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Weather Watching - Enthusiasts Thread |
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#201 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Darn Sarf
Posts: 28,729
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Not if the 06Z GFS operational run is correct it won't. 1025hPa in London and the nearest Low centre over Iceland. Of course that will change as well in the next run as it's complete guesswork trying to pin down the weather for any one day at 14+ days range.
I wouldn't disagree about the chances of any extended spell of severe cold though (more than a few days), simply because we are gradually running out of time for much to build up; arctic plunges affecting mostly the north are still possible though and that will also apply to March. But you never can be sure about these things. |
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#202 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,377
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Quote:
Not if the 06Z GFS operational run is correct it won't. 1025hPa in London and the nearest Low centre over Iceland. Of course that will change as well in the next run as it's complete guesswork trying to pin down the weather for any one day at 14+ days range.
I wouldn't disagree about the chances of any extended spell of severe cold though (more than a few days), simply because we are gradually running out of time for much to build up; arctic plunges affecting mostly the north are still possible though and that will also apply to March. But you never can be sure about these things. There was a weather warning for leicestershire for tomorrow but that has been lifted. With it being only more northern regions being affected. |
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#203 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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As it's now February 1st, a glance back to a perishingly freezing February exactly thirty years ago in 1986. I remember it very well indeed, for the endless frosts and ice rather than any significant snow.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/m/h/Feb1986.pdf |
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#204 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
As it's now February 1st, a glance back to a perishingly freezing February exactly thirty years ago in 1986. I remember it very well indeed, for the endless frosts and ice rather than any significant snow.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/m/h/Feb1986.pdf |
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#205 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Today's temperature profile reflects the same North South divide we have seen with increasing frequency this Winter, with the North on the cold side around 4C, and the South very mild with temperatures around 14C, and a sharp dividing line across Northern England/Southern Scotland. Although it's a slightly less sharp dividing line today, than it has been on many other occasions.
current temperatures |
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#206 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,377
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There is no prolonged cold snap coming this winter.
The set up is against that happening. I have said many times that the temperature fluctuations over in america is fuelling the jet stream and as a consequence we are having the stormy weather associated with a strong jet stream. |
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#207 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
There is no prolonged cold snap coming this winter.
The set up is against that happening. I have said many times that the temperature fluctuations over in america is fuelling the jet stream and as a consequence we are having the stormy weather associated with a strong jet stream. |
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#208 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Devon
Posts: 12,838
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#209 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Devon
Posts: 12,838
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Breaking News: Very Long Range Forecast will be announced tomorrow
http://www.independent.co.uk/arts-en...-a6846576.html |
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#210 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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Quote:
Today's temperature profile reflects the same North South divide we have seen with increasing frequency this Winter, with the North on the cold side around 4C, and the South very mild with temperatures around 14C, and a sharp dividing line across Northern England/Southern Scotland. Although it's a slightly less sharp dividing line today, than it has been on many other occasions.
current temperatures Quote:
There is no prolonged cold snap coming this winter.
The set up is against that happening. I have said many times that the temperature fluctuations over in america is fuelling the jet stream and as a consequence we are having the stormy weather associated with a strong jet stream. Quote:
With two thirds of meterological Winter now behind us, it's now getting a tad late in the day for that to happen - especially given that the outlook is for for mild, wet and windy for the most part, with a shortish cold dry spell touted for mid month.
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#211 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Wearside
Posts: 5,245
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I hope we do have a cold snap RT. The problem with the weather being so mild in February is it's either windy or rainy - and at the moment it's blowing a gale outside. I don't know if you've read my post further down on the forum but the next door neighbour's shed is doing its best to get into my garden!
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#212 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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Quote:
Matched my very mild readings for the first day of the month of February, an overnight minimum in double figures at 10c and rising to 13c in the afternoon.
You cannot say that with any accuracy. I hope that comes back to frostbite you! Well last week I did hear a forecaster on the 9.55pm longer range BBC forecast suggest a likely more prolonged cold spell in the second week of February. I noticed the warmth of the Sun on my face, for the first time in a few months when I opened the conservatory door to let the cat out a few minutes ago. |
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#213 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 16,125
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I am sure someone has posted this already but just in case. I was sent a link a couple of weeks ago to a smashing website whcich shows all the global weather patterns in real time. initially I watched the snow storm build over the Eastern US. Now I am watching Henry (or whatever he is called) etc.
https://www.windyty.com/?2016-02-02-12,52.467,-1.917,6 https://www.windyty.com/?clouds,52.467,-1.917,6 If you pull back using + and - until you get to the globe you can navigate around the planet to see weather patterns elsewhere. |
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#214 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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Quote:
I am sure someone has posted this already but just in case. I was sent a link a couple of weeks ago to a smashing website whcich shows all the global weather patterns in real time. initially I watched the snow storm build over the Eastern US. Now I am watching Henry (or whatever he is called) etc.
https://www.windyty.com/?2016-02-02-12,52.467,-1.917,6 https://www.windyty.com/?clouds,52.467,-1.917,6 If you pull back using + and - until you get to the globe you can navigate around the planet to see weather patterns elsewhere. ![]() Reminds me of this one - http://earth.nullschool.net/ that I recently posted and that I had been shown by a family member recently who knew I'd be interested. The site above works better still if you google "earth nullschool" and go to the site that way. For some reason when I provide the link as above for ease of access it makes the globe smaller and to the left on the webpage when clicked. A lovely day here in Newport Pagnell in Buckinghamshire. Storm Henry! What storm? |
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#215 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 16,125
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Quote:
Fabulous links there. My location instantly appeared with all the relevant data as soon as I clicked.
![]() Reminds me of this one - http://earth.nullschool.net/ that I recently posted and that I had been shown by a family member recently who knew I'd be interested. The site above works better still if you google "earth nullschool" and go to the site that way. For some reason when I provide the link as above for ease of access it makes the globe smaller and to the left on the webpage when clicked.
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#216 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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Quote:
Thats the one I used until a fortnight ago, but I like this one even better. I suspect its the colours!
![]() ![]() Any other great websites for weather that anyone would like to share would be welcome. Some do have obscure names! |
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#217 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 16,125
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Quote:
Yes it looks very good indeed. I will have a detailed glance later.
![]() Any other great websites for weather that anyone would like to share would be welcome. Some do have obscure names! And the upper atmosphere. |
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#218 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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Quote:
Don't forget to investigate the gust strength, cloud cover, temperature etc!
www.weathercharts.org/ Plenty to delve into with this site. When I click the satellite image of Europe which comes from www.sat24.com I find it far superior to the poor satellite imagery on the Met Office's own site which used to be far better. I like nice sharp and clear satellite pictures. The Met Office's seem far too blurry and not detailed enough. |
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#219 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Brackley, UK
Posts: 16,657
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Quote:
Any other great websites for weather that anyone would like to share would be welcome. Some do have obscure names!
http://en.sat24.com/en/gb I always check that prior to setting out for a round of golf
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#220 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,296
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These are the two I use http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ and http://en.sat24.com/en/gb
The Met Office website is terrible in my opinion. |
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#221 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Newport Pagnell
Posts: 21,352
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Quote:
For a short term forecast you can't really beat something like:
http://en.sat24.com/en/gb I always check that prior to setting out for a round of golf ![]() Quote:
These are the two I use http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ and http://en.sat24.com/en/gb
The Met Office website is terrible in my opinion. ![]() Thanks anyway. |
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#222 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 4,723
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We had some of that polar stratospheric cloud over Edinburgh this morning looking south east around dawn. Lovely iridescent colours, like a petrol spill on water, couldn't take my eyes off it.
Edit: just noticed it's all over the news http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...lands-35470260 The first photo on that page is the view from Edinburgh. |
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#223 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Southern East Anglia
Posts: 75,216
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^^^^^^^^^^^^
Some fantastic websites above. Cheers Guys. |
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#224 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,377
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Jet stream forecasts suggest we are stuck in this weather for the remainder of the month. It is stuck in the same pattern in north america. They get the snow and the cold. We get the wet mild and stormy weather. We may get a stormy start to spring. After all its only 4 weeks to spring(meteorologically speaking)
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#225 |
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Forum Member
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 16,125
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Quote:
These are the two I use http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ and http://en.sat24.com/en/gb
The Met Office website is terrible in my opinion. It doesn't help me to get home again mind. But I can put up with getting wet when I am heading home. The one I posted above is more for interest and watching big weather events around the world. |
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