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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3) |
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#6901 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 27,514
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Quote:
Labour 63 - 29
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#6902 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Manchester
Posts: 15,095
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Quote:
Likely to be retired so will be able to go and vote when there is no rain
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#6903 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 40,288
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I think leave are a bit like Iceland.
No one gives them a chance - and look what's just happened. |
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#6904 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: south east coast
Posts: 15,717
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Quote:
Probably already done it by postal ballot.
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#6905 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,113
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Quote:
Essex and Kent overall are likely to be solidly leave for a start - they are amongst UKIPs strongest areas.
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#6906 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
Posts: 9,617
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https://twitter.com/DMcCaffreySKY - the top 10 Remain areas according to SKY data
https://twitter.com/DMcCaffreySKY - the top 10 Leave areas according to SKY Data |
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#6907 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 5,297
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Leave odds are collapsing? Can someone tell me why - the TNS poll?
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#6908 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Independent United Kingdom
Posts: 3,749
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Quote:
Leave odds are collapsing? Can someone tell me why - the TNS poll?
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#6909 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 5,100
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Quote:
Leave odds are collapsing? Can someone tell me why - the TNS poll?
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#6910 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 27,514
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Quote:
Hardly collapsing odds are they. They've moved in a bit but one rogue poll isn't necessarily worth worrying about. So far the trend has been a move to remain, we'll have to see if the final polls confirm that or if this TNS poll is the start of something more worrying. I'm certainly not panicking yet as a remain supporter.
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#6911 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Manchester
Posts: 15,095
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Quote:
Hardly collapsing odds are they. They've moved in a bit but one rogue poll isn't necessarily worth worrying about. So far the trend has been a move to remain, we'll have to see if the final polls confirm that or if this TNS poll is the start of something more worrying. I'm certainly not panicking yet as a remain supporter.
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#6912 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Independent United Kingdom
Posts: 3,749
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Quote:
To be fair, this TNS poll has leave 5 points less ahead of Remain than their previous one did!
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#6913 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 223
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I've converted a remain family member to leave.
Quite happy with myself.
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#6914 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 40,288
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Quote:
To be fair, this TNS poll has leave 5 points less ahead of Remain than their previous one did!
It's a bit much after weeks of polling to change methodology from likely to all voters for the last poll though. |
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#6915 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 9,205
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Quote:
To be fair, this TNS poll has leave 5 points less ahead of Remain than their previous one did!
Quote:
The method was changed.
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#6916 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,192
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I wonder if we are going to have the exact same result as the indy ref but with Leave on 55% and Remain on 45% Many of the polls now mirror the final indy ref polls which had No in the lead. Like with that referedum, I'm thinking the olders are going to be the deciding vote.
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#6917 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,625
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Quote:
I've converted a remain family member to leave.
Quite happy with myself. ![]()
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#6918 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 5,100
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Quote:
I've converted a remain family member to leave.
Quite happy with myself. ![]() |
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#6919 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 27,514
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Wasn't there Sky News saying one of the polls due out today had remain 10 points ahead? Presumably that's one of the ones due out at 10PM (ComRes I'd assume).
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#6920 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,625
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Quote:
Yes Leave still ahead by 7 points on their previous methodology I think?
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#6921 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Independent United Kingdom
Posts: 3,749
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Quote:
You won't be if leave wins, and nor will your family member. You'll never have seen anything like the carnage that would follow a victory for leave on Friday morning. It will be the most extraordinary demonstration of self-harm ever witnessed by a country.
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#6922 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 5,100
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Quote:
Wasn't there Sky News saying one of the polls due out today had remain 10 points ahead? Presumably that's one of the ones due out at 10PM.
There's another poll coming that supposedly shows a move from leave to remain too. Hopefully accurate that rumour but who knows with social media. I'd like to go into tomorrow knowing the vast majority of pollsters are very confident that remain will win. |
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#6923 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 53,387
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Quote:
Leave odds are collapsing? Can someone tell me why - the TNS poll?
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#6924 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Independent United Kingdom
Posts: 3,749
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Quote:
Yep I believe so.
There's another poll coming that supposedly shows a move from leave to remain too. Hopefully accurate that rumour but who knows with social media. I'd like to go into tomorrow knowing the vast majority of pollsters are very confident that remain will win. |
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#6925 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Berkshire
Posts: 27,888
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Quote:
I've converted a remain family member to leave.
Quite happy with myself. ![]() |
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