Originally Posted by mushymanrob:
“true the summers of 90 and 76 both had cooler cloudier spells mid june... but neither had the torrential rains, both summers were extremely dry (the great drought of 76) and 90 was bone dry too.
of course trying to guess the weather for a month or two haed is foolish, and despite being 'like' another, theres no certainty that it will follow suit.
imho we are long overdue for a long hot dry summer.... 2013?.. yeah in the southeast, and it was the 'best' summer since 06, but it wasnt an 06, 03, 95, 91, 90, 83, 76, 75... i cut grass for a living, in 'good' summers i lose work as the grass browns off. its ten years now since i lost work through drought stress, the longest period since i started work back in '73. hence we are overdue... and this year since early may we have been dallying with a possible great heatwave, the synoptics have almost been right but have not quite hit the nail on the head.
so im rather optimistic, looking ahead into the turning point of summer (late june early july - long hot summers have usually shown their hand by about july 10th at the latest) as we are close to getting something hot. theres a lot of high pressure around in the outlook... it would only take a small nudge to produce something spectacular!
on the other hand, this summer might be the 'nearly' summer, when the right synoptics just refuse to fall into place despite them being nearly there.”
“true the summers of 90 and 76 both had cooler cloudier spells mid june... but neither had the torrential rains, both summers were extremely dry (the great drought of 76) and 90 was bone dry too.
of course trying to guess the weather for a month or two haed is foolish, and despite being 'like' another, theres no certainty that it will follow suit.
imho we are long overdue for a long hot dry summer.... 2013?.. yeah in the southeast, and it was the 'best' summer since 06, but it wasnt an 06, 03, 95, 91, 90, 83, 76, 75... i cut grass for a living, in 'good' summers i lose work as the grass browns off. its ten years now since i lost work through drought stress, the longest period since i started work back in '73. hence we are overdue... and this year since early may we have been dallying with a possible great heatwave, the synoptics have almost been right but have not quite hit the nail on the head.
so im rather optimistic, looking ahead into the turning point of summer (late june early july - long hot summers have usually shown their hand by about july 10th at the latest) as we are close to getting something hot. theres a lot of high pressure around in the outlook... it would only take a small nudge to produce something spectacular!
on the other hand, this summer might be the 'nearly' summer, when the right synoptics just refuse to fall into place despite them being nearly there.”
Your list of summers I almost agree with except you put 1991 which was not a great summer. Not sure why you put it. But 1989 was a very good one and should have been in that list. So should 1984 and 1994. It did seem that great summers were coming along in pairs until recently, with 1975/76, 1983/84, 1989/90 and 1994/95. Some of these summers got off to slow starts but then became magnificent. The summer of 1997 sticks in my mind for an atrocious wet and dull June but the summer ended up quite decent with an absolutely scorching hot and dry August, not too unlike just two years earlier in 1995 infact. The summer of '95 was almost the equal of '76. It was magnificent.
It's a rule of thumb that the weather needs to change by the final week of June or the pattern tends to set for the remainder of summer, so if it has been wet and thundery like this year and continues into early July then it's likely to remain similar and be a poor summer. But if it changes around this time, as looks possible currently then the summer could come good.
You mention grass cutting and I've noticed so far this spring and summer that the grass seems to be growing extremely fast. Is that your perception as an expert in these things?



