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Opinion Polls Discussion Thread (Part 3)
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platelet
12-12-2016
Originally Posted by Annsyre:
“Abbott said on Sunday that in a year's time Labour's poll figures would be up and that they were a real challenge to the Conservatives.”

Well I supose if Theresa is recorded wearing trousers made from human skin, then it's a possibility
Annsyre
12-12-2016
Originally Posted by platelet:
“Well I supose if Theresa is recorded wearing trousers made from human skin, then it's a possibility ”



Trousergate - I doubt if any of Cameron's suits cost as much.
MARTYM8
12-12-2016
Originally Posted by Annsyre:
“Many thanks.

UKIP and LD going up.”

Probably the Nuttal and Richmond effect.
Dog_Bot
13-12-2016
Maybe Labour should start holding Monthly Leadership Elections.

The only time that Corbyn seems to wake from hibernation is when he is fighting his own party.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/238377...g-leaked-grid/

All he's got on this week is a "Concert for Corbyn " on Friday
BanglaRoad
13-12-2016
Originally Posted by Annsyre:
“

Trousergate - I doubt if any of Cameron's suits cost as much.”

It has to be the most pointless and trivial story of the year.
Huge problems and issues facing the country but the big event is a pair of trousers!
NeverEnough
13-12-2016
Originally Posted by Caxton:
“Even without them, I do not give much for his chances, who has he got from the remaining rabble in his party. All he has that believe in him are the remnants from a bygone age of unionised one-track mind, flag waving, drum banging, chanting, marching has-beens.

Mainly ex- miners and shipbuilders with a huge chip on their shoulder and a grudge against anything that is not Labour through and through,or tainted with the red flag, and as years go by these followers are all dying off, hence the lack of support for Labour They are just a dinosaur party living in the past.”

Up here in Sunderland it's been nearly 30 years since the last sizeable,e shipyard closed. And most ex-shipbuilders moved on with their lives decades ago. The found new jobs in new industries. Now a lot are of retirement age, or have died and the only ones who seem to bemoan the loss of the shipyards are the local historians.
mossy2103
16-12-2016
Ipsos/Mori for the Evening Standard (15 Dec):

CON 40%(-2)
LAB 29%(-4)
LDEM 14%(+4)
UKIP 9%(+2)
GRN 3%(nc)


Corbyn surging ahea ....... oh hang on.
Landis
16-12-2016
Remain are now the Official Opposition.

Ipsos/Mori would be much better employed recording movements in each of the Remain, Leave and Regret categories.
platelet
16-12-2016
Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“Corbyn surging ahea ....... oh hang on.”

It's okay they have a cunning plan. Turns out Main Stream Media is the answer
MARTYM8
16-12-2016
Originally Posted by Landis:
“Remain are now the Official Opposition.

Ipsos/Mori would be much better employed recording movements in each of the Remain, Leave and Regret categories.”

Surely you need a separate split between remainers who accept the referendum result and remoaners like the Lib Dems who don't and want a second vote!
Soppyfan
16-12-2016
Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“Ipsos/Mori for the Evening Standard (15 Dec):

CON 40%(-2)
LAB 29%(-4)
LDEM 14%(+4)
UKIP 9%(+2)
GRN 3%(nc)”

That's the highest poll rating for the Libdems in five years.
Tassium
16-12-2016
Labour could still end up in government soon, even under Corbyn.

Coalition. I think it's the most likely option actually.
Pemblechook
16-12-2016
I think Labour is more likely to end up in Government under John Smith and he is dead.
k0213818
17-12-2016
Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“Ipsos/Mori for the Evening Standard (15 Dec):

CON 40%(-2)
LAB 29%(-4)
LDEM 14%(+4)
UKIP 9%(+2)
GRN 3%(nc)


Corbyn surging ahea ....... oh hang on.”

The Liberals positioning themselves as the Remain party has really paid dividends, plus they are picking up disenfranchised Labour supporters as the party descends into irrelevance.
NeverEnough
17-12-2016
Originally Posted by k0213818:
“The Liberals positioning themselves as the Remain party has really paid dividends, plus they are picking up disenfranchised Labour supporters as the party descends into irrelevance.”

At some point they might reach the dizzy heights of 15%
MartinP
17-12-2016
Opinium conducted 13–16 Dec

http://opinium.co.uk/wp-content/uplo...016-Tables.xls

Con 38%
Lab 31%
UKIP 13%
Lib Dem 6%
SNP 6%
Green 4%

LibDems very different from the earlier poll.
smudges dad
17-12-2016
Originally Posted by MartinP:
“Opinium conducted 13–16 Dec

http://opinium.co.uk/wp-content/uplo...016-Tables.xls

Con 38%
Lab 31%
UKIP 13%
Lib Dem 6%
SNP 6%
Green 4%

LibDems very different from the earlier poll.”

Scotland
SNP 59%
Con 22
Lab 12
LD 5
SGP 2
UKIP 1

Looks like the people in Scotland think Sturgeon's doing a good job with a net approval of 27% (compared to a rating of -54% among UKIP voters)
Dacco
18-12-2016
Originally Posted by MartinP:
“Opinium conducted 13–16 Dec

http://opinium.co.uk/wp-content/uplo...016-Tables.xls

Con 38%
Lab 31%
UKIP 13%
Lib Dem 6%
SNP 6%
Green 4%

LibDems very different from the earlier poll.”

Lovely, looks lick the Lib dumbs bounce has gone a bit flat.
Soppyfan
18-12-2016
Opinium is trying so hard to make UKIP relevant, you gotta admire their optimism.
SULLA
18-12-2016
Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“Ipsos/Mori for the Evening Standard (15 Dec):

CON 40%(-2)
LAB 29%(-4)
LDEM 14%(+4)
UKIP 9%(+2)
GRN 3%(nc)”

Well done Tim !!!!

Originally Posted by MartinP:
“Opinium conducted 13–16 Dec

http://opinium.co.uk/wp-content/uplo...016-Tables.xls

Con 38%
Lab 31%
UKIP 13%
Lib Dem 6%
SNP 6%
Green 4%”

What's going on Tim ?????
MARTYM8
18-12-2016
Originally Posted by Soppyfan:
“Opinium is trying so hard to make UKIP relevant, you gotta admire their optimism.”

Opinium were the most accurate pollster in the 2015 election and their final Referendum poll had leave ahead.

MORI had remain up by 52 to 48 in their final poll.

Should we not take more notice of pollsters who have a recent record of getting the results right?
Soppyfan
18-12-2016
I would be...if UKIP weren't becoming a shambles.
MARTYM8
02-01-2017
New you gov poll out today in the Times. 15 point Tory lead with Labour on only 24%

https://twitter.com/britainelects

CON: 39% (-3)
LAB: 24% (-1)
UKIP: 14% (+2)
LIB DEM: 12% (+1)
Annsyre
02-01-2017
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“New you gov poll out today in the Times. 15 point Tory lead with Labour on only 24%

https://twitter.com/britainelects

CON: 39% (-3)
LAB: 24% (-1)
UKIP: 14% (+2)
LIB DEM: 12% (+1)”

Thanks Marty
Soppyfan
02-01-2017
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“New you gov poll out today in the Times. 15 point Tory lead with Labour on only 24%

https://twitter.com/britainelects

CON: 39% (-3)
LAB: 24% (-1)
UKIP: 14% (+2)
LIB DEM: 12% (+1)”

Tories falling a little as well though with UKIP still third despite being a shambles right now, but could be an outliner until we see others polling more or less the same numbers.
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