Mitch is pitching his argument to stay to Nikki (he's got her vote already, but he's telling her what his campaign is to the others tomorrow).
His plan is to tell them he's gunning for the trio... he has the balls to do it, Joel doesn't (er, are you forgetting Joel got Kelsey out?).
He says he'll always be a target for the trio, Joel isn't because they consider him weak.
Nikki is concerned that Jared's gonna pull Joel off and she's gonna be the replacement nominee because she's already told the house that Mitch has her vote. Mitch says it's a possibility.
Maddy/Ramsey will vote for Mitch to stay because last week Joel voted against her. That's three votes with Nikki right there.
Tim hates Joel, and Cass joins in the bitching sessions when Tim is ranting, so they could easily be flipped, I think.