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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3)


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Old 23-06-2016, 22:51
ArtfulDodger_
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Labour leave already attacking Corbyn on Sky.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:52
Inspiration
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When did he say that? what precisely did he say if you don't mind me asking
Says he met a lot of leavers in London whilst out and about today. He looked a bit concerned. But he could just be unsure like everyone else and not prepared to call it.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:54
MattXfactor
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Says he met a lot of leavers in London whilst out and about today. He looked a bit concerned. But he could just be unsure like everyone else and not prepared to call it.
Ah fair play sounds about right
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:55
Lily Layfield
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Labour leave already attacking Corbyn on Sky.
Kate Hoey is just a Tory on a Labour ticket. She always has been.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:56
wizzywick
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Over 89,000 Postal Votes in Newcastle: Remain have detected, says Naga Munchetty, that about 60% of those are for LEAVE.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:57
Hildaonpluto
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Indeed. And the excellent news is that the BBC's EU correspondent has said that EU countries are proud of the UK because they now have the confidence to get the EU to reform. The EU has acknowledged that it needs to consider the views of member states more closely!

David Dimbleby was quite funny (I suspect he voted Leave) because he said "But we've heard it all before, they talk the talk and then do absolutely nothing!"


My view is that there's discontent across the EU with some of its direction from Holland to Denmark and even Germany so I think change is coming and reform even if it's resisted as change will be forced upon them so their better getting ahead of the curve rather than dragging their feet. They need to pull away from centralising so much. That's were the tension lies and is the key problem but it's infinitely doable it's just a case of slow track or fast track.

I'm still not confident it's Bremain by the way!
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:57
solarflare
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7% of ukippers in that You guv poll voted remain.
WTF!
They must REALLY like all the other UKIP policies, even if they don't necessarily agree on their stance on the EU. Policies such as...um...no you got me there.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:57
wizzywick
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Basildon are expecting 77% of their votes to be for LEAVE.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:57
Chirpy_Chicken
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Over 89,000 Postal Votes in Newcastle: Remain have detected, says Naga Munchetty, that about 60% of those are for LEAVE.
But on the other hand they are saying they dont well getting people to change their mind on the doorstep and vote remain
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:58
welshfoxy
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Over 89,000 Postal Votes in Newcastle: Remain have detected, says Naga Munchetty, that about 60% of those are for LEAVE.
Not good enough for the postal votes.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:58
Inspiration
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Basildon are expecting 77% of their votes to be for LEAVE.
75% turn out there predicted.
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Old 23-06-2016, 22:59
James2001
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Over 89,000 Postal Votes in Newcastle: Remain have detected, says Naga Munchetty, that about 60% of those are for LEAVE.
That was Sunderland she was talking about, not Newcastle.
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:00
Chirpy_Chicken
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NCP EU Referendum (@NCPoliticsEU)
June 23, 2016
Ipsos MORI (#EUref on the day):

REMAIN 54 (+2)
LEAVE 46 (-2)

Changes vs earlier today
*** ALSO NOT AN EXIT POLL ***#Brexit #EUreferendum
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:01
wizzywick
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That was Sunderland she was talking about, not Newcastle.
Thanks. Apologies for the mistake.
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:03
wizzywick
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NCP EU Referendum (@NCPoliticsEU)
June 23, 2016
Ipsos MORI (#EUref on the day):

REMAIN 54 (+2)
LEAVE 46 (-2)

Changes vs earlier today
*** ALSO NOT AN EXIT POLL ***#Brexit #EUreferendum
Not bothered about Polls now. I've already conceded that Remain will win.
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:04
ArtfulDodger_
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Not bothered about Polls now. I've already conceded that Remain will win.
Without a single result in.
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:05
misawa97
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Basildon are expecting 77% of their votes to be for LEAVE.
Pity anyone who has to live there.
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:10
NorthernNinny
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Pity anyone who has to live there.
Why what's wrong with Basildon?
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:13
marke09
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@BBCRichardMoss: Labour sources say sampling in Sunderland suggest 54% Leave, 46% Remain. #EUref
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:14
wizzywick
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@BBCRichardMoss: Labour sources say sampling in Sunderland suggest 54% Leave, 46% Remain. #EUref
What would that suggest?
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:15
Inspiration
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What would that suggest?
Remain national result.. or a very close call. But it's just a sample. Dan Hodges saying leave needed more than that.
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:16
marke09
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What would that suggest?
well reading the people who know this stuff anything over 6% in Sunderland for leave and leave have momentum anything less means its very close if it is remain game over
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:17
scotch
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@BBCRichardMoss: Labour sources say sampling in Sunderland suggest 54% Leave, 46% Remain. #EUref
oh if this turns out, then it's lifted my mood.. they were saying anything above 53% suggests a close result overall.
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:17
marke09
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someone off political betting

Surely if the on the day votes are 54-46 in Sunderland and the postals are 60-40 then thats suggesting Sunderland is going to be 56% Leave? That's enough over-par to outweigh Scotland, NI and Gibraltar to give about 51% Leave overall?
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Old 23-06-2016, 23:19
fermyn
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The results in each of these districts adds up to a tied overall vote, which is in line with current polling. In other words, a 53-47 win for Brexit in Sunderland at 12.30am would be in line with a 50:50 overall vote.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a7095441.html
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