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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3)
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Lily Layfield
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by welshfoxy:
“I hope this isn't wishful thinking....”

Well Gove has already hinted he will stand down if Remain win and Cameron is defo toast if Brexit win.

I have no sympathy for the Tories. So yeah it probably is wishful thinking but you can bet whatever the outcome things are not going to be pretty.
James2001
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“But older voters were most solid for No. Amongst 25-29 year olds 62 per cent backed yes. The under 25s went No but by no where near as much as the over 65s.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...-west-34283948”

There's still the point that the turnout of younger people still wasn't that much lower than the older generation.

And 16-24 year olds were mostly No as well.
IJoinedInMay
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by wizzywick:
“Yes, what on earth will we do once the Referendum is over? I know! There's always a Quiz to take part in over in the RT Countdown thread! That'll give you something to do.

Mind you, politics is quite exciting at the moment, and it'll be quite dull when we all get back to normal. I can't see much happening in politics until after the summer recess.”

The Chilcott Report comes out two weeks today.
Hacker Harrier
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by Lily Layfield:
“I'm very much looking forward to the Tories ripping themselves apart.”

The Tories have been tearing themselves apart since the 17th Century.
marke09
22-06-2016
How SKY will be covering the results and what to look out for

http://news.sky.com/story/1715911/eu...he-night-guide
MARTYM8
22-06-2016
TNS poll out next apparently,

Again more odd betting moves.
xeo
22-06-2016
TNS: 43% leave, 41% remain
marke09
22-06-2016
The Evening Standard has come out for Remain
Mac2015
22-06-2016
I laughed at this.

https://twitter.com/Martin_Durkin/st...48823213146113
Chirpy_Chicken
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by xeo:
“TNS: 43% leave, 41% remain”

16% Undecided in poll though
And leave down 4%
marke09
22-06-2016
#Remain 41%
#Leave 43%
Undecided/Would not vote 16%

Online survey of 2,320 adults.
James2001
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by xeo:
“TNS: 43% leave, 41% remain”

Their last poll had Leave 7 points ahead, so possibly more sign of swing to remain?
marke09
22-06-2016
How can anyone be undecided still
xeo
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by James2001:
“Their last poll had Leave 7 points ahead, so possibly more sign of swing to remain?”

Leave down 4, Remain up 1, so more people have become undecided bizarrely.
marke09
22-06-2016
they have lumped wont vote in that 16%
ArtfulDodger_
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by xeo:
“Leave down 4, Remain up 1, so more people have become undecided bizarrely.”

Is it the same people?
xeo
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by ArtfulDodger_:
“Is it the same people?”

Probably not, so probably just sampling variation.

Dramatic footnote - among likely voters it is Leave 49%, Remain 42%...
inothernews
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by marke09:
“How can anyone be undecided still”

The ones who end up not voting?

I knew someone who never ever voted. His logic being it could never be his fault.
Hacker Harrier
22-06-2016
The rain forecast for tomorrow should help the undecided.
James2001
22-06-2016
Only seems to be forecast for the south east, the rest of the country looks dry and warm/
Hacker Harrier
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by James2001:
“Only seems to be forecast for the south east, the rest of the country looks dry and warm/”

Patchy rain in the West Midlands and eastern England. Thunderstorms and rain/heavy rain in the South and South East.
Chirpy_Chicken
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by James2001:
“Only seems to be forecast for the south east, the rest of the country looks dry and warm/”

yes your right
James2001
22-06-2016
Though people are only hoping for rain in the hopes it could stifle the remain vote...
Chirpy_Chicken
22-06-2016
Originally Posted by James2001:
“Though people are only hoping for rain in the hopes it could stifle the remain vote...”

This is freely admitted
Hacker Harrier
22-06-2016
It will probably put off the undecided thinking of visiting the polling station.
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