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Appreciation Thread Analysis: Jay by a Landslide |
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#1 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 2,055
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Appreciation Thread Analysis: Jay by a Landslide
I have Analysed the Appreciation Threads from which one could tell that Jay would win and Georgia would finish second (assuming this was remotely indicative of the public interest):
As of 22:30 GMT 19/12/2015 Appreciation Threads: 1) Jay McGuiness & Aliona Vilana: (Part 1 & 2) Replies: 26,954 Views: 1,640,780 2) Georgia May Foote & Giovanni Pernice: Replies: 2,467 Views: 84,952 3) Katie Derham & Anton Du Beke: Replies:56 Views: 5,342 4) Kellie & Kevin Replies: 23 Views: 2,132 If we assess the views then: Jay was 19 times more appreciated than Georgia Jay was 307 times more appreciated than Katie Jay was 770 times more appreciated than Kellie If we assess the replies then: Jay was 11 times more appreciated than Georgia Jay was 481 times more appreciated than Katie Jay was 1172 times more appreciated than Kellie Extra Analysis Anita Rani & Gleb Savchenko Replies 355 Views 24,544 This basically shows Anita & Gleb were the third most popular couple (assuming this remotely reflects the public interest). It was also consistent with the votes for favourite dance (a separate analysis). Basically in the semi-final because Kellie came top in the Judges Vote and Anita second from bottom, Anita's popularity wasn't enough to prevent her from being in the dance off. Then the Judges voted Anita off (although she was the third most popular dancer). |
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#2 |
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Join Date: Aug 2015
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Another way of presenting the data assuming the above was a reflection of the relative popularity of the celebrities - coming into the final if a vote had been cast (total of 100%) we would have got the following results:
Jay & Aliona: ..................... 93.5 % Georgia & Giovanni: .......... 6.2 % Katie & Anton: ..................... 0.2 % Kellie & Kevin: ..................... 0.1 % |
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#3 |
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Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 1,804
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Woooo go team JALIONA!!
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#4 |
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 10,033
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ugh. why do people believe in stats after the fact? totally silly really. Stupid winner as well really although I quite liked Jay, just not his followers!
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#5 |
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Join Date: Aug 2015
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Quote:
ugh. why do people believe in stats after the fact? totally silly really. Stupid winner as well really although I quite liked Jay, just not his followers!
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#6 |
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 10,033
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Quote:
These were stats before the facts. But you don't reveal the stats before the facts (you reveal them after the facts) because that could influence subsequent behaviour.
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#7 |
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Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: England 🐱
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Thank you Mina. It all makes perfect sense to me. Yay for Jay - and all his "followers", otherwise known as Jay's Appreciators.
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#8 |
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Away with the faries
Posts: 27,378
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It would be more accurate if you measured the number of individual posters, not posts or views.
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#9 |
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Guest
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 5,259
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The same people post over and over though.
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#10 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Land of Glitter
Posts: 2,573
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Quote:
The same people post over and over though.
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#11 |
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Guest
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 5,259
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Quote:
Very true. I have been ardently supporting Georgia with my votes since near the beginning of the competition, but I've rarely felt the need to post in an appreciation thread. Perhaps different contestants attract different kinds of people?
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#12 |
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Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Land of Glitter
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Quote:
Are you suggesting something?
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#13 |
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Away with the faries
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Quote:
The same people post over and over though.
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#14 |
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 15,736
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Thanks for the OP! When talking with friends and acquainances who have absolutely no knowledge of DS and especially the appreciation threads, they were unanimously in favour of Jay! So "civilians" supported him as well as DSers!
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#15 |
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Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Faversham, Kent
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I was certain from the beginning that Jay would win because he has always topped our Forum popularity polls. Whenever I mentioned this I was told that our members are just a small percentage of the overall votes and don't really count.
On reflection it seems that they do.
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#16 |
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Aberdeenshire
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Obviously the favourite with the general public and from about week two I would say. They got behind him in their droves. All the blatant pushing for Kellie and Kevin to win last night was clearly a waste of time, and an embarrassment. The judges negativity to Jay's show dance backfired spectacularly - just would have ensured more votes for Jay being placed placed to make sure he was safe. Being a good dancer and popular as well - great combination.
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#17 |
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 4,299
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Quote:
your answer makes no sense to me as are the stats not the facts? totally silly
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#18 |
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Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,936
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Quote:
I was certain from the beginning that Jay would win because he has always topped our Forum popularity polls. Whenever I mentioned this I was told that our members are just a small percentage of the overall votes and don't really count.
On reflection it seems that they do. ![]()
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#19 |
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Away with the faries
Posts: 27,378
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Funny how we can all tell different stories of the series.
I know so many older women who thought Katie & Anton were wonderful - and they seemed to take no notice of what the judges said or the scores. There always seemed to be a comment about her elegance and I think a lot of them envied Katie in her beautiful dresses and her long legs. ![]() Kellie was very popular amongst my family and friends, but I am not sure if they were actually voting for them. Fred and Ginger was mentioned a lot last week and everyone hated their Harry Potter routine! ![]() Anita was the one almost everybody mentioned as being great, alway with a comment about her being the one no previous training - and Gleb was hot, but didn't he love himself? In the same way, Jay was always mentioned as being really good, but he had trained to be a dancer so it was to be expected (paraphrasing here). Lots of people were convinced something was going on between Jay and Aliona - and if it wasn't, then they didn't like all the touching going on between them, especially with her being a married woman! Jeremy was the Marmite celeb in my social sphere ( ) with some people wanting him out ASAP and others surprised at how much they liked him. Georgia was always praised as being really good, but wouldn't win even though Giovanni was hot - and they didn't mean he sweated a lot! ![]() Helen was always talked about being a wonderful dancer in the same sentence as she'd been a ballet dancer and what a lovely couple her and Aliaz make. I think this has been the most talked about series for a good while amongst my little social circle and I spent too much time sticking up for them all over all the tabloid tosh this year (although it's been a lot worse in previous years) !
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#20 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: By the window
Posts: 14,154
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Quote:
The same people post over and over though.
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#21 |
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Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 7,654
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Congratulations to Series 3 champion Bill Turnbull!
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#22 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 11,311
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Quote:
The same people vote over and over as well though. Someone admitted on another thread to voting online 90 times for Jay last night! They obviously went to the trouble of creating lots of different accounts to do that.
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#23 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2015
Posts: 2,961
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Having appreciation threads totalling over 25,000 posts is quite an achievement. Shows that this programme is just a popularity contest and that the best dancer doesn't always win I suppose.
#Georgiashouldhavewon |
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There always seemed to be a comment about her elegance and I think a lot of them envied Katie in her beautiful dresses and her long legs. 