Originally Posted by marke09:
“A bit too early but
Forecast issued
Update 1, 03/09/2016
The computer says [Issued 06/09/2016 16:14:48]
The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right?
It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.
It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales.
It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands.
Snow is expected in the north
Snow is expected in Scotland
Cold but dry conditions are expected in Northern Ireland
Snow is expected in the Republic of Ireland
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topi...hristmas-2016/
Summary
Early indications suggest the coming winter may be significantly different to the last one. The combination of lower solar activity, a weak La Nina and an easterly QBO phase may favour a less cyclonic pattern and perhaps increase the risk of colder outbreaks.”
“A bit too early but
Forecast issued
Update 1, 03/09/2016
The computer says [Issued 06/09/2016 16:14:48]
The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right?
It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.
It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales.
It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands.
Snow is expected in the north
Snow is expected in Scotland
Cold but dry conditions are expected in Northern Ireland
Snow is expected in the Republic of Ireland
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topi...hristmas-2016/
Summary
Early indications suggest the coming winter may be significantly different to the last one. The combination of lower solar activity, a weak La Nina and an easterly QBO phase may favour a less cyclonic pattern and perhaps increase the risk of colder outbreaks.”
My wife is good friends with a meteorologists who forecasts and presents weather for an ITV station. She has long maintained that anything beyond a 5 day forecast is guesswork.
I am a regular viewer of BBC4's 'Weather for the Week Ahead' what they predict 5 days ahead still invariably changes. Example, this weekend we are having a Birthday BBQ. Last Sunday they were saying Warm weather-winds from the south bringing hotspells midweek lasting well in to the weekend. Brilliant I thought. By Wednesday they were predicting a band of rain more or less over Britain for most of Saturday. Shit I thought. By today they say that the rain is coming tonight and will have cleared from the North by mid-morning. Great............I think.
Moreover, we haven't had a severe winter since 1963 (I think) and we've not had a scorching summer since 1976. Sooner or later we will get one or t'other. It's for this reason many so called forecasters predict a severe winter/hot summer year after year, sooner or later they will be right. At least one newspaper will have 'Britain set for Artic Winter' at some point in October just as next March it will predict a Red Hot Summer. It happens year on year off. The only thing you can rely on is these forecasts will happen.
My point is - It's Pointless. You cannot accurately predict the weather weeks (let alone moths) in advance.




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