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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3) |
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#51 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
Posts: 9,617
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Latest Opinium poll (16 - 17 Apr):
CON - 36% (-) LAB - 32% (-2) UKIP - 13% (+2) LDEM - 8% (+1) GRN - 5% (-1) |
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#52 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Brighton
Posts: 1,973
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Quote:
The last debate was a shambles and very bad for Miliband - people could see that Sturgeon would dominate him and any sort of coalition of loose arrangement.
Farage has not suffered neither has Sturgeon. Moral: Avoid TV debates. |
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#53 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
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Another two polls expected tonight
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#54 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: London
Posts: 5,138
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Quote:
The last debate was a shambles and very bad for Miliband - people could see that Sturgeon would dominate him and any sort of coalition or loose arrangement.
Farage has not suffered neither has Sturgeon. Moral: Avoid TV debates. |
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#55 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,113
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Quote:
And yet it was Ed who won in the polls for who performed best...
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#56 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
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Quote:
What did he win? They asked a thousand people who went to the debate. Not exactly a national picture.
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#57 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,113
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Quote:
think it was only Labour loving Mirror that gave it to him
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#58 |
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Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,349
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Quote:
There is one certainty this time, the two party system is finished and the days of one of the two main parties getting a big majority are over. I think with the Lib Dems, the nationalists, UKIP and the Greens all taking support from the two main parties, we'll probably have coalition governments for a long time to come.
Only in 1992 when Labour lost the 4th straight election to unfancied Major and left the party utterly demoralised it was being widely said that Labour could never win an election again in Britain. Well how massively wrong was that assertion. With a more substantial leader the past 5 years I think Labour would now be looking at an overall win in the election rather than a hung parliament and at best being the largest party or a minority government. |
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#59 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Stoke-On-Trent
Posts: 7,158
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Quote:
think it was only Labour loving Mirror that gave it to him
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#60 |
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: London
Posts: 5,138
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@NCPoliticsUK: Apparently no ComRes online poll tonight... YouGov/Times in a couple of hours #ge2015
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#61 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: In the red mist
Posts: 19,787
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Interesting Opiniuim poll that - so far we've had 1% Labour and Tory leads respectively from Populus and Survation, two consecutive ties from YouGov, and now a 4% Tory lead. It'll be interesting to see whether this reflect a shift in the polls towards the Tories, with YouGov (and perhaps ComRes whenever it's published) or is something of an outlier.
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#62 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 22,156
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Latest Opinium poll (16 - 17 Apr):
CON - 36% (-) LAB - 32% (-2) UKIP - 13% (+2) LDEM - 8% (+1) GRN - 5% (-1) Sorry didn't realise its been posted already. x |
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#63 |
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: London
Posts: 5,138
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Opinium/Observer has been pretty consistently poor for Labour.
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#64 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 77,557
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Quote:
I think the effect of name recognition gets lost in polls like this one. If you give a list of parties and ask who you are voting for you get one answer. If you actually mention the candidates by name. people recognise Swinson's name and you get a different result. I still think she may lose but I think it could be close.
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#65 |
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: mid west wales
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So back to square one as you gov have labour 3% ahead on 36
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#66 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: London
Posts: 5,138
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YouGov/Times Poll:
Lab 36% Con 33% Ukip 13% Lib Dem 8% Green 5% Panic over everyone! |
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#67 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: London
Posts: 5,138
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And with gains and losses: LAB - 36% (+2) CON - 33% (-1) UKIP - 13% (-1) LDEM - 9% (-1) GRN - 5% (-)
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#68 |
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Join Date: Dec 2012
Posts: 26,165
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So back to even stevens again.
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#69 |
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Gateshead, Tyne and Wear.
Posts: 4,621
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Quote:
YouGov:
Lab 36% Con 33% Ukip 13% Lib Dem 8% Green 5% Panic over everyone! Ian. |
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#70 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: In the red mist
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....so it's still a stalemate, then!
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#71 |
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Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,775
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I've followed this thread for about a month now and nothing has barely changed.
Can't see it changing much up to the day either. |
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#72 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: London
Posts: 5,138
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Quote:
Have labour gained or dropped any % points and have the Conservatives gained or dropped any or have both party's stayed the same with % points?
Ian. |
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#73 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Gateshead, Tyne and Wear.
Posts: 4,621
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Quote:
LAB - 36% (+2) CON - 33% (-1) UKIP - 13% (-1) LDEM - 9% (-1) GRN - 5% (-)
![]() Ian. |
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#74 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Pimlico, central London, UK
Posts: 14,877
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On the whole Labour and the Tories don't seem to have changed much at all polling wise since the election started. If there is to be any late surge, it will certainly be late!
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#75 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Sheffield
Posts: 1,470
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give with one hand take with the other lol
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