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Weather Watching - Enthusiasts Thread
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d'@ve
14-03-2016
Yes! Very dry air in a noreaster, dew point -1.5C here and the lowest relative humidity (40%) since April last year!

Air temp. 11.4 deg C - but yesterday they forecast 8 here, for today. Wind is getting up though, wind chill 6 to 9. Now if this was in early January....
Big brother tv
14-03-2016
The humidity is now 20%! Wow
Rich Tea.
14-03-2016
Only a few days ago the Daily Excess was predicting the UK was going to have a white Easter as the country suffered the effects of a polar plunge. Now today they are predicting a warm Easter heatwave instead!

A white Easter - http://www.express.co.uk/news/weathe...ummet-MINUS-18

An Easter heatwave - http://www.express.co.uk/news/weathe...e-map-sunshine

The psychology of why any rational person would buy this alleged "newspaper" needs explaining to me.


Not that 60f, which is just 15.5c is any kind of "heat"wave, and we had many temperatures all December just the same, some overnight.

The UK is now under a rather welcome blocking high pressure.
blueblade
15-03-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Only a few days ago the Daily Excess was predicting the UK was going to have a white Easter as the country suffered the effects of a polar plunge. Now today they are predicting a warm Easter heatwave instead!

A white Easter - http://www.express.co.uk/news/weathe...ummet-MINUS-18

An Easter heatwave - http://www.express.co.uk/news/weathe...e-map-sunshine

The psychology of why any rational person would buy this alleged "newspaper" needs explaining to me.


Not that 60f, which is just 15.5c is any kind of "heat"wave, and we had many temperatures all December just the same, some overnight.

The UK is now under a rather welcome blocking high pressure.”

Yes, it'll be interesting to see how the weather actually does pan out over Easter. If the high moves Westward and allows more of a North East wind, then it'll be more like today over much of England, dull and cold, with a nagging East North East wind.
blueblade
19-03-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“Yes, it'll be interesting to see how the weather actually does pan out over Easter. If the high moves Westward and allows more of a North East wind, then it'll be more like today over much of England, dull and cold, with a nagging East North East wind.”

I don't think the weather over Easter will be much cop, to be honest. The forecasts seem to indicate cool, cloudy and slightly damp weather. Even so, there might be some sunny intervals.
Rich Tea.
28-03-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“I don't think the weather over Easter will be much cop, to be honest. The forecasts seem to indicate cool, cloudy and slightly damp weather. Even so, there might be some sunny intervals.”

Well we now have Storm Katie howling in as I write, winds increasing significantly since midnight and looking like getting stronger still across the south and central England overnight. Looks like it could have a windy sting in the tail once the rain clears.

Baromentric pressure was a steady high of 1030mb+ just a week ago and now it's plummeting and stands at 984mbs as I write, one of the lowest for some time.
Rich Tea.
28-03-2016
Current barometric pressure just before 6am as Storm Katie crosses the south has dipped to a very low 975mbs.
blueblade
28-03-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Well we now have Storm Katie howling in as I write, winds increasing significantly since midnight and looking like getting stronger still across the south and central England overnight. Looks like it could have a windy sting in the tail once the rain clears.

Baromentric pressure was a steady high of 1030mb+ just a week ago and now it's plummeting and stands at 984mbs as I write, one of the lowest for some time.”

I think the centre of Storm Katie must have passed over Central England in the middle of the night, with the area towards and on the South coast most affected by the gales. Further North, expecially parts of the West MIdlands, North West England and North Wales, persistent heavy rain was the issue, with consequent flooding.

Katie was not the worst, but nonetheless quite a nasty storm especially for so late in the season.
Dix
28-03-2016
Originally Posted by Big brother tv:
“The humidity is now 20%! Wow”


Should have used this thread for Katie.

Noticed on the barometer last night that Humidity was 40%, which surprised me as it didn't feel that way! Barometer is housed indoors, but we do have an a/c going as I need it. Maybe the rain gave off a lot of humidity being aligned with that ferocious wind. Never really thought about it before.
Last edited by Dix : 28-03-2016 at 11:22
Dix
28-03-2016
Hope Simon doesn't mind me adding his link here, but he's a weather station person, and think he should move it to where we live, as he seems to live in a sheltered area. Our building has no shelter at all.

https://twitter.com/blueskymiles
mushymanrob
28-03-2016
possible very nice weather next weekend... a transient ridge crosses the uk so we could pick up a warm southerly/southeasterly
d'@ve
28-03-2016
Originally Posted by Dix:
“Should have used this thread for Katie.

Noticed on the barometer last night that Humidity was 40%, which surprised me as it didn't feel that way! Barometer is housed indoors, but we do have an a/c going as I need it. Maybe the rain gave off a lot of humidity being aligned with that ferocious wind. Never really thought about it before.”

Yeah, it wasn't that dry outside, never fell below 75% relative humidity outdoors here not even in the dry slot which lasted for an hour or two. Pressure graph looks spectacular though, fell into a deep hole starting at 6:30pm (1000mb) until it bounced at 5 am when just below 975mb. That's 10.5 continuous hours of pressure officially "falling very rapidly" (>6mb per 3 hours) and never have I seen the like of that in recent years down here in the soft south. Back up to 994 now.

https://farm2.staticflickr.com/1607/...73c73d8d_o.jpg
blueblade
28-03-2016
Originally Posted by mushymanrob:
“possible very nice weather next weekend... a transient ridge crosses the uk so we could pick up a warm southerly/southeasterly ”

Indeed, that hadn't escaped my attention either.

Let's hope so.
david16
28-03-2016
This March has proved to be a fairly mild month rather than a warm spring month.

Felt warm in the sunshine but when it’s been overcast and especially accompanied by the breeze from the north sea it has felt more like winter than summer.
david16
28-03-2016
Originally Posted by mushymanrob:
“possible very nice weather next weekend... a transient ridge crosses the uk so we could pick up a warm southerly/southeasterly ”

The highest temperatures I can see forecast for the weekend in London are 15 degrees C which is not especially warm. Cooler further north and west.

So nothing like a widespread uk wide warm 17 to 20 degrees C this weekend.
Arcana
28-03-2016
Major hail storm in SE London.
Sexbomb
28-03-2016
Thunderstorm here yesterday.
mushymanrob
28-03-2016
Originally Posted by david16:
“The highest temperatures I can see forecast for the weekend in London are 15 degrees C which is not especially warm. Cooler further north and west.

So nothing like a widespread uk wide warm 17 to 20 degrees C this weekend.”

Thats because theres uncertainty this far out as to the detail of the expected ridge. Somemodels have suggested some very warm uppers being advected over the uk, this would in any sunny spells produce temps of 20c in places. So theres a possibility of warmth.

Ps we didnt get anything like 17c here in derby, so i questiion the widespread.
Rich Tea.
29-03-2016
Pressure at my location ended up falling to a low of 972mbs very early on Easter Monday morning, which must have been quite close to the lowest recorded anywhere across the UK with Storm Katie I would imagine. Does anyone know what the actual lowest figure was, and the last time it was lower across England?

The storm dumped 10mm of rain. I expected a bit more than that from it.
blueblade
30-03-2016
Originally Posted by mushymanrob:
“Thats because theres uncertainty this far out as to the detail of the expected ridge. Somemodels have suggested some very warm uppers being advected over the uk, this would in any sunny spells produce temps of 20c in places. So theres a possibility of warmth.

Ps we didnt get anything like 17c here in derby, so i questiion the widespread.”

Alex Deakin just confirmed the strong likelihood of warmer weather by Sunday, as high pressure to the East and low to the West draws in some warm air from the South. Maybe a 20C in some places.

Great news
d'@ve
30-03-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Pressure at my location ended up falling to a low of 972mbs very early on Easter Monday morning, which must have been quite close to the lowest recorded anywhere across the UK with Storm Katie I would imagine. Does anyone know what the actual lowest figure was, and the last time it was lower across England?”

You were probably in the eye of the storm at one point... I went down to 974mb around 5 am, way over here. The last time pressure was as low in S England was probably 29/30th. January last year with a low <960mb off the Shetlands and two secondary lows swung round it across S England with the pressure dipping to 980mb on the 29th then another, <975mb on the 30th. Much less windy than Katie though, and very little rain here over the two days (2.0mm in all).

That was an odd one alright.
Rich Tea.
31-03-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“Alex Deakin just confirmed the strong likelihood of warmer weather by Sunday, as high pressure to the East and low to the West draws in some warm air from the South. Maybe a 20C in some places.

Great news ”

There seem to have been some quite decent April's over the past decade. The two that spring (unintended pun) to mind are 2007, absolutely fantastic sunny and dry, and also 2011.

Originally Posted by d'@ve:
“You were probably in the eye of the storm at one point... I went down to 974mb around 5 am, way over here. The last time pressure was as low in S England was probably 29/30th. January last year with a low <960mb off the Shetlands and two secondary lows swung round it across S England with the pressure dipping to 980mb on the 29th then another, <975mb on the 30th. Much less windy than Katie though, and very little rain here over the two days (2.0mm in all).

That was an odd one alright.”

Yes, I did think I might be close to the centre of that storm, as in the early hours for a short time it suddenly went very quiet and a lot less windy before picking up again.

I've recorded 63mm this March, so a little bit above the 50mm monthly average for my location. Nearly half that rain fell on just the one day though, 9th March.
blueblade
31-03-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“There seem to have been some quite decent April's over the past decade. The two that spring (unintended pun) to mind are 2007, absolutely fantastic sunny and dry, and also 2011.”

Indeed, but they were both followed by mediocre Summers. So although I'd like it warm, I'd be prepared to set that wish aside in favour of a warm dry Summer.


Quote:
“Yes, I did think I might be close to the centre of that storm, as in the early hours for a short time it suddenly went very quiet and a lot less windy before picking up again.

I've recorded 63mm this March, so a little bit above the 50mm monthly average for my location. Nearly half that rain fell on just the one day though, 9th March.”

I estimated that the centre of Katie passed East North East over England, somewhere between Reading and Rugby, so that puts Bucks right in there. You missed most of the rain though.

9th March was a strange day. Very wet amongst an otherwise very dry spell.
Rich Tea.
01-04-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“I estimated that the centre of Katie passed East North East over England, somewhere between Reading and Rugby, so that puts Bucks right in there. You missed most of the rain though.

9th March was a strange day. Very wet amongst an otherwise very dry spell.”

My hometown is roughly just over halfway between those two locations you named. I'll have to checkout the precise track Storm Katie took in the early hours of Easter Monday.

April begins with a temperature close to freezing at 0.9c currently, and a barometric pressure at 1022mbs, 50mbs above just 4 days ago in the Katie storm, and four or five days before that it was at a similar figure, so a rapid and massive dip and then quick return to high pressure.

9th March was indeed curious and very unusual for being such an astonishingly wet day across most of the UK right in the middle of a decent dry spell immediately before and for a long time after it. Probably the best way to have a decent top up of rain!

Good April's don't always mean poor summers. I give you 1984 to prove my point.
david16
02-04-2016
It may now be Spring, but it hasn’t felt like it temperature wise for most of it for most parts of the UK.
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