Just wondering, do any of you number-crunchers out there know if there is any correlation between where couples appear in the credits and their eventual placings?

Does it seem, for instance, that to be first up is a good or bad thing?

Does the couple who get the 'ho' in the music always do well?

Does the last couple always end up going out in the first 3 weeks?

It may be that nobody knows (or cares!) but I wondered if anyone knew - might it give us some pointers when we see the credits in 3 weeks time?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spearm...on_coefficient

It won't answer your question, but there are some incredibly detailed statistics about other aspects of Structly to be found here (from Dec 2013)...

https://strictlystatistics.wordpress.com/

Series 10

Sid Owen 12
Fern Britton 10
Colin Salmon 11
Victoria Pendleton 8
Richard Arnold 9
Kimberley Walsh 2 or 3
Michael Vaughan 7
Lisa Riley 5
Louis Smith 1
Dani Harmer 4
Denise Van Outen 2 or 3
Johnny Ball 14
Jerry Hall 13
Nicky Byrne 6

Series 11

Fiona Fullerton 9
Julien McDonald 13
Abbey Clancey 1
Sophie Ellis Bextor 4
Tony Jacklin 15
Natalie Gumede 2 or 3
Patrick Robinson 5
Mark Benton 7
Deborah Meaden 12
Ben Cohen 8
Vanessa Feltz 14
Ashley Taylor Dawson 6
Dave Myers 10
Susannah Reid 2 or 3
Rachel Riley 11

Series 12

Steve Backshall 8
Sunetra Sarker 7
Gregg Wallace 15
Caroline Flack 1
Tim Wonnacott 13
Pixie Lott 6
Jennifer Gibney 14
Simon Webbe 2 or 3
Jake Wood 5
Allison Hammond 10
Thom Evans 12
Frankie Bridge 2 or 3
Scott Mills 11
Mark Wright 4
Judy Murray 9

...personally I can't see too much of a pattern, but here's the order of the credits for the last 3 series and their positions regardless.

Looks like all you might be able to almost conclude is whoever is first or last is least likely to reach the final.

Spot number 6 in the credits is reserved for a (presumed) female finalist: Kimberley, Natalie, Pixie. So, if there is a female on that spot it will tell a lot about what the producers have in mind (if so, I expect Jamelia to be there).

To go even further back, series 9 had Holly in that spot (that opening credits is a laugh mind you, with the first 4 being Harry, Alex, Jason and Chelsee ).

Also, note the spot that Denise, Ashley and Frankie had in past series.

With the 'ho' it is more difficult, as you also have multiple ones sometimes (Tim, Dani, Susannah, Nancy and Scott all had one in recent years).

The placement in the intro at the start or at the end is also not always telling (as mentioned above Harry and Rachel S. was last in the intro in her year).

I remember it used to be that whoever performed the first dance on the first show reached the final, though that ended with Rav Wilding I think
Also at one point, whoever showcased part of their dance on friday's ITT left that week

Must have been a while back, judging from this clip:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbllAFhD1n0

Thanks all some interesting reading - so essentially, we really know nothing, other than to keep an eye on slot 6 as that is somebody who the BBC think will go far...

And interestingly first and last appear to be people who initially you might think would do ok, but in the end are not as good as you might have thought.

Now let's see Daniel or Jeremy come up in slot 6 which will blow all the theories!