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Weather Watching - Enthusiasts Thread |
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#76 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: East Anglia
Posts: 1,653
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Quote:
Well the models are starting to line up now for a fair chance of at least a short spell of proper winter cold from the east next week, with GEM, GFS and ECMWF all showing a cold outbreak from the Siberian High getting as far as at least the North Sea and Low Countries, with Eastern England at most risk.
Anyway, summat's up, and we should see an end to the incessant boring and squelchy westerlies at least temporarily - though any snow may be on a knife edge. If it comes off, the Canadian GEM saw it first, 5 days ago (though the ECMWF doesn't run far enough ahead to have seen it back then). |
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#77 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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61 mph gusts forecast on Tuesday night in NI. Not looking forward to that.
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#78 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,724
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Starting to look like if the cold from the east reaches us next week, which it may, it will soon get pushed back east again by the incessant and very annoying south westerlies who may just be taking a short breather.
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#79 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,345
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A couple of days respite from rain and wind, although still very mild. Then a bit more interesting as we get to mid week, stormy again, and New Years' Eve. It does now seem, as you say Dave, that something notably colder is being flagged up as coming along into next week to begin January 2016 but considering how mild its been in December 2015 the "cold" will likely be just the normal expected conditions for early January. We wait to see.
I'd sure love to know just what the December rainfall totals are going to end up as in Cumbria. They must be astonishingly high, considering the new UK 24 hour record stands at an astounding 341.4mm at Honister, Cumbria. |
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#80 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Dark Satanic Mills
Posts: 4,809
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Quote:
I'd sure love to know just what the December rainfall totals are going to end up as in Cumbria. They must be astonishingly high, considering the new UK 24 hour record stands at an astounding 341.4mm at Honister, Cumbria.
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#81 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 9,157
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Quote:
Starting to look like if the cold from the east reaches us next week, which it may, it will soon get pushed back east again by the incessant and very annoying south westerlies who may just be taking a short breather.
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#82 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Paul Landers' Lederhosen
Posts: 4,110
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Weather here has been terrible all day. I keep an eye on a couple of the local weather stations at this time of year. Strongest gusts so far have been in the region of 64mph and the 10 min average is 47mph, but even the spray is causing problems. Churchill Barriers have been closed (this is Barrier 2 earlier today) and ferry services are being cancelled or delayed.
Factoring in wind chill, it's still incredibly mild. I'm still wearing a lot of summer clothes - only difference is I've added waterproof jacket and boots. |
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#83 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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Storm Frank is shaping up to be the worst storm of winter so far.
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#84 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,202
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Quote:
Storm Frank is shaping up to be the worst storm of winter so far.
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#85 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Devon
Posts: 12,829
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My TV Aerial is safe anyway. It blew down last February, so I stuck it in the loft.
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#86 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: East Anglia
Posts: 1,653
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Quote:
Starting to look like if the cold from the east reaches us next week, which it may, it will soon get pushed back east again by the incessant and very annoying south westerlies who may just be taking a short breather.
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#87 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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They've finally put up wind warnings.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...ime=1451347200 Should be amber if you ask me. |
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#88 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,202
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Quote:
They've finally put up wind warnings.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...ime=1451347200 Should be amber if you ask me. |
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#89 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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Quote:
It may well change as the storm system gets closer and they can predict its path more accurately.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...ime=1451347200 |
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#90 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,345
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Quote:
Shap statistics HERE.
Quote:
Storm Frank is shaping up to be the worst storm of winter so far.
Storm Eva on Christmas Eve proved a damp squib that nothing much came of in the end. Of course if this had been one of those cold winters with a blocking high nearby we might have still been a long way off the arrival of the first named storm still. |
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#91 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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Amber warning now in NI for rain. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...ime=1451347200
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#92 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: East Anglia
Posts: 1,653
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Sustained winds of 50mph here
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#93 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Devon
Posts: 12,829
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The Antarctic Biography of Frank Bickerton is very interesting.
They managed to pick a rocky cliff site that had year round average winds of 70mph (I think) Only a few days weren't windy and maximums were 200mph Half the group got stranded for an unplanned second year. http://www.amazon.co.uk/Born-Adventu.../dp/0750940123 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austra...tic_Expedition https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cape_Denison |
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#94 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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Quote:
Sustained winds of 50mph here
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#95 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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Storm Frank has undergone explosive cyclogenesis - BBC Weather.
https://twitter.com/bbcweather/statu...08259020738560 |
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#96 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,202
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Quote:
Storm Frank has undergone explosive cyclogenesis - BBC Weather.
https://twitter.com/bbcweather/statu...08259020738560 |
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#97 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,854
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Quote:
That's just the twitter user's name. It's not from the actual BBC weather.
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#98 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 20,672
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Quote:
Storm Frank has undergone explosive cyclogenesis - BBC Weather.
https://twitter.com/bbcweather/statu...08259020738560 Alastair McCulloch @TheForestDeliCo 20m20 minutes ago @bbcweather @smallholderadve It means an intensification in cyclonic activity. As someone said earlier, it means "chuffing windy & wet".
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#99 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,202
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Quote:
Eh? BBC Weather tweeted it. It's from them.
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#100 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 17,242
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I'm no weather expert, but its pissing it down and freezing here.
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