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Weather Watching - Enthusiasts Thread |
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#1351 |
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,729
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Quote:
Currently (not strictly official), the September CET is 17.08C, which is ahead of the 1729 all time record of 16.55C, with 5 days to go. See link above.
We may not beat 1729, but I think we might beat 1949 by a whisker. Currently my mean (to today) is 17.4 C and if the forecasts are correct (big if) it will be 17.1 deg C here in S Hants. A bit warmer than the CET as you'd expect, but if the drop in CET between now and the 30th. is similarly 0.3 deg C, the record might go. But at this time of year, the far south tends to cool off slower than at least the Lancashire part of the CET, so we shall await the outcome with bated breath! However, 2006 at 16.8 deg C mean temperature appears to be the warmest September in the Hadcet CET record. |
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#1352 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
Interesting. So I had a look at my means for the month and added in the forecast max mins from the Met Office website for the rest of the month.
Currently my mean (to today) is 17.4 C and if the forecasts are correct (big if) it will be 17.1 deg C here in S Hants. A bit warmer than the CET as you'd expect, but if the drop in CET between now and the 30th. is similarly 0.3 deg C, the record might go. But at this time of year, the far south tends to cool off slower than at least the Lancashire part of the CET, so we shall await the outcome with bated breath! However, 2006 at 16.8 deg C mean temperature appears to be the warmest September in the Hadcet CET record. Might be a damn close run thing. |
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#1353 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Been to Port Sunlight (near Liverpool today.) Beautiful Model Village, most perfect village I've ever seen. Everything was so neat and tidy. Beautiful houses, well kept lawns, quite on the streets and not a trace of dog poop or litter on the pavements. There was even a cat sat proudly on the pathway to someones house. It didn't move at all despite my presence..
The Village was purpose-built for Sunlight Soap Factory Workers back in the 1900's. Reminds me a bit of that perfecto 1920's style village seen in The Truman Show, like it's in a separate world. http://www.bing.com/images/search?q=...2H0&ajaxhist=0 Anyway, checked the Weather Forecast this morning. Showers forecast for home, Sunny Intervals and a bit warmer in Wirral. Weather turned out to be just that. Got woken up by some heavy rain last night, thought the house was being flooded at first! Fairly mild start this morning. As I was travelling West and got onto the M6 I encountered a sudden heavy shower with sideways rain. It looked to be getting cloudier, but then it cleared up as I got closer. Went through the Wirral tunnel (temperature 18C). It was then temperate weather and sunny intervals with some big fluffy white clouds. Typical September day. So yes we did get a bit of sun in Port Sunlight. There was a rather strong gust of wind sometimes which did make it a lot chillier at times though. Then suddenly there was a short light rain shower but no rain clouds to see! People were looking up wondering "Where's the Clouds?". Very odd.. Coming home I encountered another rain shower with spray everywhere and even saw a full rainbow! When I got home, it looked quite a bit wetter than where I'd been. Caught the tail end of John Hammonds Weather for the Week ahead on Countryfile tonight. Basically, it's gonna cool down in the North towards the end of the week. No surprise there... Tommorow, the winds are gonna be in the South with near constant rain and a forecast constant temperature of 12C, so typical Autumnal Weather. Probably not much difference from most of last December tbh, where we recorded an average hi of 11C. The next few days are gonna be mainly cloudy with some rain and hi's of around 14-17C. http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2652544 |
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#1354 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Quote:
Midnight temperature here in S Hants ahead of the rain was 19.7 deg C!
![]() It was only 21 all yesterday afternoon! As the wind direction has just veered to the south and SSW from SE, and if the forecast is correct, we have a possible exact midnight maximum temperature for the 25th. here - in September! I record for each calendar day starting at midnight. Unusually, the temperature slowly increased from 8pm (19.0) until exactly midnight (19.7) then started to slowly decrease; it's now 19.4. Little things like this fascinate me. ![]() Nothing unusual about it, just the Southerly winds kept it warm. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...tion/gcwdjeczy |
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#1355 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,729
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Excellent! Maximum for the 25th. here was 19.7 deg C at 00:00h and the minimum was 13.5 deg C at 23:59. If it had hit 13.5 at say 23:50 and stayed there until midnight, my record would have shown 23:50. So, never seen that before at this time of year, exactly to the tenth of a degree and to the exact minute!
![]() Obviously, many other places would have experienced a simlar situation yesterday and it's unusual for them, too, because air temperature declines and rises erratically so the odds on hitting the exact minute and tenth of a degree for both max and min. are slim. In September. |
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#1356 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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october might start warm, after cooling down and feeling autumnal (dunno about you lot but it was rather chilly yesterday afternoon in comparison to recent times) by the end of the week and over the weekend as a transitory ridge tries to build.... its looking like theres a chance yet again of this ridge building to our east. so early next week we could pick up a southerly sourced airflow yet again. not 'hot', but warm or very warm is likely for a few days midweek next.
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#1357 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Temperature currently 12C here, and is forecast to reach 13C by nightfall, so a possibility of a higher maximum than minimum again. Winds are in the South again, but the heavy rain forecast will likely cancel out much increase in temperature if we do get the rain (currently none has fallen yet).
Currently, its 12C and miserable, blanket grey, cloudy skies so typical Autumnal Weather you might say, though here, we can get that same weather and temperature not matter what the time of year, whether its July, December or September. Temperature in the house is only 16.5C (62F) so not much difference in temperature between inside and outside either.
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#1358 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: The Nth East
Posts: 21,590
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In six weeks time they are saying we are going to get 4 months of heavy snow, and sub zero temps
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#1359 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Quote:
In six weeks time they are saying we are going to get 4 months of heavy snow, and sub zero temps
![]() Not again.... They say this every year but what if it comes true this time.?? ![]() ![]() ![]() I'd Better start preparing for Winter.... Quick.. Gonna go out now and buy spiked tyres for the car, (and 4 more in case they go flat) 7 portable radiators, install 2 gas fires (and one electric in case the gas gets cut) get the pipes inspected, panic buy 20 loaves of bread, stock up on cans of baked beans, soup and tinned fruits and buy the thickest winter fur coats I can afford! Thanks for the warning.
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#1360 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,729
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I was hoping that we could keep the idiotic clickbaiting Express, Nathan Rao and his ilk out of this thread and in the other thread, where they can continue to be objects of mirth.
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#1361 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
october might start warm, after cooling down and feeling autumnal (dunno about you lot but it was rather chilly yesterday afternoon in comparison to recent times) by the end of the week and over the weekend as a transitory ridge tries to build.... its looking like theres a chance yet again of this ridge building to our east. so early next week we could pick up a southerly sourced airflow yet again. not 'hot', but warm or very warm is likely for a few days midweek next.
Quote:
In six weeks time they are saying we are going to get 4 months of heavy snow, and sub zero temps
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#1362 |
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Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 3,411
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Although funnily, some are actually saying due to the maunder minimum there is a good chance of colder than average winters from now on. I've never really felt like I'm knowledgable enough about solar cycle analysis to have much of an opinion on those things myself.
Of course, if we do have a harsh winter the Express will go "we told you so! As we predicted!". |
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#1363 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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Quote:
Although funnily, some are actually saying due to the maunder minimum there is a good chance of colder than average winters from now on. I've never really felt like I'm knowledgable enough about solar cycle analysis to have much of an opinion on those things myself.
Of course, if we do have a harsh winter the Express will go "we told you so! As we predicted!". but likewise we are long overdue for a real long hot summer, one that lasts longer then 3-4 weeks (ok the southeast hasnt fared badly but im talking more nationwide). |
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#1364 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
Although funnily, some are actually saying due to the maunder minimum there is a good chance of colder than average winters from now on. I've never really felt like I'm knowledgable enough about solar cycle analysis to have much of an opinion on those things myself.
Of course, if we do have a harsh winter the Express will go "we told you so! As we predicted!". |
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#1365 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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Quote:
october might start warm, after cooling down and feeling autumnal (dunno about you lot but it was rather chilly yesterday afternoon in comparison to recent times) by the end of the week and over the weekend as a transitory ridge tries to build.... its looking like theres a chance yet again of this ridge building to our east. so early next week we could pick up a southerly sourced airflow yet again. not 'hot', but warm or very warm is likely for a few days midweek next.
the latest anomaly charts do build the high to our east and have a deep mean upper trough in the mid atlantic. a mean upper flow in the southwest or south southwest will bring some southerly sourced warm or very warm air... we might not have seen the last of temps in the mid 20's! |
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#1366 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 3,730
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At what point can The Express be prosecuted for peddling this garbage as news?
http://www.express.co.uk/news/weathe...Britain-freeze |
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#1367 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 14,543
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Never, but then people shouldn't be posting it, they should be ignoring it for the laughing stock of a clickbaiting rag that it is.
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#1368 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Quote:
Although funnily, some are actually saying due to the maunder minimum there is a good chance of colder than average winters from now on. I've never really felt like I'm knowledgable enough about solar cycle analysis to have much of an opinion on those things myself.
Of course, if we do have a harsh winter the Express will go "we told you so! As we predicted!". I'm giving up hoping for lots of snow because every year we only get a bit and it seems to start melting as soon as it has fallen. I'm hoping for a mild, dry winter this year, if that is even possible in this part of the country.... |
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#1369 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Quote:
well i guess a real hard winter is long overdue.... 2010 was hard but short.
but likewise we are long overdue for a real long hot summer, one that lasts longer then 3-4 weeks (ok the southeast hasnt fared badly but im talking more nationwide). Personally I prefer temperate weather so cooler summers and milder winters are fine for me.
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#1370 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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Quote:
2013 was a fairly long hot sunny summer as I remember and 2014 wasn't too far behind. We also got cold snowy weather in Winter/Spring 2013, January 2010 and December 2010.
Personally I prefer temperate weather so cooler summers and milder winters are fine for me. ![]() those winters too were short lived affairs... very cold for the time, but hardly a long cold winter.. |
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#1371 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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Quote:
october might start warm, after cooling down and feeling autumnal (dunno about you lot but it was rather chilly yesterday afternoon in comparison to recent times) by the end of the week and over the weekend as a transitory ridge tries to build.... its looking like theres a chance yet again of this ridge building to our east. so early next week we could pick up a southerly sourced airflow yet again. not 'hot', but warm or very warm is likely for a few days midweek next.
the southerlies might not last long, (the mean upper flow is still southwest or south of) , and the anomaly charts suggest the high to our east diminishing but pressure to our south building. so a pretty warm or very warm, mainly dry, outlook from early next week into mid month. yet again the anomaly charts look like spotting a trend 11 days ahead. |
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#1372 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
yep.... all models now have picked up on this and by tuesday its looking like itll warm up after a cool fresh period thurs-mon... pressure will build to our east, deep low stuck in the atlantic..
the southerlies might not last long, (the mean upper flow is still southwest or south of) , and the anomaly charts suggest the high to our east diminishing but pressure to our south building. so a pretty warm or very warm, mainly dry, outlook from early next week into mid month. yet again the anomaly charts look like spotting a trend 11 days ahead. |
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#1373 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: The North!
Posts: 2,201
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Quote:
Actually looks like a very reasonable day today, with good sunny spells. Possibly low 20's in some areas.
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#1374 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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Quote:
Actually looks like a very reasonable day today, with good sunny spells. Possibly low 20's in some areas.
im sure quite a few places will get easily into the low 20's, in the southeast anyway.. |
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#1375 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Sarf London
Posts: 13,295
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22 here in South London and very muggy.
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