Not so bad as losing all your seats in one country!

Totally agree - it's not a student seat primarily but a prosperous middle class leafy suburb.

I find it hard to believe Labour will win Hallam - if all those students saying they were voting to pollsters had actually voted in 2010 the LDs would have won more seats.

Also from that poll , 30% who voted Lib Dem in 2010 will vote Labour this time
31% of Tory voters in 2010 will vote Lib Dem this time .


Have a feeling Clegg will just hang on

Not necessarily so under FPTP

Clegg will hang on I believe but that poll is worrying.

Comres poll see's Labour leading by 3 per cent on their top 50 Tory target seats

Our one country is called the United Kingdom!

Apparently Clegg has hardly been up in Hallam whereas Coppard has been walking the streets and knocking on doors daily. If the Lib Dems want to keep that seat maybe they should get Clegg there. I understand he is leader of the party so has duties he needs to attend to but his people want to see him yet where is he?!

Won't it be ironic if Clegg hangs on to his seat because of FPTP

So Scotland is not a country

Well the Tories haven't helped themselves have they- no wonder their last seat in Scotland is likely to be lost.

I think Jilly may be referring to the Scottish poll out today showing SNP with a 34% lead over LAB and which, if it was repeated on the day, would see LAB lose all its seats in Scotland.

I think there would be some significant issues going forward if we see any or all of CON LAB and LD effectively wiped out north of the border.

we didn't think Portillo would lose in 1997 either...

The Conservatives already did that in 1997!

It can be a very dangerous situation when you get one political party dominating one country just as the Scottish National Party now seem to be doing in Scotland, as it seems it could become a one party state.
Ian.

NCP Tweet hints that tomorrow's MORI/Standard poll shows a Tory lead for the first time since last December.

https://twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK

which is spectacularly missing the point that the SNP does not support the electoral system that makes this even possible. If it's one party states (local or national) that you worry about you will want to ditch the First Past the Post system in favour of PR (like they have in the Scottish parliament elections).

The most recent poll, done by Mori, puts the Conservatives 3% behind Labour, who would have believed it.

Everyone who wins a seat next week wins under FPTP. A shame for Clegg it's not AV - he would win by a landslide.

In the end a lot of Tories will hold their nose and vote for him - they won't want a Labour MP as it will drive down house prices. If Hyacinth Bucket lived in Sheffield she would live in the Hallam constituency.

Tories will probably go into election day with a 3 or 4 point lead on polls, but it will more like 1 or 2 per cent on the exit poll

Thing about Clegg is that it looks as though he's already attracted many Tories to tactically vote for him anyway - from the Ashcroft projections it looks at though the Tories have lost 9% of their vote to the LDs, and Clegg is still behind Labour, that's quite telling. I've also heard that Hallam apparently isn't a constituency where the student vote has much influence - it's fairly posh, middle class place.

I wouldn't be surprised to MORI show a Tory lead, I think they've got a small lead over Lab now. The problem will be, IMHO is that after the elections piecing together the numbers to make a viable government will be an absolute nightmare for everyone.

If Lib Dems do lose half their seats as polls sugggest there's a possibility that whoever's left of the lib dems might not want to do another coalition with Torys

And, of course, it's how the lead translates to seats won that really matters.

I think it's absolutely vital for Cameron's hopes of being PM that Clegg is elected in Hallam. If he's not, with other sympathizer Danny Alexander likely to be a goner in Inverness many of the LDs who aren't Jeremy Browne I think won't be quite keen to be in a Con/Lib coalition. Cameron's worst nightmare will be Farron, who would probably run a marathon before signing up to another Con/Lib coalition.

Ipsi-Mori poll tomorrow, their last poll before the exit poll right?