Love how the moon has been visible the last few nights, and how it peeks pasts the clouds and lights up the clouds and the surrounding night sky. Quite a lot of stars, flashing aeroplanes and fast-moving clouds in the sky tonight.

it really is getting colder at an alarming rate. Just four weeks ago it reached 24 degrees here. Just 9C and rain forecast for tommorow. Thats a drop of 15 degrees in one month. That's what I'd expect in mid- late November, not October...

There's also that annoying sneaky cheeky easterly breeze that keeps coming and going..

And don't tell me - oh its been dryer that's why its cooler - nope we've had some rain every day this week, that annoying fine stuff that doesn't look too bad but then clings to your clothes...

As you can probably tell I am getting pretty fed up with this current weather pattern but thankfully change is on the way. The winds are switching to the South over the weekend and then into a more typical Westerly/South Westerly pattern into next week helping too boost temperatures back up to normal levels for this time of year. Doesnt look to be too much rain ahead either. Yay!

I've been slacking on this thread a bit in the past few weeks. 3 weeks since I last posted anything.

One thing that I am really looking forward to in the weeks ahead is the weather for December 2016 after the ridiculously mild one we had last year. I'm fascinated to see how it will compare. I'm automatically expecting a quite cold one but that's just human nature to do so. No reason it could not be just the same as the one in 2015, or milder. With global warming I am wondering just how long it is going to be before we get the UK's first daytime maximum hitting 20c (68f) in December. It doesn't seem that unrealistic to expect.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/.../2015/december

looking more anticyclonic later next week after the weekends low unusually tracks from the south northwestward. thats one hell of a block to our northeast.

think its fair to say i got the 'cloudy dry chilly' prediction wrong.

Well it looks as though it's going to become more unsettled in the near future.

Dry in some parts today, showery elsewhere.

That's entirely possible at some point, although thinking about December 2015 specifically, no maximum temperature records were broken. The high mean being due to a literally constant flow of maritime tropical air, with cloud amounts also keeping overnight temperatures at a very high level. Similar synpotics 100 years ago would not have produced temperatures markedly different.

By the way, welcome back

I think its probably unlikely that this December will be as as warm (or as wet for that matter) as last year since it is widely believed that the unusually high temperatures were caused by a very strong el nino (the strongest on record) which warmed up the ocean temperatures considerably and thus affected the gulf stream.

As far as i know El nino has dissapeared now and we're expecting neutral or weak La Nina conditions this Winter.

However, we can't rule the possibility of a mild winter out completely, and of course the other months - January, February, March, April - could well be warmer than last year. We had a mild winter 06/07 and we had LA Nina conditions that year.

I remember we got Snow as late as late April last year...

torro have the daily december records between 15c - 18.3c . 20c must be a realistic proposition.

the latest 20c was nov 23rd
the earliest march 2nd.

To reach 20c in December would be VERY hard and would need a very long drawn southerly coming from the equator with cloudy skies at night for days on end and even that probably wouldn't give 20c as there is a line to draw , I think 18c would be the limit.

A fairly warm day today. It's turned into a nice Sunny day here this afternoon:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B56...ew?usp=sharing
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B56...ew?usp=sharing
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B56...ew?usp=sharing
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B56...ew?usp=sharing



Temperature about 12 degrees currently.. Pleasant for Mid-October.

It started off Overcast but just before 12pm the sun popped it's head out. Feeling pretty warm in the sunshine, esspecially indoors. The heating was belching out this morning and with the sun too it's reached 20C in the living room which is warm for our house esspecially this time of year.

Tommorow it's not going to be so great though..
Some heavy rain with a max of 12 possibly 13 degrees.

Tuesday not looking good either...

If we were in late December or January, the snow rampers would have been literally wetting their pants in ecstacy this last week... and maybe for late next week as well!

I'm a snow lover so im a bit gutted we aren't getting the same weather pattern a few months later..

Didn't we have a similar situation last year, where we had the Scandinavian high in October then in November the winds switched to West/South West causing all that mild weather?

Completely overcast, Absolutely chucking it down and 12/13C maximum today so typical October weather.

Despite winds being in the east were still getting all this wet weather.

Just been taken completely by surprise with a direct hit from a small thunderstorm in North Bucks at my location with forked lightning and very torrential rain that hit at 10pm, dumping 12mm of rain in less than 10 minutes.

Delete

I thought the winds were more South to south-south-west than normal plus mainly southerly based low pressure systems constantly sweeping across the UK last November and December.

A direct westerly in November and December is not that mild to bring temperatures of 15 to 17 degrees C.

That large cold pool to the west we had last autumn and winter is not there this time around.

Is it looking like it's going to get colder over the next week or so? Not a weather enthusiast like many on this thread so just asking out of interest

Well it's bloody freezing at 6.50am whenwe leave in the morning. .last year at this time we had quite warm weather in Glasgow. .it seems to be darker of an evening too..might be my problem. .I might be aff my nut..

Thunder, lightning and lashing down in central London

Well that'll clear the streets. .but no.. stay safe..that's proper crap weather. .


Nah just dark and a wee bit chilly think it's 6 degrees now in Glasgow. .no rain..but it will! My flowers are still growing. .weird!

crikey........that was a bit intense for five minutes

must have been hailstones crashing into my windows........

Aye we had that the last week..my street was flooded..and it looked like a winter wonderland lol..Glasgow has 4 seasons in one day..bizarre

Stopped raining.......moved away to the east.

East London probably copping it now

when I look to the west it's a perfectly clear sky with not a cloud in sight so it must have been a very localised storm !

looks like the northern block will re-establish by the weekend, but into next week (next monday) the easterly or southeasterly might be southerly sourced, so mild again?