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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3) |
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#6976 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 27,530
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Quote:
But we still need to make sure all our friends and family go out and vote tomorrow (if they are backing remain of course, for the others I talk about voting in Friday's referendum)
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#6977 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 6,862
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Imagine if it was a huge swing to Leave...there would be floods of tears on these pages.
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#6978 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Berkshire
Posts: 27,919
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What is this "10% lead for remain" as rumoured by Sky? I haven't heard anyone else say that.
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#6979 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 5,100
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Quote:
Well I know my mum's going and voting remain. As she's 66 the demographics say she should be a Leave voter, but she most certainly isn't!
It's very clear to me people thinking this demographic is in the bag for leave are getting it totally wrong. |
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#6980 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 6,862
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Quote:
Well I know my mum's going and voting remain. As she's 66 the demographics say she should be a Leave voter, but she most certainly isn't!
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#6981 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 6,862
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Quote:
My Mum is 61 and she's voting remain too. She works in health care and is very concerned for the future of the NHS outside of the EU. All her colleagues and friends are doing the same.
It's very clear to me people thinking this demographic is in the bag for leave are getting it totally wrong. |
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#6982 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 9,214
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Maybe the biggest outlier, or maybe the one poll that gets it right- who knows?
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#6983 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
Posts: 9,623
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Quote:
What is this "10% lead for remain" as rumoured by Sky? I haven't heard anyone else say that.
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#6984 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 40,361
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Quote:
If ComRes are going against the trend they're really risking being wrong and losing some of their credibility. If they're right though then all the other pollsters will be nicking their methodology!
![]() To be honest I have seen no sign of a rumoured 10 per cent remain lead on the political betting site which is usually on the ball. Not saying it might not be correct but twitter can be wrong. It would be brave considering Opinium and TNS have leave ahead slightly, I would expect Comres and ITV would want to keep the result tight. |
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#6985 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 59,746
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Quote:
Well I know my mum's going and voting remain. As she's 66 the demographics say she should be a Leave voter, but she most certainly isn't!
About a week ago I was getting worried about Leave winning but I'm slowly becoming more confident that sanity will prevail. |
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#6986 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Staffordshire Moorlands
Posts: 9,447
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All but the last ComRes poll have had Remain with a large lead.
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#6987 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,192
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Quote:
The NHS isn't safe either way with your Tories in government.
The truth is all the Tories are complete liars who will say anything to get the result they want. That's why I had to search the EU all on my own to make up my mind without their interference. |
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#6988 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
Posts: 9,623
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The Com Res poll was commissioned by Daily Mail
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#6989 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 23,726
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Quote:
Well I know my mum's going and voting remain. As she's 66 the demographics say she should be a Leave voter, but she most certainly isn't!
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#6990 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 6,862
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#6991 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 5,100
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Quote:
The NHS isn't safe either way with your Tories in government.
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#6992 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,192
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Quote:
The Com Res poll was commissioned by Daily Mail
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#6993 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 40,361
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Quote:
The Com Res poll was commissioned by Daily Mail
Maybe there are two Comres polls? |
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#6994 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
Posts: 9,623
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If there was a poll which gave either side 10% lead then the markets havent reacted to it - only the odds on leave have moved at all
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#6995 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 6,862
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Britain Elects @britainelects Jun 19
The Remain campaign represents... The establishment: 41% Ordinary people: 10% Both equally: 21% (via YouGov / 16 - 17 Jun) |
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#6996 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Berkshire
Posts: 27,919
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Quote:
My mum and uncle are just a tad older than that and are also both voting remain
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#6997 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
Posts: 9,623
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Tom Mludzinski @tom_ComRes 44m44 minutes ago
Tom Mludzinski Retweeted Robert Peston Final #EURef poll from us out tonight - tune into @NewsAtTen & get @DailyMailUK for full findings |
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#6998 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 27,530
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Quote:
If there was a poll which gave either side 10% lead then the markets havent reacted to it - only the odds on leave have moved at all
And if there was a poll showing a substantial lead for Leave and the markets had got hold of it, I'm sure we'd have seen more of a reaction in their direction than we have. I doubt we'd be having 5/2 on Leave if there were rumours of a poll with Leave 10 points ahead! |
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#6999 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 40,361
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Quote:
My mum and uncle are just a tad older than that and are also both voting remain
![]() These anecdotes are nice but don't mean much |
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#7000 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 27,530
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Quote:
10% lead for Leave then...
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