Originally Posted by david16:
“Why go on tour in the first place if they weren't so dependent on finishing more than 11.2 years of the gameshow on a high note of a quarter million win?
The quarter million was always going to come to the table in one of the 10 shows in a way they could never guarantee if the last show ever was in the studio.
The last show ever did not need to finish up with somebody scooping the jackpot, but Channel 4 producers felt compelled that it would happen in the same way they were compelled to see the first quarter million win happen when there was a suspiciously pitiful £45,000 final offer when there was another red with the quarter million the last 2 boxes left, and similar suspiciously pitiful £41,000 final offer when another red plus the quarter million were the final 2 boxes when the first male quarter millionaire win happened. £80,000+ offers on both occasions would have seen 0 from 2 in terms of a jackpot win on those shows.”
First of all, they weren't dependent on finishing the show with a £250K win. Why would they need to? The show was coming to an end and everybody knew it was. Thus there was no need to chase ratings, since the show was not being recommissioned. And it wouldn't have been for the publicity. the days when £250K winners on DOND were big news, and made the papers, are and were long gone. There is really no incentive for them to just hand somebody a quarter of a million on one of the last shows just for the hell of it.
And second, if they really wanted to, and had somehow fixed it so that one of the last players had the £250K in their box, why was the last offer as high as £66,000? if your theory is correct, it should have been much lower, say around £40,000, to more or less force the player into going for it. They could not have been sure that the £66K offer would be refused, It might have been accepted, and their supposed plan for somebody to win the £250K (for whatever reason) would have failed. Not to mention they could not even have been sure that the player would get as far as the last two boxes. They might have dealt before that. The earlier offers in the game were not especially low, they were around the usual amount for the board, ie the Fair Deal formula (the square of the means of the square roots of the remaining boxes), which the Banker is known to use.
Your suggestion that the game was somehow arranged for somebody to win the jackpot simply doesn't fit the game as it was played out.
I would put the probability that one of the final games was somehow arranged for somebody to win the £250K at approximately zero percent.
Incidentally the first male £250K winner, Paddy, had a £250K/£75K finish, so his final offer was way higher than £40,000. I think you might be confusing him with Roop, the only other male winner, who declined £45K (I think, or thereabouts) on a £250K/blue finish.