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Weather Watching - Enthusiasts Thread
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mushymanrob
30-10-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“Although Louise Lear indicated last night that it wouldn't actually be that cold, just temperatures nearer to normal than they have been recently.

As far as today, well - not a lot to be said different from other days. Bit more overcast, bit of drizzle in the light breeze, but nothing else. Temperature currently 13.7 degrees here.”

true, the main thrust of the colder winds look like flowing down the north sea...
~
BUT

the anomaly charts have been and are consistent in suggesting high to our northwest, low to our east/northeast. the problem has been that this mean upper patterns evolution isnt a straight one, hence the doubts and uncertainty.

however, with charts as consistent for cold as they have been then its only a question of time before a real cold blast hits us..... and this mornings ops suggest we are a week away from a REAL cold blast, with sharp overnight frosts and snow showers in eastern areas.

the mean upper flow was predicted to be from the northwest, and by tuesday thats the direction our weather will be coming from, whilst the first shortwave on wednesday doesnt deliver much cold, the second due next weekend now looks like fulfilling the picture the anoms have been predicting for a while now.

the arctic blast (if it arrives) or cold blast part 2 though isnt expected to last more then 3 days as the anoms keep the mean upper flow from the northwest. so northerlies or westerlies will not be lasting.
swingaleg
30-10-2016
thick blanket of fog over the metropolis

it's lifted a bit since I got up an hour ago but it's always weird when the tall buildings that you know are there are invisible.......
Steffan_Leach
30-10-2016
Another mild, overcast day today. Still no rain though (which is very unusual for us, especially with this current southwesterly setup!)

Last night the air temperature was still 12 degrees outside, the air was also very moist - the humidity levels had been in the 90's all day - you could even feel the water droplets in the air. I remember I visited Whitby in late August this Summer, the humidity levels were at 100% and it was just constant drizzle, fog and it felt very muggy. Not very nice at all.. The sky last night was also full of fireworks and you could hear a bang every few seconds.

The winds are going to switch to the North in the next few days, and temperatures are set to plummet into single figures here by Wednesday. I'm not really looking forward to it tbh, i would rather keep the mild, overcast conditions, like we had last November.

Sadly, it seems like we have missed out on an Indian Summer this year (yes, I know it was really warm in the 1st half of September but I still class that as Summer, not Autumn.

October 2011, Halloween 2014 and 1st November 2015 were all spectacular and were all followed by mild November's afterwards.

I remember 1st Nov was a beautiful day last year but I spent the whole day sat indoors watching Halloween films because I hadn't checked the weather forecast - while my dad was out walking in sunny Nidderdale.

I still regret that to this day as its rare to get weather like that at this time of year. Never Again.
mushymanrob
30-10-2016
Originally Posted by Steffan_Leach:
“
Sadly, it seems like we have missed out on an Indian Summer this year (yes, I know it was really warm in the 1st half of September but I still class that as Summer, not Autumn.

.”

officially an indian summer is a warm/hot spell that occurs after the first frost. as most of us hasnt had a frost yet, we cannot have a real indian summer!

tbh though, looking at the anomaly charts, theres absolutely no sign of an indian summer, real or otherwise. the outlook for most of november (well at least the first half) is average temps at best, but probably below or well below average.
Terry N
30-10-2016
This nothing weather is awful. Can we not have a proper autumn? 40mm rain for the whole month here.
blueblade
30-10-2016
Originally Posted by Terry N:
“This nothing weather is awful. Can we not have a proper autumn? 40mm rain for the whole month here.”

It's a bit dead, I agree. But nevertheless, I was able to give the back garden a good tidy up yesterday, which might not really have been possible if it had been damp, and certainly not if it was raining.
Jakobjoe
30-10-2016
I was thinking that the weather in some parts of England is not that changeable a lot of the time it's the same humdrum stuff day after day and sometime for weeks. And it's quite dry so it's not like there's any rain on the horizon either. When did the weather become so boring.
blueblade
30-10-2016
Originally Posted by Jakobjoe:
“I was thinking that the weather in some parts of England is not that changeable a lot of the time it's the same humdrum stuff day after day and sometime for weeks. And it's quite dry so it's not like there's any rain on the horizon either. When did the weather become so boring.”

As much as anything it's the lack of a breeze which makes it feel so lifeless.
Steffan_Leach
30-10-2016
Well I'm quite enjoying this fine, dry, still, mild, overcast, settled weather we are having now.
It is rather boring yes but would you rather have endless days of lashing rain, gale-force winds and freezing cold weather?

Make the most of it anyway because next week its all change as we get a northerly wind flow pushing temperatures into single figures.

And the weather in this country is usually very changeable anyway, esspecially in the Spring (its often all over the place then) , yes we do get long spells of the same weather sometimes especially when the jet stream is stuck in the same position for awhile. This boring grey "nothing" weather we're having at the moment is quite unusual actually.

Just wait until you are walking home through knee deep snow, in a gale-force blizzard because your car has broke down in the middle of nowhere and you have to go hungry because all the shops have ran out of bread. Or you wake up one morning and find your living room submerged in 3 feet of water because Storm Angus decides to dump 100mm of rain on top of your house overnight. I kid you not...

You'll soon be wishing we had the "boring" monotonous settled weather back then....
Blackjack Davy
30-10-2016
Its not "nothing" or "boring" weather its very pleasant autumn day and shame on anyone who didn't at least some time outside today!

Its just so darn dry, as in dust dry. There is going to be a water shortage if this keeps up and I'm tired of having to water everything, You shouldn't be having to keep plants alive watering at this time of year its just not right. Its... wierd.
Steffan_Leach
30-10-2016
Originally Posted by Blackjack Davy:
“Its not "nothing" or "boring" weather its very pleasant autumn day and shame on anyone who didn't at least some time outside today!

Its just so darn dry, as in dust dry. There is going to be a water shortage if this keeps up and I'm tired of having to water everything, You shouldn't be having to keep plants alive watering at this time of year its just not right. Its... wierd.”

Well the next few days are set to turn very cold but still very dry I'm afraid, so make the most of the mild weather while you can. Looks like this cold and dry trend is going to continue throughout most if not all of November. This goes against all the mild, wet, stormy November's we've had in recent years.
mushymanrob
31-10-2016
i like this (mainly) dry overcast dull calm weather. i dont mind if it stays like this until march!

much cooler pattern emerging though from the northwest, and next monday we are still in line for a very cold but brief blast, albeit transitory.
Steffan_Leach
31-10-2016
Looks like The Daily Express (ie Nathan Rao) may have actually got his weather predictions right this time: http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/726...ather-forecast

Alough if you read the comments of course no one is believing him

I think a lot of people are going to be very surprised if the sudden change in the weather is going to happen, as with the mild conditions recently we've all been lured into a false sense of security - London is expected to reach 18C today (only 13C here, Booooooooo) but temperatures could reach no higher than 8C maximum by Saturday.

If you've not checked the forecast lately you'd assume we'd be in for another mild and wet November especially as we had similar conditions (fog followed by sun) at this time last year.
mushymanrob
31-10-2016
Originally Posted by Steffan_Leach:
“Looks like The Daily Express (ie Nathan Rao) may have actually got his weather predictions right this time: http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/726...ather-forecast

.”

erm..... no he hasnt. theres no 'big freeze' on the way this week, whilst we might get some frosts overnight temps are only going back down to average or a little below.

its not until the weekend trough departs eastward from sunday onwards that we might get a cold enough blast that might be described as 'freezing'... but thats will not last more then 48-72 hours.
d'@ve
31-10-2016
Meanwhile, it's Springtime here again!

Glorious sunsine, a light breeze, 18.3 degrees C here S Hants, 19 at Bournemouth Airport just down the road and 20 at Gatwick! Had this occurred two days ago, the record maximum for the date would already have been smashed!

The media and anyone else can keep those forecasts of snow, freezing northerlies and the onset of Winter coming, as meanwhile I can bask in another late season mini heatwave... or Indian summer!
mintbro
31-10-2016
It's lovely here in London. I've ditched the jacket and I'm walking around in just a t shirt.
JSemple3
31-10-2016
I'll be around Gatwick come Wednesday. Wouldn't it be nice to see 20 degrees when i'm there...............I strongly doubt it though! Looks like it going to be a lot colder up here at first tomorrow then pushing south
Steffan_Leach
31-10-2016
A nice pleasant Autumn day today. I've just been outside in my onesie and slippers (I've not been feeling too good over the weekend) and it feels quite pleasant out.
14/15 degrees this afternoon, and the sun has been shining all day. The morning started off a bit foggy, but it's cleared up now. No strength in the sun though, though it doesn't help that the sky is still a bit hazy so it's full power can't be felt.

Sure, it's not quite t-shirts and shorts weather like Halloween 2014 or Nov 1st 2015 but it's still pretty nice for the time of year. The insects are still active, the kids are playing out, I've seen a ladybird today, and a woodpigeon is cooing outside. Wonderful.

Such a shame it's not going to last though, it's probably going to be miserable and cold throughout all of November.
blueblade
31-10-2016
Well what a fantastic day it's been today - early mist and fog soon cleared to sunny and warm conditions, with a temperature locally of about 17C, although I think it might have touched 20 in one or two spots.
swingaleg
31-10-2016
Fantastic in central London today

Fog when I got up as it has been for the last few days which has put me off from my early morning walks

However after the fog lifted it was glorious........I went out into Regents Park and it was stunning with the sunshine, the autumn leaves, the smell of the grass being mowed......and for some reason everyone else in the park seemed to be Italian.......
d'@ve
31-10-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“Well what a fantastic day it's been today - early mist and fog soon cleared to sunny and warm conditions, with a temperature locally of about 17C, although I think it might have touched 20 in one or two spots.”

Trawsgoed (W. Wales) 22.2.
Herstmonceux 20.5
Heathrow 20.0
Charlwood 19.9
Northolt 19.8
St. James's Park 19.7.

And so on. Amazing day for the date!

Interestingly, Trawscoed holds the November record maximum of 22.3 on the 1st. last year, and the 2nd highest ever on the 2nd. also last year.
blueblade
31-10-2016
Originally Posted by d'@ve:
“Trawscoed (W. Wales) 22.2.
Herstmonceux 20.5
Heathrow 20.0
Charlwood 19.9
Northolt 19.8
St. James's Park 19.7.

And so on. Amazing day for the date! ”

So a very similar day to 31st October 2014
d'@ve
31-10-2016
Originally Posted by blueblade:
“So a very similar day to 31st October 2014 ”

Yes, though not quite as warm (I had 19.4 that day, 18.3 today, some other places beat that and also today's). The Trawsgoed readings for last year on 1 & 2 November are also interesting (edited into above post) and but for the leap day in February, today would have been the 1st!
Steffan_Leach
31-10-2016
Temperatures reached 16.6C here today, according the observations from Bingley: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...tion/gcwdjeczy

For some reason though it didn't feel as warm as that when I stepped outside this afternoon, more like 11/12C, maybe 13C. Maybe its cos I have a cold..

If that's the case then I'm probably not going to cope too well in the cold forecast later this week....
Steffan_Leach
01-11-2016
Quite a nice Autumn day today. Sunny and temperature about 9/10 degrees currently. Pleasant for November. It's a far cry from this day last year though: http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=2114725

Shame it's gonna get colder though
http://www.lancashiretelegraph.co.uk...in.Accrington/
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