* so says me

Surely this goes to show that Peter is just hanging in there? I thought his fanbase would pull him through but it seems not

I can see Jay or Georgia taking this now

Followed by Helen and Katie

I think Kellie and Peter are definitely the outsiders now

I've not heard much positive towards Peter on here or social media so I believe the others will have much more support

Maybe just my own theory

I have thought that for the last few weeks - nothing to do with Pete. For me Followed by Anita and Katie. Who knows though, hopefully it will be more exciting and less predictable than that.

I think he was the bookies' fave pre-show, but as soon as he actually started dancing it was pretty clear that he wasn't going to be the best, and once he started talking... no way. I think it's been Jay's to lose since week 3 at the very latest.

Yay another thread on the same subject!

He never was going to win!

He just isn't popular enough - and instead of getting a post dance off bounce - he will pay the price of last week and be there every week from now on! He should not still be there after that appalling dance and dance off

The British like to see fair play - and that was sadly lacking last night!

REALLY???!!

...and in just how many years has the best dancer NOT won Strictly...

He'll be lucky to reach the quater finals, he'll be out next cpl of weeks

The final has been won by the people's choice every year - it's as much a popularity contest as a dance contest, and the people bloc paid their money and got the champion most of them wanted! I happily admit there have been some years where the technically "best dancer" didn't win, but only when they were up against a couple the public preferred for eg

A journey - Mark Ramrakash/ Darren Gough/ Chris Hollins

A great partnership with their pro - Abbey Clancey/ Darren Gough etc etc

Perceived as being harshly treated by Judges (especially Craig) more in the early stages

A protest vote against "judges pets"

The years when the "best dancer" didn't win eg Ricky Whittle/ Natalie Gumede etc was down to the fact that the voters didn't like them as much as the ones they voted for. I for one could see that Ricky was a great dancer, but he came across as cold, and his pro as too competitive so I voted for the pair clearly having fun and enjoying themselves, and I just didn't like Natalie in her year - she was just too good, but I really enjoyed watching Abbey! And - the years when the "best dancer" didn't win were usually those who did improve over the competition, were clearly enjoying it, worked hard and got on great with their pro dancers.

That said the judges and producers blew it this week - they must think we are blind not to have realised that Jamelias quickstep was a million miles ahead of Peters "Jive" - and particularly after Olas newspaper comments! Given the number Myers of people who said that they had actually voted for Jamelia for the first time I'd hazard a guess that Peter was bottom of the public vote this week, as well as the leaderboard. And it also shows that without being undeservedly high up the leaderboard he is about as popular as Jamelia!

I very much doubt that he will get the bottom two bounce next week - particularly as he will have to do the quickstepathon - one of the dances he murdered earlier on!

Georgia will win

I honestly think that the final two will be Jay and Georgia

Jay will win. Pondray may not make the Final at this rate.

the Jay fans have decreed, that he will win ,

personally its anyone of the remaining can win ,

She should..but she won't as they've "scripted" in a male winner this year - so the stage has been set for Jay & Aliona (since Week 3 actually)....

I never thought he would win. What I don't understand is how the bookmakers can have a favourite even before they have danced a step. Anyone enlighten me?

I have no idea who will win but I think you're completely wrong if you're not counting Anita as a serious contender.

She could easily win - as could Jay, Georgia and I still think if she's lucky with her dances Katie. I'm less convinced about Kellie and Helen but they can dance well enough not to write them off. Peter - I don't know. People have come back from the b2 and he's still got the salsa to dance and Janette will have something special planned for that.

Well they have to set odds because people want to bet, and the time when the punters have the least information is the best to take money anyway so...

You don't know? Well Peter is amazing superstar, he is the biggest star ever to grace Strictly. He also very good at the Jive

Georgia or Jay.

There's a side of me that would love Andre to win this now.

We could have a Clodhopping Stomper who doesn't bother with the correct steps/kicks of a dance, as Champion.

Crazy Days

I think it was clear that Peter wasn't going to win from week2. I'm still surprised he ended up bottom 2 though- I thought he had a big (deluded) fan base

would totally disagree that he is the biggest star ever to grace Strictly - biggest pop star, possibly, but Emma Bunton might slightly edge him

biggest star ever to grace strictly would be...........

EDIT - sorry, I missed the winky smilie - you were being sarcastic - yes - oh gosh I hope so!

Even better : There is a huge chance that he wont make the finale

Plenty, but I can't remember any time someone has won whom the public perceive to have been favoured by the judges or producers. Andre has booked himself a season ticket for the dance off and I'd be surprised if the producers and judges dare to pull the same stunt again. He'll only be saved if he is genuinely better.

I wholeheartedly agree. How Peter is still in the competition amazes me. His jive was pathetic- and only Len seemed to realise this. Is he too big a name to vote out?

Bookies just go by the amount wagered on each individual contestant. In the beginning they would have had an educated guess (they have specialists in every field of betting) as to where the initial money might go. They were probably right, the early money was bet on Peter Andre and this resulted in his odds shortening even more.
As the weeks went by, and it became obvious that Jay was not only a good dancer but also very popular, big money started to be placed on him to win. Jay is now 4/6 on to win, terrible odds unless you've got a lot of money to invest. Peter Andre Has gone right out to 25/1, a lot of people must be a bit sick at taking those early odds.
Basically, the bookies are now calling it a two horse race, you can get very attractive odds betting anyone bar Jay or Georgia (best priced at 5/2).