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Weather Watching - Enthusiasts Thread |
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#1851 |
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Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Just heard a bit of rain now.
Looks like it has reached north west england and western wales. And I'm going out tonight. Great. ![]() http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ |
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#1852 |
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Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: A maximum-security stockade
Posts: 211
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Quote:
Just heard a bit of rain now.
Looks like it has reached north west england and western wales. And I'm going out tonight. Great. ![]() http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ In other news, we had 15 degrees and virtually cloudless skies today here at the right side of the Pennines where we don't perpetually moan about drizzle. An extraordinary change from yesterday's thick fog and tempeatures hovering around freezing. |
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#1853 |
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Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
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But what are you going to wear?? Who'd be you, eh?
In other news, we had 15 degrees and virtually cloudless skies today here at the right side of the Pennines where we don't perpetually moan about drizzle. An extraordinary change from yesterday's thick fog and tempeatures hovering around freezing. Quote:
But what are you going to wear?? Who'd be you, eh?
In other news, we had 15 degrees and virtually cloudless skies today here at the right side of the Pennines where we don't perpetually moan about drizzle. An extraordinary change from yesterday's thick fog and tempeatures hovering around freezing. And also, please don't make stories up about weather. We all know It can never get up to 15c under clear skies in December... Even in the balmy South when we got up to 16/17c in some places it was under cloudy skies not sunshine. |
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#1854 |
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,729
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Not a record yet.
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#1855 |
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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yep..... and my earlier utterings about the atlantic kicking in and producing a prolonged unsettled spell look like being comprehensively proven wrong!
![]() the anomaly charts didnt pick up on the high pressure build as quickly as they usually do, but both charts now support high pressure dominance just to our east by midweek next. WILL IT SNOW? currently no... but IF the high drifts towards scandinavia (which is often the usual evolution), and pressure drops over southern europe/Mediterranean, with the jet diving into iberia/western med, then we could pick up a potent enough easterly to produce snow showers. so a white crimbo isnt on the cards, but isnt as far away as it was just a couple of days ago... Either way has the South and East mainly dry. |
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#1856 |
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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16.3 Lossiemouth NE Scotland, 17.0 Hawarden NE Wales are the highest in the SYNOPs so yep, no records unless climate stations report one later in the day, which is possible.
London reached 17.2 on 4th December 1953 in a strong South Westerly, non fohn aided. |
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#1857 |
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Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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And also, please don't make stories up about weather. We all know It can never get up to 15c under clear skies in December... Even in the balmy South when we got up to 16/17c in some places it was under cloudy skies not sunshine.
This date last year, 7th December 2015, I also recorded 14c on a mostly sunny and dry day. On 19th December 2015 I recorded 15.4c on a day of long sunny periods. Quite a few other days also hit 15c under leaden skies too. So let's not start calling people liars eh. He didn't suggest 20c after all, just the likely 15c with sunshine areas got. |
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#1858 |
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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looking like a continuation of the average/mild theme with the mean upper flow from the southwest, the high to our near east now looks like being a little further away, so reducing the colder option but strengthening the mild one.
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#1859 |
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
looking like a continuation of the average/mild theme with the mean upper flow from the southwest, the high to our near east now looks like being a little further away, so reducing the colder option but strengthening the mild one.
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#1860 |
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Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: A maximum-security stockade
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This was a rather uncalled for response to Kevin if I may say so. It's bad form to start calling out people on this thread for what you perceive as lying. I also don't accept your premise either. It can and it did. What Kevin described appears to be totally accurate. Skies cleared during Wednesday afternoon across a particular swathe of England and temperatures did hover close to 60f in parts for a time. I reached just shy of 14c on Wednesday afternoon here (13.7c), under a clear blue sky that cleared after 2pm. Wales hit 17c! Fact.
This date last year, 7th December 2015, I also recorded 14c on a mostly sunny and dry day. On 19th December 2015 I recorded 15.4c on a day of long sunny periods. Quite a few other days also hit 15c under leaden skies too. So let's not start calling people liars eh. He didn't suggest 20c after all, just the likely 15c with sunshine areas got. Unusual for December, yes, but by no means as incredible as Steffan seems to find it. |
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#1861 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
And also, please don't make stories up about weather. We all know It can never get up to 15c under clear skies in December... Even in the balmy South when we got up to 16/17c in some places it was under cloudy skies not sunshine.
That might explain the fact that despite December 2015 being so consistently exceptionally mild, with an almost constant stream of mT air, we never broke any temperature records, because the amount of cloud militated against that happening. |
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#1862 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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Quote:
And also, please don't make stories up about weather. We all know It can never get up to 15c under clear skies in December... Even in the balmy South when we got up to 16/17c in some places it was under cloudy skies not sunshine. its 14c now with a 70% clear sunny sky, and we have a brisk westerly.. |
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#1863 |
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,729
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Quote:
looking like a continuation of the average/mild theme with the mean upper flow from the southwest, the high to our near east now looks like being a little further away, so reducing the colder option but strengthening the mild one.
Overall though, the models for later next week onwards seem to be a bit all over the place currently. |
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#1864 |
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Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
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the daily record for every day in december is over 15c. i see no reason whatsoever why we cannot get over 15c on a clear sunny day if we get a deep draw southerly and import high 'uppers'.
its 14c now with a 70% clear sunny sky, and we have a brisk westerly.. |
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#1865 |
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Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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11c and drizzly here in Lancashire.
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#1866 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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Quote:
Yes, the suggested HP is currently pushed back to later in the week next week though not far away, and one or two model runs keep the south westerlies, though the GFS has just popped up with a High at 10 days, centred on the outer Hebrides, aligned N-S and a deep Baltic Low, which has interesting possibilities if it develops (but if it's an outlier, could disappear in the next run of course).
Overall though, the models for later next week onwards seem to be a bit all over the place currently. |
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#1867 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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No rain anywhere at the moment in the British Iles at the moment despite the milder condtions and westerly winds.
http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/w...ime=1481159100 Might be a bit of drizzle here though due to fog and high humidity (around 95% currently)... |
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#1868 |
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Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Love the mild spell we're getting at the moment.
Went out tonight in just my zip-up sweatshirt to my martial arts class tonight. Temp about 8/9c with a 7mph south-westerly breeze and humidity about 95%. Felt a bit damp but with higher air temp it didn't feel too bad. Not done too bad for rain this week either despite the temps being in double figures and living on "the wrong side of the Pennines". Sure, we had some rain this morning, but I was inside then, so I wasn't bothered. Some light drizzle this afternoon but that soon fizzled out to leave a dry evening. Tommorow afternoon and evening looks to be wet and guess what I have football practise outside tommorow night (always rains when that happens! ) but at least it will be mild and at least the rain is only forecast to be light rather than the heavy stuff forecast earlier by the BBC Weather site. It could change again though...Further ahead it looks to gradually cool down after Friday with highs of 7-9c rather than 11-12c as the winds switch to a more westerly rather than south-westerly direction. No rain on the cards after Friday but it could still change yet. ![]() All the old fogeys keep telling me how in there day they had snowball fights in the playground and it was always cold all winter. People also say that we used to get hotter drier sunnier summers than we do now. Nowadays it is quite common for it to be 12c and raining in the middle of Summer or 12c in December. The time of year makes no difference. So the seasons now seem closer together if you know what I mean. Plenty of cool wet weather in Summer and Mild weather in Winter. I quite prefer this "middle ground" weather though tbh, rather than having it boiling hot and sunny all summer and freezing cold all winter, even if in many peoples head's that's how it's supposed to be.
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#1869 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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Quote:
Went out tonight in just my zip-up sweatshirt to my martial arts class tonight. Temp about 8/9c with a 7mph south-westerly breeze and humidity about 95%. Felt a bit damp but with higher air temp it didn't feel too bad.
All the old fogeys keep telling me how in there day they had snowball fights in the playground and it was always cold all winter. People also say that we used to get hotter drier sunnier summers than we do now. Nowadays it is quite common for it to be 12c and raining in the middle of Summer or 12c in December. The time of year makes no difference. ![]() As for your "old fogey's" as you put it - selective memories, plain and simple. A bit of Daily Excess syndrome really, where the extremes are always exemplified so that the summer is always a long scorcher and winter is constant freeze and snowfalls with little light and shade in between. Just like the papers, most people don't much remember the more ordinary weather that prevails. Middle of a long December night and the temperature is currently 12.2c. That's a full 15c warmer than at this same point just 4 nights ago in the early hours of Monday which was -3c here. |
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#1870 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: derby
Posts: 14,740
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note the gfs 00z, is almost exactly the run id expect to be correct as its what the anomaly charts suggest. the ecm 00z however is off...
worth noting a plunge of very cold polar air into central europe as far south as the med. this, on the eastern flank of the high, is something to watch because IF the high drifts further north, and we pick up an easterly, that cold pool could have our name on it. |
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#1871 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Typical Lancashire Weather here at the moment. Currently 12c, blanket grey and raining. We get many days throughout the year with exactly the same conditions be it July or December.
As usual North West England gets all the rain. Grrrrr... http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ Why can't it go further South over Cornwall for a change. |
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#1872 |
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Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
Posts: 1,810
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Heavy rain tonight in nw england and parts of Devon and Cornwall. It's least it's dryer albeit a bit cooler (9/10c rather than 12c) but no rain forecast and a possibility of some sunny intervals as well! Whereas in Cornwall tommorow it's gonna be 12/13c but heavy rain.
The next few days look to be cooler (7 or 8c rather than the 11/12c we've been having) but remaining dry and cloudy. |
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#1873 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
Typical Lancashire Weather here at the moment. Currently 12c, blanket grey and raining. We get many days throughout the year with exactly the same conditions be it July or December.
As usual North West England gets all the rain. Grrrrr... http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ Why can't it go further South over Cornwall for a change. Quote:
Heavy rain tonight in nw england and parts of Devon and Cornwall. It's least it's dryer albeit a bit cooler (9/10c rather than 12c) but no rain forecast and a possibility of some sunny intervals as well! Whereas in Cornwall tommorow it's gonna be 12/13c but heavy rain.
The next few days look to be cooler (7 or 8c rather than the 11/12c we've been having) but remaining dry and cloudy. |
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#1874 |
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Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: North West England
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Looks like the Midlands and Wales will take the brunt of tomorrow's forecasted rain.
Quote:
Looks like the Midlands and Wales will take the brunt of tomorrow's forecasted rain.
![]() No more sessions now till the New Year.
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#1875 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,729
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Quote:
note the gfs 00z, is almost exactly the run id expect to be correct as its what the anomaly charts suggest. the ecm 00z however is off...
worth noting a plunge of very cold polar air into central europe as far south as the med. this, on the eastern flank of the high, is something to watch because IF the high drifts further north, and we pick up an easterly, that cold pool could have our name on it. |
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All times are GMT. The time now is 03:28.






) but at least it will be mild and at least the rain is only forecast to be light rather than the heavy stuff forecast earlier by the BBC Weather site. It could change again though...
