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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3) |
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#8926 |
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 68,712
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Quote:
I think Labour will be a bit relieved with that. After a spell, they are effectively back to the situation on Election Day 2015. You'll recal, they gradually built up in th polls to a point where they were starting to show parity, until the Chicken Coup sent them back down into the depths again.
Quote:
As for the timing, how many people do you think really pay much attention to opposition party conferences, at this stage in an electoral cycle?
Strange that other opposition conferences in the past have tended to give a poll bounce, if only a small one. This is in part due to the increased media coverage meaning that the party, its leader and its main spokespersons are thrust to the fore, and partly due to the policies being announced chiming with the public (after all, many such announcements seem to be timed and expressed to be media-friendly).
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#8927 |
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Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Onchan, Isle of Man
Posts: 1,672
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Seems the voters are not respecting Jeremy's massive mandate.
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#8928 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Norwich
Posts: 7,793
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Quote:
Seems the voters are not respecting Jeremy's massive mandate.
Yoda |
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#8929 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2002
Location: GL51 0EX
Posts: 14,098
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Quote:
You'll recal, they gradually built up in th polls to a point where they were starting to show parity
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#8930 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 5,934
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#8931 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: London
Posts: 2,562
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On whether you trust the the Labour Party:
Trust: 24% Do not trust: 66% (via YouGov / 29 - 30 Sep) |
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#8932 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
On whether you trust the the Labour Party:
Trust: 24% Do not trust: 66% (via YouGov / 29 - 30 Sep) |
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#8933 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Posts: 24,065
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Let us see if the Tories get a "bounce" after the conference, now that will be interesting as Corbyn got zilch bounce after his.
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#8934 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Posts: 24,065
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Must be due for a new poll soon now the conferences are over.
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#8935 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: London
Posts: 9,411
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Guardian ICM
Con 43 (+2) Lab 26 (-2) Ukip 11 (-2) Lib Dem 8 (-1) Green 6 (+2) 17pt lead for the Tories. https://www.theguardian.com/politics...b03258bcac6355 |
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#8936 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
Guardian ICM
Con 43 (+2) Lab 26 (-2) Ukip 11 (-2) Lib Dem 8 (-1) Green 6 (+2) 17pt lead for the Tories. https://www.theguardian.com/politics...b03258bcac6355 |
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#8937 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Fort William
Posts: 22,293
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Quote:
Guardian ICM
Con 43 (+2) Lab 26 (-2) Ukip 11 (-2) Lib Dem 8 (-1) Green 6 (+2) 17pt lead for the Tories. https://www.theguardian.com/politics...b03258bcac6355 |
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#8938 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: London
Posts: 9,411
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The 17pt lead for the Tories is the second highest ever recorded by ICM in its polling series going back to 1992.
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#8939 |
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
The 17pt lead for the Tories is the second highest ever recorded by ICM in its polling series going back to 1992.
Thanks for the update. |
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#8940 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 68,712
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On existing boundaries, that would give the Tories a majority of 114, with Labour losing 51 seats (down to 181)
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/c...&boundary=2015 |
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#8941 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Norwich
Posts: 7,793
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Quote:
Looks like UKIP to Tory and Labour to Green
I would have thought that the Lib Dems would have picked up some disaffected Labour voters. Maybe those 2 Lib Dem MP's who defected to the Conservatives killed that off. |
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#8942 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
On existing boundaries, that would give the Tories a majority of 114, with Labour losing 51 seats (down to 181)
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/c...&boundary=2015 |
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#8943 |
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Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Stratford-upon-Avon
Posts: 2,659
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Quote:
Maybe those 2 Lib Dem MP's who defected to the Conservatives killed that off.
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#8944 |
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Inactive Member
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: 47°9′ S, 126°43′ W
Posts: 2,948
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Quote:
Looks like UKIP to Tory and Labour to Green
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#8945 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 97,151
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Quote:
There hasn't been any Lib Dem MPs defect to the Tories...
Labour councillor in Shepway defects to the Conservatives Cllr Claire Jeffrey was also the Labour candidate for Folkestone and Hyde at the last General Election. 26 September 2016 |
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#8946 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Norwich
Posts: 7,793
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Quote:
There hasn't been any Lib Dem MPs defect to the Tories...
Baroness Zahida Manzoor (October 9th) and Lady Nicholson (September 11th) |
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#8947 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Onchan, Isle of Man
Posts: 1,672
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Go Jeremy! Go!
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#8948 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Elmers End
Posts: 651
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Quote:
Yes, bit of a surprise.
I would have thought that the Lib Dems would have picked up some disaffected Labour voters. |
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#8949 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Fort William
Posts: 22,293
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Quote:
There have been 2:
Baroness Zahida Manzoor (October 9th) and Lady Nicholson (September 11th) Time to abolish the HoL or make it entirely elected by PR. |
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#8950 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Norwich
Posts: 7,793
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Quote:
They are not MPs, they are unelected Lords who have no accountability to the people.
Time to abolish the HoL or make it entirely elected by PR. |
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