Originally Posted by paul_brookbanks:
“Me too. The Chasers' have lost 17 times in series 10. 6 times on a Tuesday. 5 times both Wednesday and Thursday. 1 on a Friday and no losses on a Monday.”
So now we have fairly well established the current "rules".
The team will almost certainly lose if any of the following four criteria are met. If more than one is met, they have next to no chance:
A) It's a Monday
B) It's a Friday
C) The team won the previous day
D) The Chaser they are up against lost last time out.
Basically in about half the games, you can now predict the result within the first five minutes, just by applying the above rules. In fact disregarding rule D), which is the only one which refers to the Chaser who's on that day, you can predict the result in about half the games before the show's even started.
By including the Chaser "loser order" formula as well, (Shaun, Paul, Jenny, Anne, Mark), I think you could predict the result almost every time, after knowing who the Chaser is, and that's without even seeing any of the Cashbuilders and finding out how good or bad the team is.
But what do I know? Presumably the production team think they know best.