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Deal or No Deal (No Spoilers — Part 22)
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richie4eva
24-09-2015
Box 7 - Jean M - 50p
Box 2 - Sammy - £50,000
Box 10 - Jan - £5

5th offer - £2,300

NO DEAL
richie4eva
24-09-2015
Box 11 - Lindsey - £1,000
Box 12 - Rebecca - £1
Box 17 - Herta - £10

£3,000 and £10,000 left in the game

Closing offer - £6,500

NO DEAL
richie4eva
24-09-2015
SWAP is offered and declined

Box 3 - £10,000
Box 8 - £3,000

Box 23 - NO DEAL
Contents - +£10,000

Holiday - Week for 2 in Orlando
Sarahsaurus
24-09-2015
Originally Posted by richie4eva:
“Box 11 - Lindsey - £1,000
Box 12 - Rebecca - £1
Box 17 - Herta - £10

£3,000 and £10,000 left in the game

Closing offer - £6,500

NO DEAL
”

It is very rare for the Banker to offer the average at the last two boxes. You need a good reason not to take it. He is effectively offering you the chance to end the game and suffer no penalty. If you turn down it down you are really just gambling on the toss of a coin with no edge on the bet when you don't need to.

I would have taken the £6,500 and played it on Box23. Box23 is more favourable for middling and low sums this week because of the extra +£10K. If you're playing it for something like £5K there isn't a huge difference between getting halved (as you normally would be) and getting quartered.

Had they swapped their box and ended up with the £3K,they would surely have played Box23 with it and would actually have ended up with slightly more money.
Rich Tea.
24-09-2015
Looks like I was spot on about the "appy" DOND announcement today. Just an app, nothing too spectacular.
GoCompareThis
24-09-2015
I'd have taken the £5,000 at 8-box to Box 23. The offer was very generous as the mean is around £8,000 and the fair deal is around £2,800.
Coupon Boy
24-09-2015
Originally Posted by Sarahsaurus:
“It is very rare for the Banker to offer the average at the last two boxes. You need a good reason not to take it. He is effectively offering you the chance to end the game and suffer no penalty. If you turn down it down you are really just gambling on the toss of a coin with no edge on the bet when you don't need to.

I would have taken the £6,500 and played it on Box23. Box23 is more favourable for middling and low sums this week because of the extra +£10K. If you're playing it for something like £5K there isn't a huge difference between getting halved (as you normally would be) and getting quartered.

Had they swapped their box and ended up with the £3K,they would surely have played Box23 with it and would actually have ended up with slightly more money.”


I'm surprised you wouldn't have dealt at 8 box, Sarahsaurus. That was a no brainer of a Deal for me, as:

1. It was 62% of the average, which is extremely generous on a two box game at that stage.

2. Even if you have an all-blue round, the Fair Deal would only rise to roughly £6,800 and given the Banker almost always offers around the Fair Deal at 5 box, there's VERY little to gain unless you blindly go to the end.

3. If you take the £5,000 to Box 23, you have a 60% chance of winning five figures and only a 20% chance of disaster, which is MUCH better than the odds of winning five figures and the odds of disaster on the board.

I would've taken the £5,000 to Box 23 and won £5,000 more than Kelly and Marie even though they had against the odds good fortune in the main game.
Sarahsaurus
25-09-2015
Originally Posted by Coupon Boy:
“I'm surprised you wouldn't have dealt at 8 box, Sarahsaurus. That was a no brainer of a Deal for me, as:

1. It was 62% of the average, which is extremely generous on a two box game at that stage.

2. Even if you have an all-blue round, the Fair Deal would only rise to roughly £6,800 and given the Banker almost always offers around the Fair Deal at 5 box, there's VERY little to gain unless you blindly go to the end.

3. If you take the £5,000 to Box 23, you have a 60% chance of winning five figures and only a 20% chance of disaster, which is MUCH better than the odds of winning five figures and the odds of disaster on the board.

I would've taken the £5,000 to Box 23 and won £5,000 more than Kelly and Marie even though they had against the odds good fortune in the main game. ”

Well,I didn't actually see the game today so I wasn't following it. I only posted because I noticed from the commentary that the Banker had offered the average,which doesn't happen very often.

60% of the average is too low for me to accept on only £5,000. I'd rather carry on. Remember that because of the modified Box23,even if you end up with a blue you've still got a 40% chance of winning ten thousand. So I'd rather carry on. Basically with the modified Box23,it works best if you win a lot,or you end up with a blue.. If you win a lot you refuse it and if you win a blue you've got double the chance of the £10K payout that you'd normally have.

But all this debate about strategy,to be honest,seems largely academic now.

We know that there have been enough shows filmed to take us well into next year.

And there's no sign as yet that there are plans to make any more.

I have much less interest in the show now,knowing I am watching shows that were filmed ages ago and there may not be any more made.
Sarahsaurus
25-09-2015
As an aside I would say to Richie that your commentary is as always excellent. But with the show at its new earlier time there is likely to be next to no input from anyone else on this thread,even less than before,certainly during the game itself.

As you are providing the commentary entirely voluntarily,unofficially and without payment I think you should give some serious thought to retiring. You are under absolutely no obligation to anyone to continue to provide the commentary and I would not blame you for one minute if you chose to give it up,as there is now so little interest in this thread.
Rich Tea.
25-09-2015
Originally Posted by Sarahsaurus:
“As an aside I would say to Richie that your commentary is as always excellent. But with the show at its new earlier time there is likely to be next to no input from anyone else on this thread,even less than before,certainly during the game itself.

As you are providing the commentary entirely voluntarily,unofficially and without payment I think you should give some serious thought to retiring. You are under absolutely no obligation to anyone to continue to provide the commentary and I would not blame you for one minute if you chose to give it up,as there is now so little interest in this thread.”

Oh Sarahsaurus you sound so high and mighty there in your invite to Richie to retire! I think Richie does it as a labour of love and not as a chore, well that's how I view it. You can tell me if I'm wrong Richie. You still seem very interested Sarahsaurus, especially with your detailed explanations.

I watched today's game this evening but I kept drifting from it. It was standard fare, nothing special. I'll much prefer when it gets back to a single player in the crazy chair.

I'm rather surprised that the news of the formal cancellation of DOND has not been made public yet. It can't be long now one would think, unless there is some real hardball stuff going on about the continued Channel 4 contract giving it a slim lifeline maybe.

Noel wore the same purple suit for all 4 games this week! That must be a first. I know they record multiple shows on the same day but there is normally a clothes change between the recordings.
Sarahsaurus
25-09-2015
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Oh Sarahsaurus you sound so high and mighty there in your invite to Richie to retire! I think Richie does it as a labour of love and not as a chore, well that's how I view it. You can tell me if I'm wrong Richie. You still seem very interested Sarahsaurus, especially with your detailed explanations.”

I was pointing out that interest in this thread was waning before the break and is now likely to be even less with the new time slot. There are now days when there are no comments from anyone else during the game,except for Richie's commentary,and I can only see those days increasing. I would find that a bit dispiriting to be posting the commentary day after day when it seems nobody else is interested.

If Richie is happy to carry on,then fine. I was only saying that that he shouldn't feel bad if he thought it was time to call it a day
Smithman
26-09-2015
Here are the results of last week's short box game.

Congratulations to Jediknight2k1 (winner) and Marianna01 (runner up) and a specially minted wooden spoon goes to Coupon Boy for the lowest total I think we've ever had (although it was only a 4 game week)
Rich Tea.
26-09-2015
Originally Posted by Smithman:
“Here are the results of last week's short box game.

Congratulations to Jediknight2k1 (winner) and Marianna01 (runner up) and a specially minted wooden spoon goes to Coupon Boy for the lowest total I think we've ever had (although it was only a 4 game week) ”

Wow, 13p Coupon Boy.

That is so low it's brilliant to have been in the 1p club three days out of 4!
GoCompareThis
26-09-2015
Next Friday at 8pm is another celeb repeat. This time it's Jimmy Carr's game from way back in 2012 when Box 23 and the offer button never existed!
Chief_Wiggum
26-09-2015
Originally Posted by GoCompareThis:
“Next Friday at 8pm is another celeb repeat. This time it's Jimmy Carr's game from way back in 2012 when Box 23 and the offer button never existed!”

The James Corden episode got just 640,000 viewers!
richie4eva
26-09-2015
Hopefully back to normal games on Tuesday, no mentions of more Double Trouble weeks....at least not yet

Should be the (final?) Halloween specials next if they are carrying on with those next month
Rich Tea.
27-09-2015
Originally Posted by Chief_Wiggum:
“The James Corden episode got just 640,000 viewers!”

Not surprised. I'm a fan of DOND but why would I want to watch that again? To be showing 3 year old Jimmy Carr repeats in primetime of DOND is utterly tragic when there are fresh episodes they could give a primetime chance to if they had the desire. I don't know about anyone else on here but I find the whole thing contemptible by shunting the new shows to a no man's land time around lunch yet digging out ancient celeb shows for peak viewing. As if Jimmy Carr isn't on Channel 4 more than enough already!
richie4eva
27-09-2015
Box allocations for the first full week of this season

1. Pink Knight
2. Jediknight2k1
3. Chief_Wiggum
4.
5. GCT
6. RegTumbler
7. Coupon Boy
8. Rhumble
9. StrictlyEastend
10. digiremote
11.
12. PaulChatter
13. Marianna01
14. bigis
15.
16. Stan Marsh
17. Ramraider1
18. Richie4eva
19. Smithman
20. Eugenespeed
21. Rich Tea
22. Scrumper
spursboy68
27-09-2015
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Not surprised. I'm a fan of DOND but why would I want to watch that again? To be showing 3 year old Jimmy Carr repeats in primetime of DOND is utterly tragic when there are fresh episodes they could give a primetime chance to if they had the desire. I don't know about anyone else on here but I find the whole thing contemptible by shunting the new shows to a no man's land time around lunch yet digging out ancient celeb shows for peak viewing. As if Jimmy Carr isn't on Channel 4 more than enough already! ”

TFI could be going into the 8pm slot when it returns in three weeks. The days of putting regular DOND in peak are long gone, as if celeb ratings are dire enough.
richie4eva
28-09-2015
Playing the final Grandparents DT will be DAVE and JOANNE
richie4eva
28-09-2015
BOX 3 is their choice and we are off

Box 1 - £5
Box 9 - Rebecca - 10p
Box 10 - Jean C - £100
Box 11 - Dee - £3,000
Box 19 - Mac - £250

Dave and Joanne's prediction - £10,200
richie4eva
28-09-2015
Opening offer - £10,500

NO DEAL


Offer button is in play
richie4eva
28-09-2015
Breakup quiz time

Win = Holiday
Lose = Dave or Joanne have to go to the isolation room at some point in the game

And it's a loss, so Dave or Joanne will be heading to the isolation room during the game
richie4eva
28-09-2015
Box 8 - Marie - £20,000
Box 15 - Pat - £500
Box 5 - Sammy - £75,000

2nd offer - £12,500

NO DEAL
richie4eva
28-09-2015
Box 16 - Sarah - £50
Box 7 - Kelly - £250,000
Box 20 - Jean M - £100,000

3rd offer - £2,500

NO DEAL
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