it will just be business as usual for the EU with zero chance of reform. |
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#6681 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 7,222
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Quote:
For people still unsure the best thing is to vote Remain.
No matter what happens voting Remain will give a person psychological safety. >Leave Wins. The UK economy dips for a while, then picks up strongly. The Remain voter can happily admit they were wrong. >Leave Wins. The UK economy tanks. The Remain voter can say "I told you so" and feel good about their decision. >Remain Wins: The EU go nuclear and it's all bad. The Remain voter will have misery for company. >Remain Wins: It works out great, the EU are not that bad. The UK economy thrives. "Yahoo for me!" thinks the Remain voter |
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#6682 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 7,222
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Quote:
Will be interesting to see if the polls generally got it right this time.
I'm coming to the realisation that I am going to be unhappy whatever the result. I'm voting Remain reluctantly...it will just be business as usual for the EU with zero chance of reform. |
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#6683 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Independent United Kingdom
Posts: 3,749
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Quote:
Why in the hell are you voting remain then?!
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#6684 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Berkshire
Posts: 27,919
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Quote:
Will be interesting to see if the polls generally got it right this time.
I'm coming to the realisation that I am going to be unhappy whatever the result. I'm voting Remain reluctantly...it will just be business as usual for the EU with zero chance of reform. The fear of doing something different results in changes that can be great. It is natural to fear something, but far more natural to want to improve things. We can only improve things if we leave. |
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#6685 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Berkshire
Posts: 27,919
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Quote:
I'm convinced remain will win, legally or 'otherwise'. I think the big question is the margin of victory.
The issue won't go away though. The UK is fundamentally at odds with the concept of the EU. |
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#6686 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 16,507
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Maybe it's because I live in London, but I think things are absolute crap as they are with us in the EU, so for me voting leave and the chance of change is an easy decision. All this crap about us loosing holiday pay, maternity leave etc is just rubbish and scaremongering.
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#6687 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
Posts: 9,623
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Jim Waterson @jimwaterson 43m43 minutes ago
Done some rough maths on the EU voter reg drive: 6.5m people applied to register Dec>Jun but only 2m increase in names on electoral roll. |
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#6688 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Fort William
Posts: 22,293
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Quote:
What is it about Leave that bothers you?
Quote:
Most Brits have always been of the view "Happy to be part of the EU, but not run by the EU". If that scenario were to continue, most Brits wouldn't care one way or another.
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#6689 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Independent United Kingdom
Posts: 3,749
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Quote:
Maybe it's because I live in London, but I think things are absolute crap as they are with us in the EU, so for me voting leave and the chance of change is an easy decision. All this crap about us loosing holiday pay, maternity leave etc is just rubbish and scaremongering.
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#6690 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Sheffield
Posts: 1,470
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I think next poll wiill have remain about 5% ahead
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#6691 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Stirling/Windsor/Overseas
Posts: 14,360
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Quote:
What is it about Leave that bothers you?
The fear of doing something different results in changes that can be great. It is natural to fear something, but far more natural to want to improve things. We can only improve things if we leave. |
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#6692 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Hampshire
Posts: 20,806
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Quote:
Improve things with a falling currency, job uncertainty and business moving to other countries. How is that going to make your life any better?
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#6693 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Berkshire
Posts: 27,919
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Quote:
Improve things with a falling currency, job uncertainty and business moving to other countries. How is that going to make your life any better?
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#6694 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 5,100
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Quote:
I think next poll wiill have remain about 5% ahead
Leave needs to be about 5 to 6 points ahead at least to have a chance based on historical trends. They are a million miles away from that. |
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#6695 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Berkshire
Posts: 27,919
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Quote:
I think next poll wiill have remain about 5% ahead
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#6696 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: A bunker
Posts: 5,964
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Quote:
What you describe is the flaw in both sides of the argument. Simply because Remainers always say that Brexiters can't predict what will happen, but exactly the same principal applies to Remainers. You simply do not know that what you describe will happen.
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#6697 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,626
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Quote:
The only polls that we know are definitely out today are Opinium (16:30) and ComRes (22:00).
Tomorrow we have Ipsos MORI (morning) and YouGov's on-the-day-but-not-exit-poll (22:00). There may be more we haven't heard of yet. |
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#6698 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,192
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In our shop its odd. Its gone from being very much Leave to being Don't Know to some now being Remain. So compared to a month ago things are pretty mixed and about even.
Its defo more older people over 60 who seem to want out. I live in a University City and I have to be honest. Of the young people, lets say about early 20s, they are very much strongly in favour of Remain. So this really does seem like its a Vs between the generations to me. |
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#6699 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 928
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Quote:
It's an odd thing isn't it? It really does seem that everyone I speak to, apart from a tiny handful, is voting Leave. These are from all walks of life. Yet polls suggest that Remain is the preference.
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#6700 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2016
Posts: 987
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Quote:
Are polls allowed on polling day before ballot boxes close?
Some info here http://www.inbrief.co.uk/media-law/p...xit-polls-law/ |
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