GIRLS
Louisa (100%)
Kiera (90%)
Lauren (35%)
(Havva 25%, Monica 25%, Chloe 25%) - I think it's really close between all 4 of the last few girls, and that last place is really hard to call. I just went with Lauren, as she is the most 'likeable', in terms of the heavily favourable edit she's been given. I do think that last place will be the most surprising, as it depends entirely on how they performed at judge's houses.
BOYS
Seann (100%)
Mason (80%)
Simon (40%)
(Josh 30%, Che 30%, Ben 20% ) - I think Simon just edges the final spot, in a group that will contain such huge (divisive) personalities as Seann and Mason. If the show wants a bit of a 'dark horse', but reliable tween vote getter, Simon is probably is best bet. He's cute and inoffensive - that always seems to carry at least one boy to the latter stages of the competition. The other 3 - despite being good singers/performers - just don't fit that bill.
GROUPS
4th Power (100%)
Alien (100%)
First Kings (35%)
(BEKLN 35%, Silvertone 20%, Menn On Point 10%) - I think it's a tough call between First Kings and BEKLN - I'm almost certain Cheryl will select a male group, given there are 2 female groups as sure picks. I'd prefer BEKLN, but I think FK are the ones the producers would want on tour, and so they get the final spot.
OVERS
Jennifer (90%)
Anton (90%)
Bupsi (50%)
(Ebru 50%, Kerrie-Anne 10%, Max 10%) - Once again, that last spot is tough to call. I think Bupsi edges out Ebru on entertainment value. If Ebru gets through, I'd put money on her being first out - her style just means she's lost in a competition packed full of giant personalities this year.
The interesting thing is that I suspect the way they run the live shows will have a massive impact on who's chosen. There are very few live shows scheduled, and most of the results shows will have (I'm guessing) multiple eliminations. That leaves little time for quieter contestants to find their feet - or a fanbase. Basically, if people aren't talking about them already, you can forget about them making it through the first week!