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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3)


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Old 04-07-2016, 13:40
Liete
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Westminster Voting Intentions 1-3 July

ICM

CON-37 (+1)
LAB-30% (-2)
UKIP-15% (-)
LIB-8% (+1)
GRE-4% (-1)
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Old 04-07-2016, 15:02
marke09
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Roger Scully @roger_scully

Some polls produce rather dull results. The new Welsh Political Barometer poll is not one of them. Find out more on @SharpendITV tonight
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Old 04-07-2016, 18:05
Liete
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Conservative Party Members Leader Preference

Leadsom-38%
May-37%
Gove-13%
Crabb-6%
Fox-5%

Beginning to think Leadsom could win it
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Old 04-07-2016, 18:08
Last Kingdom
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Conservative Party Members Leader Preference

Leadsom-38%
May-37%
Gove-13%
Crabb-6%
Fox-5%

Beginning to think Leadsom could win it
Yes considering all of Gove and Fox's backers will move to her in a straight battle with May, Leadsom is looking very strong
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Old 04-07-2016, 18:12
wizzywick
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Conservative Party Members Leader Preference

Leadsom-38%
May-37%
Gove-13%
Crabb-6%
Fox-5%

Beginning to think Leadsom could win it
Is Leadsom capable of uniting both country and party? That is the question? Brexit is of course important, but what about everything else?
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Old 04-07-2016, 18:23
Lily Layfield
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I think Leadsom will win it too. While I have no idea of the mindset of Tory members from what I have read on many Tory sites a lot of people are pissed at May being a no show during the referendum and its now widely seen that she hid as to not have to talk about the immigration figures which the home office is in charge of.
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Old 04-07-2016, 18:35
marke09
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If Leadstom wins then WE will be exiting the EU
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Old 04-07-2016, 18:44
MARTYM8
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Is Leadsom capable of uniting both country and party? That is the question? Brexit is of course important, but what about everything else?
She would win over loads of UKIP voters post Farage with her views on FOM etc. Maybe even a few Labour ones too as she does tough and likeability.

Avd if she wins our votes on 23 June will not have been in vain.
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Old 04-07-2016, 18:52
blueisthecolour
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Given the recent preference for the public to go against the status quo you'd have to say that Leadsom is in with a chance.

Though being a 'unknown' has it's disadvantages. The public hasn't been to exposed to any of of her 'dirt' yet so it's quick easy for the May campaign to rake up a load of negative stories and hope that Leadsom doesn't have time to effectively counter them.

Maybe the biggest gamble is if May offers her a serious cabinet post to step down. Deal or No Deal as the bearded one says . . . . .
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Old 04-07-2016, 20:53
solenoid
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Farage will be PM within 5 years.
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Old 04-07-2016, 21:52
Chris1964
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Is Leadsom capable of uniting both country and party? That is the question? Brexit is of course important, but what about everything else?
Can Leadsom win a General Election? -that's the biggest question.
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Old 04-07-2016, 22:21
Liete
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YouGov Conservative Members 1-4 July

May vs Leadsom

May-63%
Leadsom-31%
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Old 04-07-2016, 22:26
Tassium
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Why does almost no one bother providing links any more?
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Old 04-07-2016, 22:48
Annsyre
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Conservative Party Members Leader Preference

Leadsom-38%
May-37%
Gove-13%
Crabb-6%
Fox-5%

Beginning to think Leadsom could win it
No link therefore not taken seriously
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Old 04-07-2016, 22:53
RRL
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No link therefore not taken seriously
Link for you

http://www.conservativehome.com/thet...the-final.html
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Old 04-07-2016, 23:21
marke09
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Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 12m12 minutes ago

Welsh Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 34% (-5)
CON: 23% (+1)
PC: 16% (+2)
UKIP: 16% (-2)
LDEM: 8% (+2)
(via YouGov)
Chgs. from June.
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Old 05-07-2016, 07:26
mossy2103
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Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 12m12 minutes ago

Welsh Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 34% (-5)
CON: 23% (+1)
PC: 16% (+2)
UKIP: 16% (-2)
LDEM: 8% (+2)
(via YouGov)
Chgs. from June.
Is this a sign of the Corbyn Effect reaching Wales?
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Old 11-07-2016, 20:39
MartinP
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Latest Westminster ICM - polled 8-10 July

Conservatives 38%
Labour 30%
UKIP 15%
Lib Dems 8%
SNP 5%
Greens 4%

https://www.icmunlimited.com/wp-cont...6_july8-10.pdf
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Old 11-07-2016, 22:24
Soppyfan
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So following recent events, the polls remain almost the same.
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Old 11-07-2016, 22:31
Tall Paul
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Latest Westminster ICM - polled 8-10 July

Conservatives 38%
Labour 30%
UKIP 15%
Lib Dems 8%
SNP 5%
Greens 4%

https://www.icmunlimited.com/wp-cont...6_july8-10.pdf
Doesn't surprise me the tories are streaks ahead, Corbyn is so arrogant that he's forced labour in that position. He can't even lead his party let alone the country, absolutely hopeless.
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Old 14-07-2016, 11:52
BanglaRoad
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http://c.newsnow.co.uk/A/2/839833499?-15102:21126:0
1 point Tory lead, UKIP at 8%
Polls? Don'cha just love em
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Old 14-07-2016, 11:53
ArtfulDodger_
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Conservative Party Members Leader Preference

Leadsom-38%
May-37%
Gove-13%
Crabb-6%
Fox-5%

Beginning to think Leadsom could win it
I think she would have won, but Leadsom did not want to win, neither did the Tory party want her to win.
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Old 14-07-2016, 11:54
ArtfulDodger_
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To think Tories are 8 points ahead despite all the events over the past few weeks, Labour are finished if there is an election.
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Old 14-07-2016, 11:59
BanglaRoad
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To think Tories are 8 points ahead despite all the events over the past few weeks, Labour are finished if there is an election.
Poll from last weekend shows a 1 point Tory lead.
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Old 14-07-2016, 12:00
Tall Paul
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To think Tories are 8 points ahead despite all the events over the past few weeks, Labour are finished if there is an election.
Labour deserve to lose as Jeremy Corbyn just isn't good enough; too one dimensional and left wing to lead, I do love the labour party, but Jeremy you have to say is boring and his holding the party to ransom says it all of how labour are doing in the polls.
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