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Weather Watching - Enthusiasts Thread
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blueblade
12-06-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Is it my imagination or have the forecasters at the BBC made a rather big error with this weekend's weather? Last week and right up until Thursday we kept being told that it would become far fresher on Friday with a noticeable difference. Except it hasn't. Early Sunday morning and it is as clammy as ever, with 86% humidity and a temperature of 16.1c currently at 3am. Some areas on both Friday and Saturday have continued to have very heavy rainfall and thunderstorms - not my area this time thankfully, after our Tuesday deluge. But a very large area of southern and eastern England is under a yellow weather warning during Sunday for further storms and torrential downpours.

The fresher conditions taking the storms away have simply not arrived as indicated on Friday. It seems like a noticeably significant forecast error to me.”

Yes, I agree. They have referred to a "cooling trend", but the high humidity has meant that slightly lower temperatures still feel very warm. Also, the nights are just as warm. Friday evening, for example, I felt more warm and uncomfortable than at any time during the really warm sunny days.

One thing is for sure, with a large, slack and slow moving low pressure system taking up residence right over the UK during the coming week, we can expect more thunderstorms, especially if the Sun comes out for any length of time, pushing temperatures up.
mushymanrob
12-06-2016
it will become fresher though later in the week as this low departs and we pick up a bit of a northerly.

do i spy the first sign of the building blocks appearing for a heatwave in about 12 days time?... looks like the azores high might displace towards us and the good news is that theres no large strong greenland high and southerly tracking jet...

so endure this weeks rather overcast showery weather, towards late june we could be on the brink of a real decent hot spell!


itll all go tits up now
blueblade
12-06-2016
Originally Posted by mushymanrob:
“it will become fresher though later in the week as this low departs and we pick up a bit of a northerly.

do i spy the first sign of the building blocks appearing for a heatwave in about 12 days time?... looks like the azores high might displace towards us and the good news is that theres no large strong greenland high and southerly tracking jet...

so endure this weeks rather overcast showery weather, towards late june we could be on the brink of a real decent hot spell!


itll all go tits up now ”

It may all go tits up, but I thought exactly the same as you.
mushymanrob
12-06-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“It may all go tits up, but I thought exactly the same as you.”

noaa anomaly charts support a rise in pressure though , over scandinavia and to our near southwest. over the last 3 days the 8-14 day chart has displaced the azores high and is sending it our way.

if we are lucky, and have correctly spotted the evolution, over the next 3 days or so id expect these charts to build high pressure over us or even to our near east. ill be watching that run of charts very closely.
Rich Tea.
12-06-2016
Yet another big thunderstorm with torrential rain is bearing down on me in Newport Pagnell right at this moment!

Unlike last Tuesday at least I'm staying dry this time.
Rich Tea.
12-06-2016
Absolutely staggered.

In less than half an hour since 5.15pm we've just had 25mm of rainfall.
blueblade
12-06-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Absolutely staggered.

In less than half an hour since 5.15pm we've just had 25mm of rainfall.”

The UK 30 minute record, which surprised me as I didn't think it was that high, was set on 26th June 1953 at Eskdalemuir, with 80 mm.

Even so, 25mm in 28 minutes, is still pretty impressive.
bri160356
13-06-2016
Originally Posted by mushymanrob:
“noaa anomaly charts support a rise in pressure though , over scandinavia and to our near southwest. over the last 3 days the 8-14 day chart has displaced the azores high and is sending it our way.

if we are lucky, and have correctly spotted the evolution, over the next 3 days or so id expect these charts to build high pressure over us or even to our near east. ill be watching that run of charts very closely.”

They’ve just had an amateur climatologist on ITV’s ‘This Morning’ and he has forecast almost cataclysmic weather for the rest of the summer,… based on his various observations of plants, shrubs and assorted wild-life.

This amateur climatologist (with the emphasis on ‘amateur’) is obviously a complete lunatic because he never even mentioned the Seagulls or the Salmon;

…two creatures that I consult on a regular basis for my predictions.
Rich Tea.
14-06-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“The UK 30 minute record, which surprised me as I didn't think it was that high, was set on 26th June 1953 at Eskdalemuir, with 80 mm.

Even so, 25mm in 28 minutes, is still pretty impressive.”

It ended up as 31mm in about an hour. That means in two separate late afternoons just 5 days apart there have been daily rainfall amounts over 30mm, totalling 65mm all of which effectively fell in an aggregate time of barely much more than a couple of hours.

By 9pm on Sunday night the water was a couple of inches deep around the house and driveway, not having seeped away very much, so I put on my waterproof winter snowboots and went out and opened the manhole on the driveway to allow some of the sitting rainwater to flow away into it, then spent a while sweeping as much down it as I could.
1manonthebog
14-06-2016
Well we seem to have jumped straight into Autumn this past few days here in N.I, wet and windy and temps noticeably down.
mintbro
14-06-2016
Here in London it's wet but very warm. Not a fan of days like this, I've got a light summer jacket on because of the rain but it's too warm to be wearing it.
Rich Tea.
14-06-2016
Here we go again - storm time!

Exceptionally dark and threatening black clouds have slowly come along in the past half hour and now the torrential rain has hit just this moment and some thunder and lightning has begun to sound off.
muggins14
14-06-2016
Originally Posted by 1manonthebog:
“Well we seem to have jumped straight into Autumn this past few days here in N.I, wet and windy and temps noticeably down.”

Timed perfectly - just ordered lots of nice summer clothes for my daughter.
blueblade
14-06-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“Here we go again - storm time!

Exceptionally dark and threatening black clouds have slowly come along in the past half hour and now the torrential rain has hit just this moment and some thunder and lightning has begun to sound off.”

You're getting all the storms. We've hardly had any.
Rich Tea.
14-06-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“You're getting all the storms. We've hardly had any.”

It threatened more than it delivered in the end, with only a modest few strikes of thunder and lightning, but it became dark enough to put a few street lights on for a while, and dumped 8mm of rain in about 15 to 20 minutes, still a decent rain rate.

You say you're in "Southern East Anglia" Blueblade, does that mean Essex then? That area seems to have missed much of it today but "Northern East Anglia" has been getting it. Sunday night I did notice our big storm cross slowly eastwards over the south of the region into Essex and reach areas like Clacton and Felixstowe on the coast a few hours later still looking potent.

That Azores high that has been mentioned looks like proving a disappointment at this stage, only having a brief influence over the UK in about 4 or 5 days over this weekend before being pushed south into the continent and allowing a renewed low pressure pattern from the Atlantic to resume.
blueblade
14-06-2016
Originally Posted by Rich Tea.:
“It threatened more than it delivered in the end, with only a modest few strikes of thunder and lightning, but it became dark enough to put a few street lights on for a while, and dumped 8mm of rain in about 15 to 20 minutes, still a decent rain rate.

You say you're in "Southern East Anglia" Blueblade, does that mean Essex then? That area seems to have missed much of it today but "Northern East Anglia" has been getting it. Sunday night I did notice our big storm cross slowly eastwards over the south of the region into Essex and reach areas like Clacton and Felixstowe on the coast a few hours later still looking potent.

That Azores high that has been mentioned looks like proving a disappointment at this stage, only having a brief influence over the UK in about 4 or 5 days over this weekend before being pushed south into the continent and allowing a renewed low pressure pattern from the Atlantic to resume.”

Yes, Essex, Chelmsford to be precise. They seem to pass all sides of this area, but not the city itself. Never mind - our day will come !!!

Unfortunately, as you say, the Azores ridge looks very temporary.
mushymanrob
15-06-2016
Originally Posted by bri160356:
“They’ve just had an amateur climatologist on ITV’s ‘This Morning’ and he has forecast almost cataclysmic weather for the rest of the summer,… based on his various observations of plants, shrubs and assorted wild-life.

This amateur climatologist (with the emphasis on ‘amateur’) is obviously a complete lunatic because he never even mentioned the Seagulls or the Salmon;

…two creatures that I consult on a regular basis for my predictions.”

lol.. nature is responsive not predictive, if it was as simple as that we would have sussed that eons ago, especially as our ancestors worked very closely with nature.


meanwhile - it doesnt now look like we will get a heatwave next week, although a return to dry (or drier) average summery weather will be very pleasant, and warm, especially in any sun.
francie
15-06-2016
Thunder rumblings and rain lashing down in my part of Somerset.
1fab
15-06-2016
Originally Posted by francie:
“Thunder rumblings and rain lashing down in my part of Somerset.”

Same here (also in Somerset).
francie
15-06-2016
Originally Posted by 1fab:
“Same here (also in Somerset).”

Bummer as we have had some glorious weather
1fab
15-06-2016
Originally Posted by francie:
“Bummer as we have had some glorious weather ”

Should be better by the weekend, supposedly...
d'@ve
15-06-2016
Total rainfall yesterday and today so far here in S Hants... 1 mm.

Long may that continue.
bri160356
15-06-2016
Originally Posted by d'@ve:
“Total rainfall yesterday and today so far here in S Hants... 1 mm.

Long may that continue.”

...water shortage and a stand-pipe in the street beckons d'@ve.
blueblade
15-06-2016
Originally Posted by 1fab:
“Should be better by the weekend, supposedly...”

Temporarily
1fab
15-06-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“Temporarily”

I suppose all weather's temporary.
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