Originally Posted by d'@ve:
“There's no obvious reason I can see to prevent some days next week reaching up to 19 - 22 deg C in parts of the south. Not dry, far from it, maybe quite windy at times too, but I wouldn't describe it as an 'autumnal' prediction yet in the south, due to the likely temperatures on some of the days.
But this is the time of year when forecasting even 5 days ahead can become very tricky. What happens to tropical storm Karl and its track could well decide things, and we don't yet know enough about that.”
Originally Posted by mushymanrob:
“those temps in the south are possible within a warm sector, but in a breezy often overcast muggy type day as opposed to clearer, sunnier, calmer conditions.
but for most of the country it will be cooler and certainly autumnal in any polar maritime air . i do think your 19 - 22 c will be a rare, localised event.”
OK so here is a summary of UK maximum temperatures this week, we can compare them with what was predicted in the above posts on Wednesday last week:
Sun 25th: UK Max 21.0; 17 UK official SYNOP sites 19 or above.
Mon 26th: UK Max 19.5; 3 UK official SYNOP sites 19 or above.
Tue 27th: UK Max 21.9; 19 UK official SYNOP sites 19 or above.
Wed 28th: UK Max 24.2; 72 UK official SYNOP sites 19 or above.
Thu 29th: UK Max 21.4; 32 UK official SYNOP sites 19 or above.
Fri 30th: UK Max 19.9; 7 UK official SYNOP sites 19 or above.
Sometimes, it's useful to see how forecasts for 'next week' turn out. They don't always work out as expected!